4.6 Article

An Empirical Study on Dynamic Evolution of Industrial Structure and Green Economic Growth-Based on Data from China's Underdeveloped Areas

Journal

SUSTAINABILITY
Volume 13, Issue 15, Pages -

Publisher

MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/su13158154

Keywords

green economic growth; green total factor productivity; industrial structure upgrading; threshold effect model

Funding

  1. National Social Science Foundation of China [18XMZ073]
  2. 2017 Guangxi Social Science Fund (Project Name: Research on the Core Economic Carriage of Rural Revitalization in Old, Minority, Border and Poor Areas) [17AZT14]

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The study demonstrates that there is a complex non-linear relationship between industrial structure upgrading and green total factor productivity (GTFP), while appropriate industrial structure rationalization can promote the growth of green total factor productivity.
From the experiences of developed countries or areas, advanced industrial structure is an effective way to promote economic transformation and high-quality growth. This paper uses the economic development data of seven underdeveloped provinces in China in 10 years to study the relationship between industrial structure upgrading, industrial structure rationalization and green economic growth. The result shows: (1) The relationship between the upgrading of industrial structure and green total factor productivity (GTFP) is a non-linear relationship that is difficult to fit. (2) There are two turning points in the relationship curve between industrial structure upgrading and green total factor productivity (these can be called rationalization points). (3) The rationalization points are affected by the rationalization of the industrial structure. (4) The rationalization point divides the relationship curve into three intervals. Within the threshold range [0.661, 0.673] of the rationalization of the industrial structure, the upgrading of the industrial structure promotes the increase of green total factor productivity, while outside the range, the upgrading of the industrial structure inhibits the increase of green total factor productivity. Therefore, industrial development in underdeveloped areas should first implement rationalization of industrial structure. After the rational adjustment of the industrial structure, we will then develop a high-level industrial structure to improve the green TFP.

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