4.7 Article

Changes in Risky Benefits and in Risky Costs: A Question of the Right Order

Journal

MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
Volume 68, Issue 5, Pages 3625-3634

Publisher

INFORMS
DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2021.4081

Keywords

higher-order risk; risk aversion; comparative statics; decision making; stochastic dominance

Funding

  1. Fondazione Cariparma

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In this study, we organize and extend findings on the comparative static effects of risk changes on optimal behavior in a unifying expected utility model. We determine restrictions on preferences for clear-cut results. It is found that risk increases of a benefit can be compensated by lowering exposure to risk, while for risk increases of a cost, the response depends on the order of the risk change.
We organize and extend findings on the comparative static effects of risk changes on optimal behavior in a unifying expected utility model. We determine restrictions on preferences for clear-cut results. Risk increases of a benefit are compensated by lowering exposure to risk. For risk increases of a cost, the response depends on the order of the risk change. This discrepancy arises because even-order risk increases of a cost raise the riskiness of the payoff distribution, whereas odd-order risk increases of a cost reduce it. We identify the stochastic dominance orders to resolve this discrepancy and discuss specific decision problems as applications.

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