Why extinction estimates from extant phylogenies are so often zero

Simulating trees with millions of species

(2020) Stilianos Louca   BIOINFORMATICS

Evolutionary trees can’t reveal speciation and extinction rates

(2020) Mark Pagel   NATURE

Extant timetrees are consistent with a myriad of diversification histories

(2020) Stilianos Louca et al.   NATURE

Branching patterns in phylogenies cannot distinguish diversity‐dependent diversification from time‐dependent diversification

(2020) Théo Pannetier et al.   EVOLUTION

Macroevolutionary diversification rates show time dependency

(2019) L. Francisco Henao Diaz et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Swapping Birth and Death: Symmetries and Transformations in Phylodynamic Models

(2019) Tanja Stadler et al.   SYSTEMATIC BIOLOGY

Inferring the mammal tree: Species-level sets of phylogenies for questions in ecology, evolution, and conservation

(2019) Nathan S. Upham et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

Evaluating Model Performance in Evolutionary Biology

(2018) Jeremy M. Brown et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

The interplay of past diversification and evolutionary isolation with present imperilment across the amphibian tree of life

(2018) Walter Jetz et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Bacterial diversification through geological time

(2018) Stilianos Louca et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Primate diversification inferred from phylogenies and fossils

(2017) James P. Herrera   EVOLUTION

Five palaeobiological laws needed to understand the evolution of the living biota

(2017) Charles R. Marshall   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Fully-sampled phylogenies of squamates reveal evolutionary patterns in threat status

(2016) João Filipe Riva Tonini et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Challenges in the estimation of extinction from molecular phylogenies: A response to Beaulieu and O'Meara

(2015) Daniel L. Rabosky   EVOLUTION

Extinction can be estimated from moderately sized molecular phylogenies

(2015) Jeremy M. Beaulieu et al.   EVOLUTION

Global Distribution and Conservation of Evolutionary Distinctness in Birds

(2014) Walter Jetz et al.   CURRENT BIOLOGY

Molecular Phylogenetics and the Diversification of Hummingbirds

(2014) Jimmy A. McGuire et al.   CURRENT BIOLOGY

Why does diversification slow down?

(2014) Daniel Moen et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

The global diversity of birds in space and time

(2012) W. Jetz et al.   NATURE

Diversitree: comparative phylogenetic analyses of diversification in R

(2012) Richard G. FitzJohn   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Reconciling molecular phylogenies with the fossil record

(2011) H. Morlon et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Prolonging the Past Counteracts the Pull of the Present: Protracted Speciation Can Explain Observed Slowdowns in Diversification

(2011) Rampal S. Etienne et al.   SYSTEMATIC BIOLOGY

A simple polytomy resolver for dated phylogenies

(2011) Tyler S. Kuhn et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Diversity dynamics: molecular phylogenies need the fossil record

(2010) Tiago B. Quental et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

EXTINCTION RATES SHOULD NOT BE ESTIMATED FROM MOLECULAR PHYLOGENIES

(2009) Daniel L. Rabosky   EVOLUTION

Radiation of Extant Cetaceans Driven by Restructuring of the Oceans

(2009) Mette E. Steeman et al.   SYSTEMATIC BIOLOGY

Phylogenetic Approaches to the Study of Extinction

(2008) Andy Purvis   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

EXPLOSIVE EVOLUTIONARY RADIATIONS: DECREASING SPECIATION OR INCREASING EXTINCTION THROUGH TIME?

(2008) Daniel L. Rabosky et al.   EVOLUTION

Dynamics of origination and extinction in the marine fossil record

(2008) J. Alroy   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Density-Dependent Cladogenesis in Birds

(2008) Albert B Phillimore et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY