How robust are future projections of forest landscape dynamics? Insights from a systematic comparison of four forest landscape models

Climate change causes critical transitions and irreversible alterations of mountain forests

(2020) Katharina Albrich et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Competition and demography rather than dispersal limitation slow down upward shifts of trees’ upper elevation limits in the Alps

(2020) Daniel Scherrer et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

One Century of Forest Monitoring Data in Switzerland Reveals Species- and Site-Specific Trends of Climate-Induced Tree Mortality

(2019) Sophia Etzold et al.   Frontiers in Plant Science

Tree mortality submodels drive simulated long-term forest dynamics: assessing 15 models from the stand to global scale

(2019) Harald Bugmann et al.   Ecosphere

Uncertainty in ensembles of global biodiversity scenarios

(2019) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   Nature Communications

How to kill a tree: empirical mortality models for 18 species and their performance in a dynamic forest model

(2018) Lisa Hülsmann et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Future forest landscapes of the Carpathians: vegetation and carbon dynamics under climate change

(2018) Ivan Kruhlov et al.   Regional Environmental Change

Vegetation demographics in Earth System Models: A review of progress and priorities

(2017) Rosie A. Fisher et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The past and future of modeling forest dynamics: from growth and yield curves to forest landscape models

(2017) Stephen R. Shifley et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Tree growth responses to changing temperatures across space and time: a fine-scale analysis at the treeline in the Swiss Alps

(2017) Matthias Jochner et al.   TREES-STRUCTURE AND FUNCTION

Forest disturbances under climate change

(2017) Rupert Seidl et al.   Nature Climate Change

Quantifying resilience of multiple ecosystem services and biodiversity in a temperate forest landscape

(2017) Elena Cantarello et al.   Ecology and Evolution

Disturbances catalyze the adaptation of forest ecosystems to changing climate conditions

(2016) Dominik Thom et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The impacts of climate change and disturbance on spatio-temporal trajectories of biodiversity in a temperate forest landscape

(2016) Dominik Thom et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Impacts of future climate change on the carbon budget of northern high-latitude terrestrial ecosystems: An analysis using ISI-MIP data

(2016) Akihiko Ito et al.   Polar Science

Reviving extinct Mediterranean forest communities may improve ecosystem potential in a warmer future

(2015) Paul D Henne et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Coupling human and natural systems: Simulating adaptive management agents in dynamically changing forest landscapes

(2015) Werner Rammer et al.   GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS

Interactions among spruce beetle disturbance, climate change and forest dynamics captured by a forest landscape model

(2015) Christian Temperli et al.   Ecosphere

On underestimation of global vulnerability to tree mortality and forest die-off from hotter drought in the Anthropocene

(2015) Craig D. Allen et al.   Ecosphere

Disturbance legacies increase the resilience of forest ecosystem structure, composition, and functioning

(2014) Rupert Seidl et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Toward more robust projections of forest landscape dynamics under novel environmental conditions: Embedding PnET within LANDIS-II

(2014) Arjan de Bruijn et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Climate change and European forests: What do we know, what are the uncertainties, and what are the implications for forest management?

(2014) Marcus Lindner et al.   JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT

Explicit avalanche-forest feedback simulations improve the performance of a coupled avalanche-forest model

(2013) N. Zurbriggen et al.   Ecological Complexity

Cross-scale interactions among bark beetles, climate change, and wind disturbances: a landscape modeling approach

(2013) Christian Temperli et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Using spatial simulations of habitat modification for adaptive management of protected areas: Mediterranean grassland modification by woody plant encroachment

(2013) PAOLA MAIROTA et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION

A 2 °C warmer world is not safe for ecosystem services in the European Alps

(2013) Ché Elkin et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

When relationships estimated in the past cannot be used to predict the future: using mechanistic models to predict landscape ecological dynamics in a changing world

(2013) Eric J. Gustafson   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Sensitivity of ecosystem goods and services projections of a forest landscape model to initialization data

(2013) Christian Temperli et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

An individual-based process model to simulate landscape-scale forest ecosystem dynamics

(2012) Rupert Seidl et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

The representative concentration pathways: an overview

(2011) Detlef P. van Vuuren et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300

(2011) Malte Meinshausen et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Unraveling the drivers of intensifying forest disturbance regimes in Europe

(2011) RUPERT SEIDL et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Climate, competition and connectivity affect future migration and ranges of European trees

(2011) Eliane S. Meier et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions

(2011) Stan Yip et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Challenges of forest landscape modeling—Simulating large landscapes and validating results

(2011) Hong S. He et al.   LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING

The ODD protocol: A review and first update

(2010) Volker Grimm et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Modelling natural disturbances in forest ecosystems: a review

(2010) Rupert Seidl et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Physiological mechanisms of drought-induced tree mortality are far from being resolved

(2010) Anna Sala et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

A spatio-temporal modelling framework for assessing the fluctuations of avalanche occurrence resulting from climate change: application to 60 years of data in the northern French Alps

(2009) Nicolas Eckert et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Partitioning and mapping uncertainties in ensembles of forecasts of species turnover under climate change

(2009) José Alexandre F. Diniz-Filho et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and vulnerability of European forest ecosystems

(2009) Marcus Lindner et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests

(2009) Craig D. Allen et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Forest landscape models, a tool for understanding the effect of the large-scale and long-term landscape processes

(2008) Hong S. He et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT