4.6 Article

Southern-Hemisphere high-latitude stratospheric warming revisit

Journal

CLIMATE DYNAMICS
Volume 54, Issue 3-4, Pages 1671-1682

Publisher

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-05083-7

Keywords

Stratospheric warming; Ozone recovery; Wave-driven dynamic heating; Brewer-Dobson circulation; SST warming

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Previous studies showed significant stratospheric warming at the Southern-Hemisphere (SH) high latitudes in September and October over 1979-2006. The warming trend center was located over the Southern Ocean poleward of the Western Pacific in September, with a maximum trend of about 2.8 K/decade. The warming trends in October showed a dipole pattern, with the warming center over the Ross and Amundsen Sea, and the maximum warming trend is about 2.6 K/decade. In the present study, we revisit the problem of the SH stratospheric warming in the recent decade. It is found that the SH high-latitude stratosphere continued warming in September and October over 2007-2017, but with very different spatial patterns. Multiple linear regression demonstrates that ozone increases play an important role in the SH high-latitude stratospheric warming in September and November, while the changes in the Brewer-Dobson circulation contributes little to the warming. This is different from the situation over 1979-2006 when the SH high-latitude stratospheric warming was mainly caused by the strengthening of the Brewer-Dobson circulation and the eastward shift of the warming center. Simulations forced with observed ozone changes over 2007-2017 shows warming trends, suggesting that the observed warming trends over 2007-2017 are at least partly due to ozone recovery. The warming trends due to ozone recovery have important implications for stratospheric, tropospheric and surface climates on SH.

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