European and US lockdowns and second waves during the COVID-19 pandemic

A conceptual model for the outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action

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A Familial Cluster of Infection Associated With the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Indicating Possible Person-to-Person Transmission During the Incubation Period

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Transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak and effectiveness of government interventions: A data-driven analysis

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Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study

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Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia

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(2020) Joel Hellewell et al.   Lancet Global Health

Incubation Period and Other Epidemiological Characteristics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Infections with Right Truncation: A Statistical Analysis of Publicly Available Case Data

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Estimation of the Transmission Risk of the 2019-nCoV and Its Implication for Public Health Interventions

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The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application

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COVID-19 Transmission Within a Family Cluster by Presymptomatic Carriers in China

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Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study

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Temporal dynamics in viral shedding and transmissibility of COVID-19

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Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)

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Modified SEIR and AI prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in China under public health interventions

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The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study

(2020) Kiesha Prem et al.   Lancet Public Health

Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis

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Modeling behavioral change and COVID-19 containment in Mexico: A trade-off between lockdown and compliance

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Mathematical assessment of the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on curtailing the 2019 novel Coronavirus

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Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe

(2020) Seth Flaxman et al.   NATURE

Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study

(2020) Nicholas G Davies et al.   Lancet Public Health

COVID-19: Development of a robust mathematical model and simulation package with consideration for ageing population and time delay for control action and resusceptibility

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The construction of next-generation matrices for compartmental epidemic models

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