Cutoff point estimation for serum vitamin D concentrations to predict cardiometabolic risk in Brazilian children

Background/objectives To evaluate serum 25(OH)D concentrations and determine a cutoff point for cardiometabolic risk in children. Subject/methods This is a cross-sectional study with a representative sample of 378 8-9-year-old children from all urban schools in the city of Vicosa, MG, Brazil. Sociodemographic data and information on lifestyle, and food consumption were collected. Biochemical evaluation included glucose, triglycerides, leptin, calcidiol [25(OH)D], and parathormone. Body composition was assessed by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry. Cardiometabolic risk was considered when nontraditional risk markers were detected, including triglyceride x glycemia index (TyG index), hyperleptinemia, and hypertriglyceridemic waist phenotype (HWP). The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to define the cutoff point for serum 25(OH)D to predict cardiometabolic risk. Results 25(OH)D showed better predictive capacity for grouping of cardiometabolic risk markers than for either single or paired markers. The area under the curve for grouping of risk markers was 0.636 (95% CI: 0.585, 0.685, P < 0.001). The cutoff point to predict cardiometabolic risk was defined as 32.0 ng/mL. Conclusion 25(OH)D presented good predictive capacity for cardiometabolic risk and 25(OH)D concentration higher than 32 ng/mL was associated with a 49% reduction of cardiometabolic risk prevalence in prepubertal Brazilian children.