Emergent constraints on Earth’s transient and equilibrium response to doubled CO2 from post-1970s global warming

Developments in the MPI-M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI-ESM 1.2) and its response to increasing CO2

(2019) Thorsten Mauritsen et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

What Climate Sensitivity Index Is Most Useful for Projections?

(2018) Michael R. Grose et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

The GFDL Global Atmosphere and Land Model AM4.0/LM4.0: 1. Simulation Characteristics With Prescribed SSTs

(2018) M. Zhao et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Accounting for Changing Temperature Patterns Increases Historical Estimates of Climate Sensitivity

(2018) Timothy Andrews et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Energy budget constraints on climate sensitivity in light of inconstant climate feedbacks

(2017) Kyle C. Armour   Nature Climate Change

Committed warming inferred from observations

(2017) Thorsten Mauritsen et al.   Nature Climate Change

On the sensitivity of anthropogenic aerosol forcing to model-internal variability and parameterizing a Twomey effect

(2017) S. Fiedler et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Small global-mean cooling due to volcanic radiative forcing

(2016) J. M. Gregory et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Impact of decadal cloud variations on the Earth’s energy budget

(2016) Chen Zhou et al.   Nature Geoscience

Improving estimates of Earth's energy imbalance

(2016) Gregory C. Johnson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Shallowness of tropical low clouds as a predictor of climate models’ response to warming

(2015) Florent Brient et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Rethinking the Lower Bound on Aerosol Radiative Forcing

(2015) Bjorn Stevens   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The inconstancy of the transient climate response parameter under increasing CO2

(2015) J. M. Gregory et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

The implications for climate sensitivity of AR5 forcing and heat uptake estimates

(2014) Nicholas Lewis et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Uncertainty in the magnitude of aerosol-cloud radiative forcing over recent decades

(2014) L. A. Regayre et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing

(2013) Steven C. Sherwood et al.   NATURE

Energy budget constraints on climate response

(2013) Alexander Otto et al.   Nature Geoscience

Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends

(2013) Kevin Cowtan et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Evaluating adjusted forcing and model spread for historical and future scenarios in the CMIP5 generation of climate models

(2013) Piers M. Forster et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Determination of a lower bound on Earth's climate sensitivity

(2013) Lennart Bengtsson et al.   TELLUS SERIES B-CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL METEOROLOGY

NOAA's Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis

(2012) Russell S. Vose et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Transient Climate Response in a Two-Layer Energy-Balance Model. Part II: Representation of the Efficacy of Deep-Ocean Heat Uptake and Validation for CMIP5 AOGCMs

(2012) O. Geoffroy et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The HadCRUT4 data set

(2012) Colin P. Morice et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity

(2012)   NATURE

Probing the Fast and Slow Components of Global Warming by Returning Abruptly to Preindustrial Forcing

(2010) Isaac M. Held et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE

(2010) J. Hansen et al.   REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Importance of Ocean Heat Uptake Efficacy to Transient Climate Change

(2009) Michael Winton et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Transient climate response estimated from radiative forcing and observed temperature change

(2008) J. M. Gregory et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH