Combining Genetic Analysis and Multivariate Modeling to Evaluate Spectral Reflectance Indices as Indirect Selection Tools in Wheat Breeding under Water Deficit Stress Conditions

Progress in high-throughput tools has enabled plant breeders to increase the rate of genetic gain through multidimensional assessment of previously intractable traits in a fast and nondestructive manner. This study investigates the potential use of spectral reflectance indices (SRIs; 15 vegetation-SRIs; 15 water-SRIs) as alternative selection tools for destructively measured traits in wheat breeding programs. The genetic variability, heritability (h(2)), genetic gain (GG), and expected genetic advances (GA) of these indices were compared with those of destructively measured traits in 43 F7-8 recombinant inbred lines (RILs) grown under limited water conditions. The performance of SRIs to estimate the destructively measured traits directly was also evaluated using the partial least squares regression (PLSR) and stepwise multiple linear regression (SMLR) models. Most vegetation-SRIs exhibited high genotypic variation, similar to the measured traits, and phenotypic correlations with these traits, compared with the water-SRIs. Most vegetation-SRIs presented comparable values for h(2) (>60%) and GG (>20%) as intermediate traits, while about half of water-SRIs exhibited a high h(2) (>60%), but low GG (<20%). Principle component analysis revealed that most vegetation-SRIs and seven of 15 water-SRIs were grouped together in a positive direction, had a moderate to strong relationship with measured traits, and could identify the drought-tolerant parent Sakha 93 and several RILs. The PLSR model based on all SRIs as a single index showed moderate to high R-2 in calibration (0.53-0.75) and validation (0.46-0.72) datasets, with strong relationships between observed and predicted values of measured traits. The SMLR models identified four and three SRIs from vegetation-SRIs and water-SRIs, respectively, to explain 63-86% of the total variability in measured traits among genotypes. These results demonstrated that vegetation-SRIs can be used individually or combined with water-SRIs as alternative breeding tools to increase genetic gains and selection accuracy in spring wheat breeding.