Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions

Ensemble modelling and structured decision-making to support Emergency Disease Management

(2017) Colleen T. Webb et al.   PREVENTIVE VETERINARY MEDICINE

Predicting lymphatic filariasis transmission and elimination dynamics using a multi-model ensemble framework

(2017) Morgan E. Smith et al.   Epidemics

Learning from multi-model comparisons: Collaboration leads to insights, but limitations remain

(2017) T.D. Hollingsworth et al.   Epidemics

InferringR0in emerging epidemics—the effect of common population structure is small

(2016) Pieter Trapman et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Reproduction numbers for epidemic models with households and other social structures II: Comparisons and implications for vaccination

(2016) Frank Ball et al.   MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES

Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: Objectives matter

(2016) William J.M. Probert et al.   Epidemics

A Bayesian Ensemble Approach for Epidemiological Projections

(2015) Tom Lindström et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa — The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections

(2014)   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Real-time influenza forecasts during the 2012–2013 season

(2013) Jeffrey Shaman et al.   Nature Communications

Estimation of outbreak severity and transmissibility: Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in households

(2012) Thomas House et al.   BMC Medicine

Household Transmission of 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1)

(2012) Lincoln L. H. Lau et al.   EPIDEMIOLOGY

Forecasting seasonal outbreaks of influenza

(2012) J. Shaman et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Measured Dynamic Social Contact Patterns Explain the Spread of H1N1v Influenza

(2012) Ken T. D. Eames et al.   PLoS Computational Biology

HIV Treatment as Prevention: Systematic Comparison of Mathematical Models of the Potential Impact of Antiretroviral Therapy on HIV Incidence in South Africa

(2012) Jeffrey W. Eaton et al.   PLOS MEDICINE

Ensemble Modeling of the Likely Public Health Impact of a Pre-Erythrocytic Malaria Vaccine

(2012) Thomas Smith et al.   PLOS MEDICINE

Influenza Transmission in Households During the 1918 Pandemic

(2011) Christophe Fraser et al.   AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY

The Final Size of an Epidemic and Its Relation to the Basic Reproduction Number

(2011) Viggo Andreasen   BULLETIN OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY

Reproduction numbers for epidemic models with households and other social structures. I. Definition and calculation of R0

(2011) Lorenzo Pellis et al.   MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES

Different transmission patterns in the early stages of the influenza A(H1N1)v pandemic: A comparative analysis of 12 European countries

(2011) Stefan Flasche et al.   Epidemics

A new approach to characterising infectious disease transmission dynamics from sentinel surveillance: Application to the Italian 2009–2010 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic

(2011) Ilaria Dorigatti et al.   Epidemics

Contact intervals, survival analysis of epidemic data, and estimation of R0

(2010) Eben Kenah   BIOSTATISTICS

Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: Agent-based versus structured metapopulation models

(2010) Marco Ajelli et al.   BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Model predictions and evaluation of possible control strategies for the 2009 A/H1N1v influenza pandemic in Italy

(2010) M. AJELLI et al.   EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION

Epidemic growth rate and household reproduction number in communities of households, schools and workplaces

(2010) Lorenzo Pellis et al.   JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY

Household epidemic models with varying infection response

(2010) Frank Ball et al.   JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY

Comparative Epidemiology of Pandemic and Seasonal Influenza A in Households

(2010) Benjamin J. Cowling et al.   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Vaccination against pandemic influenza A/H1N1v in England: A real-time economic evaluation

(2010) Marc Baguelin et al.   VACCINE

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Household Transmission of 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Virus in the United States

(2009) Simon Cauchemez et al.   NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE

Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings

(2009) C. Fraser et al.   SCIENCE

Deterministic epidemic models with explicit household structure

(2008) Thomas House et al.   MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES

Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States

(2008) M. E. Halloran et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases

(2008) Joël Mossong et al.   PLOS MEDICINE