What is the variability in US west coast winter precipitation during strong El Niño events?

The utility of seasonal hindcast database for the analysis of climate variability: an example

(2016) Mingyue Chen et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

An update on the estimate of predictability of seasonal mean atmospheric variability using North American Multi-Model Ensemble

(2016) Bhaskar Jha et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Causes and impacts of the 2014 warm anomaly in the NE Pacific

(2015) Nicholas A. Bond et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Causes of the 2011–14 California Drought*

(2015) Richard Seager et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Inherent Predictability, Requirements on the Ensemble Size, and Complementarity

(2015) Arun Kumar et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Influence of ENSO SSTs on the spread of the probability density function for precipitation and land surface temperature

(2014) Mingyue Chen et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Recent increases in extreme temperature occurrence over land

(2014) Scott J. Weaver et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

How Variable Is the Uncertainty in ENSO Sea Surface Temperature Prediction?

(2014) Arun Kumar et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The North American Multimodel Ensemble: Phase-1 Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction; Phase-2 toward Developing Intraseasonal Prediction

(2013) Ben P. Kirtman et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Potential seasonal predictability: Comparison between empirical and dynamical model estimates

(2013) Timothy DelSole et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Do extreme climate events require extreme forcings?

(2013) Arun Kumar et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2

(2013) Suranjana Saha et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Predictability, uncertainty and decision making: a unified perspective to build a bridge from weather to climate

(2013) Arun Kumar et al.   Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability

An Analysis of the Nonstationarity in the Bias of Sea Surface Temperature Forecasts for the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS) Version 2

(2012) A. Kumar et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

An Analysis of CPC’s Operational 0.5-Month Lead Seasonal Outlooks

(2012) Peitao Peng et al.   WEATHER AND FORECASTING

The NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis

(2010) Suranjana Saha et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Are tropical SST trends changing the global teleconnection during La Niña?

(2010) Arun Kumar et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

An analysis of seasonal predictability in coupled model forecasts

(2009) P. Peng et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

On the assessment of the value of the seasonal forecast information

(2009) Arun Kumar   METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

A Comparative Analysis of Change in the First and Second Moment of the PDF of Seasonal Mean 200-mb Heights with ENSO SSTs

(2008) Bhaskar Jha et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE