The Arctic Carbon Cycle and Its Response to Changing Climate

Carbon release through abrupt permafrost thaw

(2020) Merritt R. Turetsky et al.   Nature Geoscience

Complexity revealed in the greening of the Arctic

(2020) Isla H. Myers-Smith et al.   Nature Climate Change

Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6

(2020) SIMIP Community   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Fast response of cold ice-rich permafrost in northeast Siberia to a warming climate

(2020) Jan Nitzbon et al.   Nature Communications

Reduced net methane emissions due to microbial methane oxidation in a warmer Arctic

(2020) Youmi Oh et al.   Nature Climate Change

Recent advances in the study of Arctic submarine permafrost

(2020) Michael Angelopoulos et al.   PERMAFROST AND PERIGLACIAL PROCESSES

Arctic fires re-emerging

(2020) Jessica L. McCarty et al.   Nature Geoscience

Permafrost is warming at a global scale

(2019) Boris K. Biskaborn et al.   Nature Communications

Tracing the climate signal: mitigation of anthropogenic methane emissions can outweigh a large Arctic natural emission increase

(2019) Torben Røjle Christensen et al.   Scientific Reports

Key indicators of Arctic climate change: 1971–2017

(2019) Jason E Box et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Permafrost collapse is accelerating carbon release

(2019) Merritt R. Turetsky et al.   NATURE

Modeling the vegetation dynamics of northern shrubs and mosses in the ORCHIDEE land surface model

(2019) Arsène Druel et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Climate change drives widespread and rapid thermokarst development in very cold permafrost in the Canadian High Arctic

(2019) Louise M. Farquharson et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Simulated Arctic Ocean response to doubling of riverine carbon and nutrient delivery

(2019) J. Terhaar et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

State of the Climate in 2018

(2019) Jessica Blunden et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region

(2019) Susan M. Natali et al.   Nature Climate Change

Representing Grasslands Using Dynamic Prognostic Phenology Based on Biological Growth Stages: 1. Implementation in the Simple Biosphere Model (SiB4)

(2019) K. D. Haynes et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Representing Grasslands Using Dynamic Prognostic Phenology Based on Biological Growth Stages: Part 2. Carbon Cycling

(2019) Katherine D. Haynes et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Vulnerability and resilience of the carbon exchange of a subarctic peatland to an extreme winter event

(2018) Frans-Jan W Parmentier et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Nongrowing season methane emissions-a significant component of annual emissions across northern ecosystems

(2018) Claire C. Treat et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

A thirty year, fine-scale, characterization of area burned in Canadian forests shows evidence of regionally increasing trends in the last decade

(2018) Nicholas C. Coops et al.   PLoS One

Dependence of the evolution of carbon dynamics in the northern permafrost region on the trajectory of climate change

(2018) A. David McGuire et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Increases in the Pacific inflow to the Arctic from 1990 to 2015, and insights into seasonal trends and driving mechanisms from year-round Bering Strait mooring data

(2018) Rebecca A. Woodgate   PROGRESS IN OCEANOGRAPHY

Quantifying climate feedbacks in polar regions

(2018) Hugues Goosse et al.   Nature Communications

Accelerating rates of Arctic carbon cycling revealed by long-term atmospheric CO 2 measurements

(2018) Su-Jong Jeong et al.   Science Advances

Changing state of Arctic sea ice across all seasons

(2018) Julienne Stroeve et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Tundra landscape heterogeneity, not interannual variability, controls the decadal regional carbon balance in the Western Russian Arctic

(2018) Claire C. Treat et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Warming of the interior Arctic Ocean linked to sea ice losses at the basin margins

(2018) Mary-Louise Timmermans et al.   Science Advances

Remote sensing quantifies widespread abundance of permafrost region disturbances across the Arctic and Subarctic

(2018) I. Nitze et al.   Nature Communications

Polar amplification dominated by local forcing and feedbacks

(2018) Malte F. Stuecker et al.   Nature Climate Change

Changing seasonality of panarctic tundra vegetation in relationship to climatic variables

(2017) Uma S Bhatt et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Global wetland contribution to 2000–2012 atmospheric methane growth rate dynamics

(2017) Benjamin Poulter et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Snow cover response to temperature in observational and climate model ensembles

(2017) L. R. Mudryk et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Accelerating Thermokarst Transforms Ice-Cored Terrain Triggering a Downstream Cascade to the Ocean

(2017) A. C. A. Rudy et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate warming as a driver of tundra shrubline advance

(2017) Isla H. Myers-Smith et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Compensatory water effects link yearly global land CO2 sink changes to temperature

(2017) Martin Jung et al.   NATURE

Carbon dioxide sources from Alaska driven by increasing early winter respiration from Arctic tundra

(2017) Róisín Commane et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

The interaction of climate change and methane hydrates

(2017) Carolyn D. Ruppel et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

A human-driven decline in global burned area

(2017) N. Andela et al.   SCIENCE

Lightning as a major driver of recent large fire years in North American boreal forests

(2017) Sander Veraverbeke et al.   Nature Climate Change

On the Precipitation and Precipitation Change in Alaska

(2017) Gerd Wendler et al.   Atmosphere

Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region

(2017) Jianyang Xia et al.   Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences

Climatic thresholds shape northern high-latitude fire regimes and imply vulnerability to future climate change

(2016) Adam M. Young et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Overestimating climate warming-induced methane gas escape from the seafloor by neglecting multiphase flow dynamics

(2016) C. Stranne et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

No significant increase in long-term CH4 emissions on North Slope of Alaska despite significant increase in air temperature

(2016) Colm Sweeney et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A scalable model for methane consumption in arctic mineral soils

(2016) Youmi Oh et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Double-counting challenges the accuracy of high-latitude methane inventories

(2016) Brett F. Thornton et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A multiyear estimate of methane fluxes in Alaska from CARVE atmospheric observations

(2016) Scot M. Miller et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Climate-sensitive northern lakes and ponds are critical components of methane release

(2016) Martin Wik et al.   Nature Geoscience

Pan-Arctic ice-wedge degradation in warming permafrost and its influence on tundra hydrology

(2016) Anna K. Liljedahl et al.   Nature Geoscience

Large contribution to inland water CO2 and CH4 emissions from very small ponds

(2016) Meredith A. Holgerson et al.   Nature Geoscience

Detecting regional patterns of changing CO2flux in Alaska

(2016) Nicholas C. Parazoo et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Observed Arctic sea-ice loss directly follows anthropogenic CO 2 emission

(2016) Dirk Notz et al.   SCIENCE

Enhanced seasonal CO2 exchange caused by amplified plant productivity in northern ecosystems

(2016) M. Forkel et al.   SCIENCE

Circumpolar distribution and carbon storage of thermokarst landscapes

(2016) D. Olefeldt et al.   Nature Communications

Wildfires Dynamics in Siberian Larch Forests

(2016) Evgenii Ponomarev et al.   Forests

The atmospheric role in the Arctic water cycle: A review on processes, past and future changes, and their impacts

(2016) Timo Vihma et al.   Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences

Arctic lakes are continuous methane sources to the atmosphere under warming conditions

(2015) Zeli Tan et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Permafrost thaw and resulting soil moisture changes regulate projected high-latitude CO2and CH4emissions

(2015) D M Lawrence et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Rising methane emissions from northern wetlands associated with sea ice decline

(2015) Frans-Jan W. Parmentier et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Interhemispheric transit time distributions and path-dependent lifetimes constrained by measurements of SF6 , CFCs, and CFC replacements

(2015) Mark Holzer et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate change and the permafrost carbon feedback

(2015) E. A. G. Schuur et al.   NATURE

A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the permafrost carbon–climate feedback

(2015) C. D. Koven et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Arctic sea ice trends, variability and implications for seasonal ice forecasting

(2015) Mark C. Serreze et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Cold season emissions dominate the Arctic tundra methane budget

(2015) Donatella Zona et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Attribution of Arctic temperature change to greenhouse-gas and aerosol influences

(2015) Mohammad Reza Najafi et al.   Nature Climate Change

Climate sensitivity of shrub growth across the tundra biome

(2015) Isla H. Myers-Smith et al.   Nature Climate Change

A microbial functional group-based module for simulating methane production and consumption: Application to an incubated permafrost soil

(2015) Xiaofeng Xu et al.   Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences

Surface water inundation in the boreal-Arctic: potential impacts on regional methane emissions

(2014) Jennifer D Watts et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Warmer and wetter winters: characteristics and implications of an extreme weather event in the High Arctic

(2014) Brage B Hansen et al.   Environmental Research Letters

The impact of the permafrost carbon feedback on global climate

(2014) Kevin Schaefer et al.   Environmental Research Letters

A global inventory of lakes based on high-resolution satellite imagery

(2014) Charles Verpoorter et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea-ice retreat

(2014) R. Bintanja et al.   NATURE

Net regional methane sink in High Arctic soils of northeast Greenland

(2014) Christian Juncher Jørgensen et al.   Nature Geoscience

Arctic amplification dominated by temperature feedbacks in contemporary climate models

(2014) Felix Pithan et al.   Nature Geoscience

Expert assessment of vulnerability of permafrost carbon to climate change

(2013) E. A. G. Schuur et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Forests on thawing permafrost: fragmentation, edge effects, and net forest loss

(2013) Jennifer L. Baltzer et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

A Decomposition of Feedback Contributions to Polar Warming Amplification

(2013) Patrick C. Taylor et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Recent Progress Regarding Permafrost Coasts

(2013) H. Lantuit et al.   PERMAFROST AND PERIGLACIAL PROCESSES

Arctic sea-ice decline archived by multicentury annual-resolution record from crustose coralline algal proxy

(2013) J. Halfar et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Recent burning of boreal forests exceeds fire regime limits of the past 10,000 years

(2013) R. Kelly et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Enhanced Seasonal Exchange of CO2 by Northern Ecosystems Since 1960

(2013) H. D. Graven et al.   SCIENCE

The impact of lower sea-ice extent on Arctic greenhouse-gas exchange

(2013) Frans-Jan W. Parmentier et al.   Nature Climate Change

Shifts in Arctic vegetation and associated feedbacks under climate change

(2013) Richard G. Pearson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Future Arctic climate changes: Adaptation and mitigation time scales

(2013) James E. Overland et al.   Earths Future

Upscaling terrestrial carbon dioxide fluxes in Alaska with satellite remote sensing and support vector regression

(2013) Masahito Ueyama et al.   Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences

Environmental and physical controls on northern terrestrial methane emissions across permafrost zones

(2012) David Olefeldt et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Ocean temperature variability for the past 60 years on the Norwegian-Svalbard margin influences gas hydrate stability on human time scales

(2012) Bénédicte Ferré et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Trends in CO2exchange in a high Arctic tundra heath, 2000-2010

(2012) Magnus Lund et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Geologic methane seeps along boundaries of Arctic permafrost thaw and melting glaciers

(2012) Katey M. Walter Anthony et al.   Nature Geoscience

The challenge to keep global warming below 2 °C

(2012) Glen P. Peters et al.   Nature Climate Change

Plot-scale evidence of tundra vegetation change and links to recent summer warming

(2012) Sarah C. Elmendorf et al.   Nature Climate Change

Is the northern high-latitude land-based CO2sink weakening?

(2011) D. J. Hayes et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Mechanisms influencing changes in lake area in Alaskan boreal forest

(2011) JENNIFER ROACH et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Longer growing seasons do not increase net carbon uptake in the northeastern Siberian tundra

(2011) F. J. W. Parmentier et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Spatial and temporal dynamics in eddy covariance observations of methane fluxes at a tundra site in northeastern Siberia

(2011) F. J. W. Parmentier et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Bubbles trapped in arctic lake ice: Potential implications for methane emissions

(2011) Martin Wik et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Recent changes in shelf hydrography in the Siberian Arctic: Potential for subsea permafrost instability

(2011) Igor A. Dmitrenko et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Global atmospheric methane: budget, changes and dangers

(2011) E. J. Dlugokencky et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Freshwater Methane Emissions Offset the Continental Carbon Sink

(2011) D. Bastviken et al.   SCIENCE

Methane emissions from permafrost thaw lakes limited by lake drainage

(2011) J. van Huissteden et al.   Nature Climate Change

Modeling regional to global CH4emissions of boreal and arctic wetlands

(2010) A. M. R. Petrescu et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Recent acceleration of biomass burning and carbon losses in Alaskan forests and peatlands

(2010) Merritt R. Turetsky et al.   Nature Geoscience

Extensive Methane Venting to the Atmosphere from Sediments of the East Siberian Arctic Shelf

(2010) N. Shakhova et al.   SCIENCE

Polar amplification in a coupled climate model with locked albedo

(2009) Rune Grand Graversen et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Integrating peatlands and permafrost into a dynamic global vegetation model: 1. Evaluation and sensitivity of physical land surface processes

(2009) R. Wania et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Soil organic carbon pools in the northern circumpolar permafrost region

(2009) C. Tarnocai et al.   GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES

Satellite based analysis of northern ET trends and associated changes in the regional water balance from 1983 to 2005

(2009) Ke Zhang et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Combined Simple Biosphere/Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach terrestrial carbon cycle model

(2008) Kevin Schaefer et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Large tundra methane burst during onset of freezing

(2008) Mikhail Mastepanov et al.   NATURE

Net carbon dioxide losses of northern ecosystems in response to autumn warming

(2008) Shilong Piao et al.   NATURE

Attribution of polar warming to human influence

(2008) Nathan P. Gillett et al.   Nature Geoscience