4.7 Article

Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Stilling Accelerates Lake Thermal Responses to a Warming World

Journal

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume 46, Issue 21, Pages 11983-11992

Publisher

AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1029/2019GL082752

Keywords

lake; climate; wind

Funding

  1. European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant [791812]
  2. European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie Grant [703733]
  3. European Space Agency
  4. Marie Curie Actions (MSCA) [791812, 703733] Funding Source: Marie Curie Actions (MSCA)
  5. NERC [NE/J023345/2] Funding Source: UKRI

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Climate change, in particular the increase in air temperature, has been shown to influence lake thermal dynamics, with climatic warming resulting in higher surface temperatures, stronger stratification, and altered mixing regimes. Less studied is the influence on lake thermal dynamics of atmospheric stilling, the decrease in near-surface wind speed observed in recent decades. Here we use a lake model to assess the influence of atmospheric stilling, on lake thermal dynamics across the Northern Hemisphere. From 1980 to 2016, lake thermal responses to warming have accelerated as a result of atmospheric stilling. Lake surface temperatures and thermal stability have changed at respective rates of 0.33 and 0.38 degrees C/decade, with atmospheric stilling contributing 15% and 27% of the calculated changes, respectively. Atmospheric stilling also resulted in a lengthening of stratification, contributing 23% of the calculated changes. Our results demonstrate that atmospheric stilling has influenced lake thermal responses to warming.

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