Drought generates large, long-term changes in tree and liana regeneration in a monodominant Amazon forest

The long-term dynamics of regeneration in tropical forests dominated by single tree species remains largely undocumented, yet is key to understanding the mechanisms by which one species can gain dominance and resist environmental change. We report here on the long-term regeneration dynamics in a monodominant stand ofBrosimum rubescensTaub. (Moraceae) at the southern border of the Amazon forest. Here the climate has warmed and dried since the mid-1990 ' s. Twenty-one years of tree and liana regeneration were evaluated in four censuses in 30 plots by assessing species abundance, dominance, and diversity in all regeneration classes up to 5 cm diameter. The density ofB. rubescensseedlings declined markedly, from 85% in 1997 to 29% in 2018 after the most intense El Nino-driven drought. While the fraction contributed by other tree species changed little, the relative density of liana seedlings increased from just 1 to 54% and three-quarters of liana species underwent a ten-fold or greater increase in abundance. The regeneration community experienced a high rate of species turnover, with changes in the overall richness and species diversity determined principally by lianas, not trees. Long-term maintenance of monodominance in this tropical forest is threatened by a sharp decline in the regeneration of the monodominant species and the increase in liana density, suggesting that monodominance will prove to be a transitory condition. The close association of these rapid changes with drying indicates that monodominantB. rubescensforests are impacted by drought-driven changes in regeneration, and therefore are particularly sensitive to climatic change.