4.5 Article

Estimation of gross primary production in China (1982-2010) with multiple ecosystem models

Journal

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING
Volume 324, Issue -, Pages 33-44

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.12.019

Keywords

Gross primary production; Dynamic global vegetation model; Carbon dioxide fertilization; Climate change

Categories

Funding

  1. National Basic Research Program of China [2013CB956303]
  2. National Natural Science Foundation of China [41530528]
  3. Chinese Ministry of Environmental Protection Grant [201209031]

Ask authors/readers for more resources

Terrestrial gross primary production (GPP) is a major flux affecting land-atmosphere CO2 exchange and is important for regulating atmospheric CO2 concentrations, thereby affecting climate change. Dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) are important tools for simulation of vegetation productivity and can be coupled with other components of Earth system models. This study simulated GPP of terrestrial ecosystems in China from 1982 to 2010 utilizing five state-of-the-art DGVMs, which considered increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations and climate change. Our models consistently showed an ascending GPP gradient from northwest to southeast China. The annual total GPP in China estimated by the DGVMs (mean = 7.97 PgCyr(-1); range = 6.14-9.76 PgCyr(-1)) were generally higher than estimations from previous studies. The greatest overestimation of GPP occurred in south China in warm, wet climates. All DGVMs and JU11 indicated that annual GPP in China increased from 1982 to 2010. There was a statistically significant correlation between simulated GPP and temperature in the Tibetan Plateau, which was supported by flux tower measurements. Additionally, there was a significant correlation between simulated GPP and precipitation in east China, though this should be interpreted cautiously. Further research is needed to improve simulations to better account for spatial and temporal variations in GPP at regional scales by improving representations of existing processes and incorporating currently unconsidered processes. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Authors

I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.

Reviews

Primary Rating

4.5
Not enough ratings

Secondary Ratings

Novelty
-
Significance
-
Scientific rigor
-
Rate this paper

Recommended

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Recent wetting trend in China from 1982 to 2016 and the impacts of extreme El Nino events

Hao Yan, Shao-Qiang Wang, Jun-Bang Wang, An-Hong Guo, Zai-Chun Zhu, Ranga B. Myneni, Herman H. Shugart

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

Vegetation biomass change in China in the 20th century: an assessment based on a combination of multi-model simulations and field observations

Xiang Song, Fang Li, Sandy P. Harrison, Tianxiang Luo, Almut Arneth, Matthew Forrest, Stijn Hantson, Gitta Lasslop, Stephane Mangeon, Jian Ni, Chao Yue, Thomas Hickler, Yiqi Luo, Stephen Sitch, Xin Xu, Zaichun Zhu

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2020)

Article Agronomy

Future greening of the Earth may not be as large as previously predicted

Qian Zhao, Zaichun Zhu, Hui Zeng, Weiqing Zhao, Ranga B. Myneni

AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY (2020)

Article Geography, Physical

Effects of urbanization on vegetation conditions in coastal zone of China

Baoying Huang, Zhijian Li, Chengcheng Dong, Zaichun Zhu, Hui Zeng

Summary: This study quantified the impacts of urbanization on vegetation in 48 Chinese coastal cities and found that while urbanization had a negative impact on vegetation conditions in terms of vegetation loss from land changes, it also potentially promoted vegetation growth in most coastal areas. Additionally, positive indirect impacts of urbanization on vegetation conditions were observed at various scales in the study period.

PROGRESS IN PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY-EARTH AND ENVIRONMENT (2021)

Editorial Material Multidisciplinary Sciences

Comment on Recent global decline of CO2 fertilization effects on vegetation photosynthesis COMMENT

Zaichun Zhu, Hui Zeng, Ranga B. Myneni, Chi Chen, Qian Zhao, Junjun Zha, Simin Zhan, Ian MacLachlan

Summary: The study by Wang et al. highlights the incorrect processing of satellite data and problematic methods for comparing CO2 fertilization effect (CFE) between satellite data and model simulations. Their findings suggest that ecosystem models may not necessarily underestimate the rate of CFE decline as previously thought.

SCIENCE (2021)

Editorial Material Environmental Sciences

Toward an in-depth evaluation of the ecosystem component of CMIP6 Earth system models

Zai-Chun Zhu

ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH (2021)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Assessment of the response of tropical dry forests to El Nin∼o southern oscillation

Lidong Zou, Sen Cao, Zaichun Zhu, Arturo Sanchez-Azofeifa

Summary: The study revealed that Tropical Dry Forests (TDFs) are significantly affected by drought related to El Nin similar to o, with different responses to different ENSO phases across various sites. In the short term, the sensitivity of vegetation productivity to the El Nino warm phase varied among different locations.

ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS (2021)

Article Remote Sensing

Object-Oriented Unsupervised Change Detection Based on Neighborhood Correlation Images and k-Means Clustering for the Multispectral and High Spatial Resolution Images

Lidong Zou, Muyi Li, Sen Cao, Feng Yue, Xiufang Zhu, Yizhan Li, Zaichun Zhu

Summary: A novel unsupervised object-oriented change detection method based on NCIs and k-means clustering outperforms traditional difference images in unsupervised change detection for high-resolution remote sensing images, as demonstrated by the experimental results.

CANADIAN JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

Exploring the Best-Matching Plant Traits and Environmental Factors for Vegetation Indices in Estimates of Global Gross Primary Productivity

Weiqing Zhao, Zaichun Zhu

Summary: This study explores the relative performance of different vegetation indices in predicting gross primary productivity (GPP) and investigates additional factors that can better reveal the photosynthetic capacity of vegetation. The results show that solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) performs best when modeled using a single vegetation index, while NIRv combined with CO2, plant traits, and climatic factors achieves the highest prediction accuracy.

REMOTE SENSING (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

Competition between biogeochemical drivers and land-cover changes determines urban greening or browning

Long Li, Wenfeng Zhan, Weimin Ju, Josep Penuelas, Zaichun Zhu, Shushi Peng, Xiaolin Zhu, Zihan Liu, Yuyu Zhou, Jiufeng Li, Jiameng Lai, Fan Huang, Gaofei Yin, Yongshuo Fu, Manchun Li, Chao Yu

Summary: Urban vegetation is influenced by complex urban environments. The study reveals that greenness trends decrease from urban cores to urban new towns, and brownish trends are observed in urban fringes. These results highlight the joint influence of biogeochemical drivers and land-cover changes on the urban-rural gradient in vegetation trends, providing insights into future global vegetation change.

REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT (2023)

Correction Plant Sciences

Seasonal peak photosynthesis is hindered by late canopy development in northern ecosystems (vol 8, pg 1484, 2022)

Qian Zhao, Zaichun Zhu, Hui Zeng, Ranga B. Myneni, Yao Zhang, Josep Penuelas, Shilong Piao

NATURE PLANTS (2023)

Article Plant Sciences

Seasonal peak photosynthesis is hindered by late canopy development in northern ecosystems

Qian Zhao, Zaichun Zhu, Hui Zeng, Ranga B. B. Myneni, Yao Zhang, Josep Penuelas, Shilong Piao

Summary: The seasonal timing of maximum canopy structure is found to be earlier for photosynthesis than for canopy structure in the majority of the northern vegetated area, leading to a suboptimal maximum seasonal photosynthesis. This mismatch in peak timing has increased significantly during the study period, mainly due to increasing atmospheric CO2 and is influenced by climatic variables and nutrient limitations.

NATURE PLANTS (2022)

Article Spectroscopy

Research in Crop Yield Estimation Models on Different Scales Based on Remote Sensing and Crop Growth Model

Yu Xin-hua, Zhao Wei-qing, Zhu Zai-chun, Xu Bao-dong, Zhao Zhi-zhan

Summary: Food security is crucial for social harmony, political stability, and sustainable economic development. The Scalable Crop Yield Mapping (SCYM) framework provides a satellite data-based method for estimating crop yield without relying on ground-measured data. The study on winter wheat in Anhui Province from 2012 to 2018 shows that the SCYM method has good accuracy and potential for application in agricultural production at regional scales.

SPECTROSCOPY AND SPECTRAL ANALYSIS (2021)

Article Geography

Landscape ecological risk assessment of Chinese coastal cities based on land use change

Wen Zhang, Wen J. Chang, Zai C. Zhu, Zeng Hui

APPLIED GEOGRAPHY (2020)

Article Ecology

EFFECTS OF DIFFERENT TYPES OF MULCHING FILMS ON SOIL EVAPORATION AND TEMPERATURE

S. J. Sun, Z. C. Zhu, Z. J. Chen, W. Wang, G. H. Yin, K. B. Dong

APPLIED ECOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH (2019)

Article Ecology

Using a dynamical model to study the impact of a toxoid vaccine on the evolution of a bacterium: The example of diphtheria

Florian Lecorvaisier, Dominique Pontier, Benoit Soubeyrand, David Fouchet

Summary: Research has found that the use of vaccines that do not entirely block pathogen transmission may lead to the evolution of more virulent strains. High vaccine coverage favors the emergence and prevalence of avirulent strains, and competition between strains is crucial for the eradication of toxigenic strains when these vaccines are used.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

Using a time-dynamic food web model to compare predation and fishing mortality in Pleuroncodes monodon (Galatheidae: Crustaceae) and other benthic and demersal resource species off central Chile

Monica E. Barros, Ana Arriagada, Hugo Arancibia, Sergio Neira

Summary: The stock biomass of carrot prawn in the south-central area of Chile has decreased in the past 12 years, mainly due to fishing mortality. Predation mortality has been less studied and quantified, so it is important to estimate and compare predation and fishing mortality to understand their effects on fishing stocks. A food web model was built to analyze the biomass changes and evaluate the relative contribution of different mortality factors. The results showed that predation mortality was the main component of total mortality for carrot prawns and yellow prawns.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

Interactive effects of viral lysis and warming in a coastal ocean identified from an idealized ecosystem model

Shubham Krishna, Victoria Peterson, Luisa Listmann, Jana Hinners

Summary: This study incorporated viral dynamics into an ecosystem model to investigate the effects of viruses on ecosystem dynamics under current and future climatic conditions. The results showed that the presence of viruses increased nutrient retention in the upper water column, leading to a reduction in phytoplankton biomass and transfer of biomass to higher trophic levels.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

Modeling urban growth effects on carrying capacity in arid and semi-arid regions using system dynamics

Zahra Dehghan Manshadi, Parastoo Parivar, Ahad Sotoudeh, Ali Morovati Sharifabadi

Summary: This study demonstrates the importance of strategies such as limiting built-up areas, preserving green spaces, and protecting water resources on the urban carrying capacity in arid and semi-arid regions. Implementing a combination of policies aimed at enhancing urban green spaces and regulating water demand is found to be the most effective in terms of health and urban carrying capacity.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

Habitat modelling of native freshwater mussels distinguishes river specific differences in the Detroit and St. Clair rivers of the Laurentian Great Lakes

Shay S. Keretz, Daelyn A. Woolnough, Todd J. Morris, Edward F. Roseman, David T. Zanatta

Summary: This study surveyed native freshwater mussels in the St. Clair-Detroit River system and found 14 live unionids representing 9 species. However, the model used to predict their presence in the main channels was not successful. The study also revealed characteristic differences between the St. Clair and Detroit Rivers.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

Dynamic simulation and projection of land use change using system dynamics model in the Chinese Tianshan mountainous region, central Asia

Zhengrong Zhang, Xuemei Li, Xinyu Liu, Kaixin Zhao

Summary: This study examines land use change in the Chinese Tianshan mountainous region using system dynamics and patch-generating land use simulation models. The results show an expansion in forest and construction land, a decline in grassland area, and an increase in cultivated land area from 2005 to 2020. By 2040, unused land, grassland, and water are expected to decrease while other land types increase, with construction land showing the most significant increase. The study provides insights for future ecological and environmental management in the region.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

The impact of aquatic habitats on the malaria parasite transmission: A view from an agent-based model

Amira Khelifa, Nadjia El Saadi

Summary: This paper develops an agent-based model to study malaria disease transmission, taking into account the interactions between hosts, vectors, and aquatic habitats, as well as their geographical locations. The simulation results highlight the significant role of aquatic habitats in infection transmission and disease persistence, and demonstrate the effectiveness of eliminating these habitats in limiting disease transmission.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

Movement-based coexistence does not always require a functional trade-off

Guillaume Peron

Summary: The theory for movement-based coexistence between species often overlooks small-scale, station-keeping movements. However, at this scale, there are many instances where positive correlations exist between species traits that are expected to be negatively correlated based on current theory. Through simulations, the researcher presents a counter-example to demonstrate that functional tradeoffs are not a necessary condition for movement-based coexistence. This study highlights the significance of species-specific space use patterns under the time allocation tradeoff hypothesis.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

Ecological modeling evaluates the potential impacts of symbionts on plant pathogen vectoring in field populations

Sandra Y. Mendiola, Nicole M. Gerardo, David J. Civitello

Summary: Research on the use of insect microbial symbionts as a means of controlling the spread of insect vectors and the pathogens they carry has made significant progress in the last decade. This study focused on the relative importance of simultaneous effects caused by a symbiont called Caballeronia spp. on the ability of squash bugs to transmit phytopathogenic Serratia marcescens. The researchers found that infection with Caballeronia significantly reduced pathogen titers and cleared S. marcescens in bugs, thus reducing the vectoring potential of these pests. The study also showed that maximizing symbiont prevalence in the vector population is crucial for effectively mitigating plant infections.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

Global sensitivity analysis of APSIM-wheat yield predictions to model parameters and inputs

Shirui Hao, Dongryeol Ryu, Andrew W. Western, Eileen Perry, Heye Bogena, Harrie Jan Hendricks Franssen

Summary: This study investigates the sensitivity of model yield prediction to uncertainties in model parameters and inputs using the Sobol' method. The results show that yield is more sensitive to changes in water availability and nitrogen availability, depending on soil, management, and weather conditions.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

Groundwater sustainability assessment under climate change scenarios using integrated modelling approach and multi-criteria decision method

Nitika Mundetia, Devesh Sharma, Aditya Sharma

Summary: This study focused on assessing groundwater sustainability using different modeling approaches in a river basin in Rajasthan, India. The results showed a decrease in future groundwater recharge and emphasized the need for better management and conservation practices to achieve sustainable development goals.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

Bacteria as ecosystem engineers: Unraveling clues through a novel functional response and tritrophic model

Sukdev Biswas, Sk Golam Mortoja, Ritesh Kumar Bera, Sabyasachi Bhattacharya

Summary: Bacteria play a crucial role in regulating the nutrient cycle of ecosystems, and maintaining a thriving bacterial population is essential for the sustainability of these environments. This study introduces the concept of cooperation as a group defense mechanism employed by bacteria and incorporates it into the functional response, offering a more comprehensive understanding of the complex tritrophic food chain dynamics. The results highlight the importance of a balance between strong group defense and moderate cooperation for bacteria sustainability and overall system stability.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

Dispersal corridors of neonate sea turtles from dominant rookeries in the Western Indian Ocean

D. Z. M. Le Gouvello, S. Heye, L. R. Harris, J. Temple-Boyer, P. Gaspar, M. G. Hart-Davis, C. Louro, R. Nel

Summary: This study modeled the dispersal pathways and compared potential dispersal corridors of different sea turtle species in the Western Indian Ocean. The results showed that ocean currents play a major role in driving dispersal, with species and years exhibiting differences in dispersal patterns. Active swimming had little influence on dispersal during the first year.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Review Ecology

A review of computing models for studying population dynamics of giant panda ecosystems

Yingying Duan, Haina Rong, Gexiang Zhang, Sergey Gorbachev, Dunwu Qi, Luis Valencia-Cabrera, Mario J. Perez-Jimenez

Summary: Computing models are an effective way to study population dynamics of endangered species like giant pandas. This paper proposes a unified framework and conducts a comprehensive survey of computing models for giant panda ecosystems. Multi-factor computing models are more suitable for studying giant panda ecosystems.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)

Article Ecology

An agent-based model approach to assessing the role of vegetative fragments in seagrass connectivity

Samantha Lai, Theophilus Zhi En Teo, Arief Rullyanto, Jeffery Low, Karenne Tun, Peter A. Todd, Siti Maryam Yaakub

Summary: Understanding the exchange of genetic material among populations in the marine environment is crucial for conservation efforts. Agent-based models are increasingly used to predict dispersal pathways, including for seagrasses. This study highlights the importance of considering both sexual propagules and asexual vegetative fragments when evaluating seagrass connectivity.

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2024)