Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Shinji Matsumura, Takeshi Horinouchi
Summary: The East Asian summer climate has undergone significant changes since the late 1990s, primarily due to a weakening of the Pacific-Japan (PJ) teleconnection pattern that previously influenced precipitation variability in the region. However, western Japan has experienced frequent heavy rainfall events in recent years. Analysis of atmospheric data and observations from 1979 to 2020 indicates that summer precipitation has increased the most in Japan, particularly in the Southwest Islands, where cumulus convection has become more dominant in driving precipitation variability. This shift in precipitation variability is closely related to the second precipitation mode in East Asia, which has replaced the PJ pattern as a leading driver of precipitation variability in western Japan.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Xinyu Li, Riyu Lu, Jiping Liu, Shaoyin Wang
Summary: Arctic sea ice in summer experiences large-scale circulation anomalies on both interannual and decadal time scales. The interannual anomalies are mainly influenced by thermodynamic processes, while the decadal anomalies are driven by wind-induced sea ice drift. Both types of anomalies lead to sea ice decline, but the impact is more significant on the interannual time scale.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Jun Xu, Qinghong Zhang, Baogui Bi, Yun Chen
Summary: The interannual variation of springtime extreme precipitation (SEP) days in North China and their relationship with atmospheric circulation patterns were studied. Results show large interannual variability but no significant trend in the number of SEP days. Three dominant atmospheric circulation patterns were identified and found to be associated with the majority of SEP days in North China. The West Pacific pattern was identified as one possible climate variability mode related to SEP days. This study highlights the link between daily circulation patterns and climate variability modes in North China, providing insights into the understanding of extreme precipitation events.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2022)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Zhongfang Liu, Camille Risi, Francis Codron, Xiaogang He, Christopher J. Poulsen, Zhongwang Wei, Dong Chen, Sha Li, Gabriel J. Bowen
Summary: Recent studies have shown that the western Arctic experiences the fastest sea-ice decline, with the Pacific North American pattern playing a crucial role in driving sea-ice variability and accelerating sea-ice loss.
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Shuai Hu, Bo Wu, Tianjun Zhou, Yongqiang Yu
Summary: The interannual variability of Tibetan Plateau summer climate has significant impacts on both regional hydrological cycles and global climate. This study identifies four dominant modes of summertime large-scale circulation over the Tibetan Plateau and surrounding areas. These modes are associated with ENSO-forced, ENSO-independent, summer North Atlantic Oscillation, and circumglobal teleconnection patterns.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Haolin Luo, Ziqian Wang, Huan Wu, Zhuoyu Zeng, Wei Yua
Summary: A study revealed that the relationship between the atmospheric heat source (AHS) over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and the western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone (WNPAC) has weakened since the late 1990s. The long-term change in the upper-level atmospheric circulation over the TP has been identified as an important cause for this weakening.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Justin Hicks, Bin Guan, Sumant Nigam, Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas
Summary: This study analyzes the atmospheric rivers (ARs) that occurred along the west coast of North America from 1980 to 2018, with a focus on winter landfalling ARs. The analysis reveals that the North Pacific Oscillation/West Pacific (NPO/WP) teleconnection has a significant impact on the number of ARs in this region.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yuepeng Hu, Botao Zhou, Tingting Han, Huixin Li, Huijun Wang
Summary: Using the S-EOF analysis, this study finds an in-phase change of drought from spring to summer in Northeast China, associated with geopotential height anomalies around Lake Baikal. The study also shows that the spring NAO plays a significant role in the in-phase change of spring-summer droughts over Northeast China, through the combined effects of zonal wave train and central Siberian soil moisture. These findings contribute to a better understanding of drought in Northeast China and have implications for disaster prevention and mitigation.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Zhiyi Zhao, Zhongda Lin, Fang Li, Brendan M. Rogers
Summary: This study comprehensively investigates the influence of summer leading large-scale atmospheric teleconnection patterns in the Northern Hemisphere extra-tropics on interannual variability of fires in the Arctic-boreal zone (ABZ). The results show that these teleconnection patterns significantly affect the burned areas across the ABZ, highlighting their important role in ABZ fires.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Xuya Ren, Li Zhang, Wenju Cai, Xichen Li, Chuan-Yang Wang, Yishuai Jin, Lixin Wu
Summary: Antarctic sea ice is influenced by sea surface temperature variability in the tropical Atlantic, especially prominent during austral autumn; meridional dipole SST anomalies in the tropical Atlantic generate stationary Rossby wave trains that induce atmospheric circulation anomalies, ultimately impacting sea ice concentration anomalies.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Tao Wang, Xiaohua Gou, Wenshou Tian, Xuejia Wang, Fei Xie
Summary: This study obtained the first leading mode and principal component 1 (PC1) of North Pacific sea surface temperature (SST). The PC1-related SST anomalies, referred to as North/South PC1 events, have different effects on atmospheric circulations and surface temperatures over North America due to the different positions of the Aleutian low and southerly anomalies. The meridional position of PC1 events should be considered in future studies on PC1 and its related climate changes.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yating Xiong, Xuejuan Ren
Summary: The atmospheric river (AR) significantly influences wintertime precipitation over the pan-North Pacific, especially in the core region, with AR group and non-AR group precipitation originating from different sources. Additionally, AR frequency varies notably during El Nino and La Nina years.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Anran Zhuge, Benkui Tan
Summary: The ZNPO pattern is a newly identified teleconnection pattern that oscillates mass in the troposphere between the eastern and western North Pacific, affecting severe weather and hydroclimate events in North Pacific and North America during winter. It is primarily driven by baroclinic energy conversion and feedback forcing by transient eddies, acting as a major source of kinetic energy to maintain the pattern.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Xianke Yang, Ping Huang, Peng Hu, Zhibiao Wang
Summary: This study defines two indices for continuing and emerging ENSOs based on the combination of the two leading modes of tropical sea surface temperature anomalies. It reveals that these two types of ENSOs dominate the variability in the tropical Indo-western Pacific and have different impacts on the Asian summer monsoon.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Fengmin Wu, Wenkai Li, Peng Zhang, Wei Li
Summary: The interannual variations in wintertime Arctic surface air temperature are influenced by sea ice variations and atmospheric anomalous conditions, with changes in large-scale atmospheric circulations playing a significant role in explaining these variations.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Hal Ritchie, Stephane Belair, Natacha B. Bernier, Mark Buehner, Martin Charron, Vincent Fortin, Louis Garand, Pieter Houtekamer, Syed Husain, Stephane Laroche, Jean-Francois Lemieux, Hai Lin, Ron McTaggart-Cowan, Jason Milbrandt, Herschel Mitchell, Pierre Pellerin, Janusz Pudykiewicz, Leo Separovic, Gregory C. Smith, Monique Tanguay, Paul A. Vaillancourt
Summary: Contributions of Recherche en Prevision Numerique (RPN) to Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP): A review article invited by Atmosphere-Ocean
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Cristiana Stan, Cheng Zheng, Edmund Kar-Man Chang, Daniela I. Domeisen, Chaim Garfinkel, Andrea M. Jenney, Hyemi Kim, Young-Kwon Lim, Hai Lin, Andrew Robertson, Chen Schwartz, Frederic Vitart, Jiabao Wang, Priyanka Yadav
Summary: This study evaluates the ability of state-of-the-art S2S forecasting systems to represent and predict the teleconnections of the Madden-Julian oscillation and their effects on weather, providing valuable insights for modeling community on further development focus.
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Bin Yu, Xuebin Zhang, Guilong Li, Wei Yu
Summary: This study analyzes the future projections of wind speeds worldwide and finds an asymmetry in wind power changes between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. It predicts a decrease in wind speeds across mid-latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere and an increase in the tropics and subtropics of the Southern Hemisphere. The projections also show regional variations and highlight the role of internal climate variability in these changes.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Jialin Lin, Taotao Qian, Howard B. Bluestein, Peter Ditlevsen, Hai Lin, Tatsuya Seiki, Eigo Tochimoto, Hannah Barnes, Peter Bechtold, Frederick H. Carr, Saulo R. Freitas, Steven J. Goodman, Georg Grell, Jongil Han, Philip Klotzbach, Woosub Roh, Masaki Satoh, Siegfried Schubert, Guang Zhang, Ping Zhu
Summary: This paper summarizes the current challenges in climate and weather research and provides suggestions for future research directions.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Hai Lin
Summary: This review article discusses the rich variabilities in the global atmosphere and climate system on the intraseasonal time scale, with a focus on the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) as the dominant mode of tropical intraseasonal variability. The MJO has a significant global impact and is a major source of skill for subseasonal to seasonal predictions.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Dae Il Jeong, Alex J. Cannon, Bin Yu
Summary: This study investigates the linkage between atmospheric blocking and summer heatwaves over North America using reanalysis datasets and Earth System Models. The study finds that blocking is related to heatwave frequency, with positive heat flux anomalies causing above-normal heatwave frequency in the blocking core and its surroundings, and cold air temperature advection anomalies causing below-normal frequency in remote locations. Future projections in central Canada differ between the models, but blocking will continue to play an important role in the development of summer heatwaves.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Hai Lin, Ruping Mo, Frederic Vitart
Summary: This study evaluates the ability of 10 Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction models to predict above-normal temperatures in western North America 2-3 weeks in advance. It is found that most models were able to predict the high temperatures in Western Canada during June 28-July 4 as early as June 10. However, for forecasts initialized earlier than June 17, none of the models could accurately capture the magnitude of the observed temperature anomaly. The study identifies the importance of two processes: an upper tropospheric wave train associated with the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in Southeast Asia, and an anomalous North Pacific atmospheric river leading to high moisture conditions. Most models were able to predict the wave train across the North Pacific, but a realistic representation of moisture transport and its pattern appears crucial for the extended-range forecast of this heatwave.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Bin Yu, Hai Lin
Summary: This study examines the evolution and driving mechanism of the interannual warm Arctic-cold continents (WACC) pattern over the North American sector, specifically the warm Arctic-cold North American pattern (WACNA). The study found that a negative phase of the warm Arctic-cold Eurasia (WACE) pattern tends to lead to a positive phase of the WACNA pattern about 25 days later. Negative Asian-Bering-North American (ABNA)- and Pacific-North American (PNA)-like atmospheric circulation patterns also appear upstream and precede a positive WACNA by about 25 days. The formation of these patterns is influenced by factors such as Siberian snow decline and negative sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical central-eastern Pacific Ocean.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2022)
Editorial Material
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Jialin Lin, Hai Lin
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
K. Andrew Peterson, Gregory C. Smith, Jean-Francois Lemieux, Francois Roy, Mark Buehner, Alain Caya, Pieter L. Houtekamer, Hai Lin, Ryan Muncaster, Xingxiu Deng, Frederic Dupont, Normand Gagnon, Yukie Hata, Yosvany Martinez, Juan Sebastian Fontecilla, Dorina Surcel-Colan
Summary: The Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS) of Environment and Climate Change Canada has been upgraded to a coupled atmosphere, ocean, and sea-ice version, and shows improved sea-ice prediction compared to persistence and a deterministic Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS). The ensemble system offers enhanced benefits over a single deterministic forecast during the minimum and maximum extent periods and the early freeze-up period, although further improvement of the spread/error relationship is needed.
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Bin Yu, Xiaolan L. Wang, Yang Feng, Rodney Chan, Gilbert P. Compo, Laura C. Slivinski, Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Michael Wehner, Xiao-Yi Yang
Summary: This study analyzes extratropical cyclones in the mid-latitude regions and compares cyclone activity indices in different datasets. The results reveal similar annual and seasonal variations in cyclone indices among the datasets, with varying correlations between cyclone count and intensity in different seasons.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Andrew G. Marshall, Guomin Wang, Harry H. Hendon, Hai Lin
Summary: The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) has a significant impact on Australian springtime temperatures and extremes. It induces strong warming in southern Australia when its active convection propagates over the Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent. The heat signal is strongest in southeast Australia during specific MJO phases, in the vicinity of a deep anticyclonic anomaly. These temperature fluctuations are part of a Rossby wave train that originates from the Indian Ocean and disperses across the Southern Hemisphere towards South America.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Bin Yu, Hai Lin
Summary: This study examines the relationship between the warm Arctic-cold North American pattern (WACNA) and the warm Arctic-cold Eurasia pattern (WACE) using reanalysis and climate simulations. The results show that a negative WACE-like pattern precedes a positive WACNA pattern, and a negative Asian-Bering-North American (ABNA)-like circulation pattern connects Eurasia and North America, along with a negative Pacific-North American (PNA)-like pattern. The negative ABNA-like pattern is attributed to anomalous heating in southern Siberia associated with the negative WACE pattern. The negative PNA-like pattern is influenced by negative sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific. Anomalous temperature advection in the lower troposphere supports the formation of WACNA.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Ruping Mo, Hai Lin, Frederic Vitart
Summary: Based on analyses of observation-based data and numerical weather prediction model output, this study reveals that a warm-season atmospheric river moved from Southeast Asia across the North Pacific in June 2021, contributing heat and moisture to a heatwave event in western North America. The movement of this system resulted in substantial spillover of moisture and sensible heat, forming a positive feedback mechanism that potentially led to the expansion of the heatwave event.
COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Bin Yu, Guilong Li, Hai Lin, Shangfeng Chen
Summary: The climate simulations conducted with two generations of Canadian Earth System Models reveal a poleward intensified warming trend and high risk of severe warm days over the west coast of North America and northern Canada, while the belt of extreme cold days extending from Alaska to the northeastern United States weakens. The warming trend is stronger in CanESM5 than in CanESM2, and there are large ensemble spreads in the SAT trend and extreme temperature projections.