4.7 Article

Web-based machine learning tool that determines the origin of natural gases

Journal

COMPUTERS & GEOSCIENCES
Volume 145, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.cageo.2020.104595

Keywords

Natural gas; Gas origin; Methane; Machine learning; Classification; Random forest

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Investigations on the origin of natural gases traditionally involve manual plotting of values for various geochemical parameters on binary gas genetic diagrams and the comparison of these values with empirically defined gas genetic fields. However, these fields considerably overlap, and the accuracy and uncertainty on the derived origin are not quantified. To overcome these issues, we developed a web-based tool powered by a machine learning model that determines the origin of natural gases. The utilized large global dataset of natural gases (27,852 samples) includes 10,937 samples which we manually interpreted and labeled with one of the five gas origins (thermogenic, primary microbial from CO2 reduction, primary microbial from methyl-type fermentation, secondary microbial, and abiotic). The supervised machine learning model uses random forest algorithm to classify natural gas samples based on four features (geochemical parameters CH4/(C2H6+C3H8), delta C-13-CH4, delta H-2-CH4 and (delta C-13-CO2). The model determines the origin of gases in samples with unknown origin accompanied by model accuracy and the confidence score for each possible origin. The model is deployed on the website www.gasorigin.com with a simple user-friendly interface. The incorporation of more data, geochemical parameters (model features) and determination of post-generation processes are the subjects of future developments.

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