4.7 Article

An improved inverse Gaussian process with random effects and measurement errors for RUL prediction of hydraulic piston pump

Journal

MEASUREMENT
Volume 173, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.measurement.2020.108604

Keywords

Hydraulic piston pump; Inverse Gaussian process; Prognostics; Degradation modeling; Remaining useful life

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [52075028]
  2. National Key Research and Development Program of China [2019YFE0105100]
  3. Norwegian Research Council [309628]
  4. Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, China
  5. National Science and Technology Pre Research Foundation of China [61400020101]

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An improved inverse Gaussian process model is proposed in this paper to enhance the accuracy of RUL prediction for hydraulic piston pumps by considering random effects and measurement errors. Through experiments, it is demonstrated that the improved model can effectively enhance the accuracy of prediction results.
Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction plays an important role in the operation and health management of hydraulic piston pumps. The inverse Gaussian (IG) process model is a flexible alternative for the RUL prediction of hydraulic piston pumps. However, random effects and measurement errors are not taken into account during the prediction process, which results in inaccurate prediction results. To improve the RUL prediction accuracy of hydraulic piston pumps, this paper proposes an improved IG process model by considering the random effects and measurement errors to describe the wear degradation. The measurement error is statistically dependent on the degradation state of the actual degradation process. Monte Carlo integration and the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm are further developed to estimate the parameters. Finally, the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed model are demonstrated through two case studies. The results show that the improved IG process model can improve the RUL prediction accuracy.

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