Journal
APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL
Volume 10, Issue 11, Pages -Publisher
MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/app10113961
Keywords
stock market index trend prediction; multiple time scale features; deep learning; convolutional neural network; long short-term memory neural network
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In the stock market, predicting the trend of price series is one of the most widely investigated and challenging problems for investors and researchers. There are multiple time scale features in financial time series due to different durations of impact factors and traders' trading behaviors. In this paper, we propose a novel end-to-end hybrid neural network, a model based on multiple time scale feature learning to predict the price trend of the stock market index. Firstly, the hybrid neural network extracts two types of features on different time scales through the first and second layers of the convolutional neural network (CNN), together with the raw daily price series, reflect relatively short-, medium- and long-term features in the price sequence. Secondly, considering time dependencies existing in the three kinds of features, the proposed hybrid neural network leverages three long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks to capture such dependencies, respectively. Finally, fully connected layers are used to learn joint representations for predicting the price trend. The proposed hybrid neural network demonstrates its effectiveness by outperforming benchmark models on the real dataset.
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