Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Zongci Huang, Wenjun Zhang, Chao Liu, Malte F. Stuecker
Summary: The three strongest positive Indian Ocean Dipole (pIOD) events in the past four decades occurred in 1994, 1997, and 2019, causing severe social-economic impacts in Indian Ocean rim countries. These events showed similar oceanic and atmospheric anomaly patterns during their mature phase, with different physical origins, and were closely related to concurrent El Nino or Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) activity.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Yu Liang, Alexey Fedorov, Patrick Haertel
Summary: The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) response to sea surface temperature anomalies in equatorial Pacific impacts westerly wind bursts (WWBs) differently during El Nino onset and development. During El Nino onset, MJO shifts toward the equator, while in development stage, MJO strengthens in central Pacific. These changes enhance MJO activity along the equator, facilitating WWBs.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Joel Lisonbee, Joachim Ribbe, Jason A. Otkin, Christa Pudmenzky
Summary: This paper reports on the frequency of false onsets of wet season rainfall in Northern Australia and investigates the impact of large-scale tropical climate processes. The study finds that false onsets occur in 20-30% of wet seasons across all of northern Australia and can increase to over 50% in specific regions. Seasonal climate influences and rapid soil moisture depletion also contribute to the occurrence of false onsets.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Chaim I. I. Garfinkel, Wen Chen, Yanjie Li, Chen Schwartz, Priyanka Yadav, Daniela Domeisen
Summary: Teleconnection patterns associated with the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) and El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) have impacts on weather and climate phenomena in the Pacific-North American region and beyond. However, current forecasting models show systematic biases in simulating these teleconnections, including a weak response, biased subtropical upper-level convergence and weak Rossby wave source. These biases lead to an underestimation of the impacts of MJO and ENSO on western North America.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2022)
Article
Agronomy
Ran Yan, Jun Wang, Weimin Ju, Daniel S. Goll, Atul K. Jain, Stephen Sitch, Hanqin Tian, Poulter Benjamin, Fei Jiang, Hengmao Wang
Summary: This study investigates the interactive effects of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) on tropical net ecosystem productivity (NEP) using multi-model simulations. Results show that IOD dominates NEP anomalies over South America and southern Africa, while ENSO dominates over India and northern South America. Understanding these interactive effects is important for predicting future climate changes. Rating: 7/10
AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Ida Narulita, Faiz R. Fajary, M. Ridho Syahputra, Eko Kusratmoko, M. R. Djuwansah
Summary: The study reveals that the water resources of Bintan Island rely heavily on rainfall, with the southern region receiving more rainfall than the northern region and the temporal distribution of rainfall being influenced by monsoonal and equatorial patterns. The impact of ENSO on rainfall variability is greater than that of IOD.
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Amandeep Vashisht, Benjamin Zaitchik
Summary: This study aims to examine the combined effects of the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) and El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on rainfall in East Africa and finds evidence of their interaction. The results show that under El Nino conditions, the modulation of rainfall by MJO is stronger, potentially leading to excessive daily precipitation.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yun-Lan Chen, Chung-Hsiung Sui, Chih-Pei Chang, Kai-Chih Tseng
Summary: The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) has significant impacts on East Asian winter rainfall, with convection anomalies over the Maritime Continent and the subtropical western Pacific identified as a major cause of enhanced rainfall in East Asia. The mechanism of MJO forcing on East Asian rainfall during various phases involves anomalous MCWP cooling interacting with the East Asian jet, weakening the overall EA winter monsoon circulation and contributing to enhanced rainfall. This study supports the interpretation that MCWP cooling induced anomalous meridional circulation is a more direct cause of enhanced East Asian rainfall than heating induced Rossby wave teleconnection.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
T. A. M. A. K. I. SUEMATSU, H. I. R. O. A. K. I. MIURA
Summary: This study investigates the factors that influence the eastward movement speed of the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) and finds that the background environment plays a role in modulating the MJO speed. The study reveals a deceleration of the MJO under low-frequency sea surface temperature (SST) distributions and an insignificant dependency on intraseasonal SST variability. Additionally, the study uncovers the importance of the state of the large-scale circulation in influencing the MJO speed.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Isamara de Mendonca Silva, Deusdedit Monteiro Medeiros, David Mendes, Michel d. S. Mesquita
Summary: A hidden Markov model with four hidden states is used to describe the daily precipitation occurrence and wet day intensities over the Northeast Brazil. The model reveals the interplay between the Intertropical Convergence Zone and South American Monsoon System as well as the relationship between the ITCZ and South Atlantic Convergence Zone. Findings also show the influence of the Madden Julian Oscillation, Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, and El Nino-Southern Oscillation on the dynamic processes of summer rainfall in the region.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Daniel T. Skinner, Adrian J. Matthews, David P. Stevens
Summary: This study reveals that the boreal winter MJO teleconnection pattern in the Northern Hemisphere has changed recently, with alterations in circulation, temperature, and precipitation responses. These changes are in line with variations in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. This finding has implications for weather forecasts on weekly to monthly time scales.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Luis E. Pineda, Juan A. Changoluisa, angel G. Munoz
Summary: In January 2016, a high-precipitation event occurred in northwestern Ecuador, causing devastating flooding in the Esmeraldas River Basin. The event was triggered by the 2015/16 El Nino and resulted in heavy rainfalls earlier than expected. Through the use of gauge data, satellite imagery, and reanalysis, we investigated the atmospheric conditions and regional weather characteristics during the growing-season rainfall in December and January. Our findings showed that the convective environment in late January 2016 led to the development of a mesoscale convective complex, which was influenced by both local and synoptic drivers.
FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Laban Lameck Kebacho, Isaac Sarfo
Summary: La Nina was predicted to be a major climatic mode in the 2020 autumn, affecting the short rain in eastern Africa. The Greater Horn of Africa Regional Outlook Forum also projected below-normal rainfall in several countries. However, there was above average rainfall in some parts of East Africa in November. The study identifies the drivers behind the deviation of November rainfall from its historical response to La Nina, including the decay of the Indian Ocean Dipole mode and the influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation.
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Yan Jiang, Liming Zhou, Paul E. Roundy, Wenjian Hua, Ajay Raghavendra
Summary: Using observational rainfall datasets, a positive correlation was found between precipitation over CEA and IOD during September-December for the period 1981-2019. Rainfall increases significantly during positive IOD events, primarily due to an increase in rainfall frequency reaching its peak in October. IOD impacts rainfall by modifying Walker circulation over the tropical Indian Ocean and moisture in the middle troposphere over CEA, with MJO activity covarying with IOD to modulate the African Easterly Jet critical for convection development over CEA.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Brett Chrisler, Justin P. Stachnik
Summary: Recent studies have used moist entropy as a proxy for moist static energy to examine its impact on MJO propagation. The analysis of observed MJO events shows significant breaks in wavenumber-1 oscillation at termination, with horizontal and vertical advection playing crucial roles in the eastward propagation of MJO. Domain sensitivity tests reveal differences in the impact of vertical advection on eastward propagation between continuing and terminating events.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yuya Baba
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
(2016)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yuya Baba
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yuya Baba, Keiko Takahashi
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
(2014)
Article
Mechanics
Naohisa Takagaki, Ryoichi Kurose, Yuya Baba, Yuichiro Nakajima, Satoru Komori
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MULTIPHASE FLOW
(2014)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yuya Baba, Keiko Takahashi
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
(2013)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yuya Baba
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
(2015)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yuya Baba
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
(2020)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yuya Baba, Marco A. Giorgetta
JOURNAL OF ADVANCES IN MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS
(2020)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Yuya Baba
DYNAMICS OF ATMOSPHERES AND OCEANS
(2020)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yuya Baba
Summary: The study found that the new spectral scheme outperforms the original convection scheme in simulating global tropical cyclone activity, especially in terms of cyclone genesis, track density, and response to ENSO and MJO.
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yuya Baba
Summary: The newly developed spectral scheme implemented in the SINTEX-F2 seasonal prediction system improved intraseasonal variability and proved to be more successful in simulating climatology, variability, and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) compared to the original convection scheme. The spectral scheme also successfully simulated low-level shallow convection before the peak of organized convection, a result lacking in the original scheme simulation. Additionally, statistical and quantitative analysis showed that the spectral scheme captured MJO-related variability better than the original scheme.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2021)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Yuya Baba
Summary: This study investigated the importance of ocean prediction for predicting heavy rainfall events in Japan in July 2020. It was found that the coupled model was more accurate in predicting the rainfall peaks and generating correct sea level pressure patterns compared to the regional atmospheric model. Ocean prediction can improve the predictability of heavy rainfall events by considering the atmospheric feedback on sea surface temperature.
ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS
(2022)
Article
Geochemistry & Geophysics
Yuya Baba, Tomomichi Ogata
Summary: This study investigates the resolution dependence of tropical cyclones (TCs) simulated using a spectral cumulus parameterization. The results show that increasing the horizontal resolution improves the underestimation of TC track density and TC intensity. Local differences in atmospheric conditions may have a strong impact on TC statistics. The vertical TC structure plays an important role in influencing TC statistics.
DYNAMICS OF ATMOSPHERES AND OCEANS
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Tomomichi Ogata, Yuya Baba
Summary: This study examines the tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific in 2018-2020 and its relationship with planetary scale convection and circulation anomalies using atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) ensemble simulations. The updated convection scheme improves simulation ability and consistent features were observed in TC activity and genesis potential.
FRONTIERS IN CLIMATE
(2021)