4.7 Article

Land-use changes lead to a decrease in carbon storage in arid region, China

Journal

ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
Volume 127, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107770

Keywords

Land-use change; Carbon storage; Invest model; CA-Markov model; Arid region

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [41867030, 41661005, 41971036]

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The study conducted in an arid region of northwestern China found that grasslands, forests, and farmland are high-value areas for carbon storage, while deserts are low-value areas. The carbon storage in the arid region is declining, mainly due to grassland degradation. Although carbon storage in farmland has increased significantly, the expansion of farmland dominated by high carbon density grasslands, wetlands, and forests has reduced the overall carbon storage in the arid region.
The carbon storage of terrestrial ecosystems is closely related to global climate change. Therefore, assessing the impact of land-use changes on carbon storage is instructive to reduce global carbon emissions. Taking an arid region in northwest China as an example, this paper analyzed the land-use changes in arid region from 1980 to 2015. It used the CA-Markov model to predict the land-use pattern from 2020 to 2050, the carbon storage and sequestration module in Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (Invest) mode to assess and predict ecosystem carbon storage over the past 35 years and in the next 30 years and discusses the impact of landuse changes on the carbon storage of terrestrial ecosystems. The results showed that: (1) The high-value areas of carbon storage in arid region were primarily concentrated in grassland, forests and farmland, and the low-value areas of carbon storage were mainly in desert areas. (2) The carbon storage in arid region showed a downward trend. From 1980 to 2015, the carbon reserves of terrestrial ecosystems in arid region decreased by 90.95 Tg, and the net loss of carbon reserves from 2020 to 2050 was 14.72 Tg. Grassland degradation was the main reason for the reduction of carbon storage in arid region. (3) The carbon storage of farmland had increased significantly, but the expansion of farmland dominated by high carbon density grassland, wetland and forest, had reduced the overall carbon storage of the arid region.

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