Multi-Model Communication and Data Assimilation for Mitigating Model Error and Improving Forecasts

Survey of Multifidelity Methods in Uncertainty Propagation, Inference, and Optimization

(2018) Benjamin Peherstorfer et al.   SIAM REVIEW

Earth System Modeling 2.0: A Blueprint for Models That Learn From Observations and Targeted High-Resolution Simulations

(2017) Tapio Schneider et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Improving synoptic and intraseasonal variability in CFSv2 via stochastic representation of organized convection

(2017) B. B. Goswami et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Upscale Impact of Mesoscale Disturbances of Tropical Convection on Synoptic-Scale Equatorial Waves in Two-Dimensional Flows

(2017) Qiu Yang et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Improved Tropical Modes of Variability in the NCEP Climate Forecast System (Version 2) via a Stochastic Multicloud Model

(2017) B. B. Goswami et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Preventing Catastrophic Filter Divergence Using Adaptive Additive Inflation for Baroclinic Turbulence

(2017) Yoonsang Lee et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Implementation and calibration of a stochastic multicloud convective parameterization in the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFSv2)

(2017) B. B. Goswami et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Nonlinear traveling waves for the skeleton of the Madden–Julian oscillation

(2016) Shengqian Chen et al.   Communications in Mathematical Sciences

Non-local convergence coupling in a simple stochastic convection model

(2016) N.D. Brenowitz et al.   DYNAMICS OF ATMOSPHERES AND OCEANS

Predicting Summer Arctic Sea Ice Concentration Intraseasonal Variability Using a Vector Autoregressive Model

(2016) Lei Wang et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Tropical–Extratropical Interactions with the MJO Skeleton and Climatological Mean Flow

(2016) Shengqian Chen et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Effect of Stratiform Heating on the Planetary-Scale Organization of Tropical Convection

(2016) Qiang Deng et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Filtering the Stochastic Skeleton Model for the Madden–Julian Oscillation

(2016) Nan Chen et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Simple stochastic model for El Niño with westerly wind bursts

(2016) Sulian Thual et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

An Information-Theoretic Framework for Improving Imperfect Dynamical Predictions Via Multi-Model Ensemble Forecasts

(2015) Michal Branicki et al.   JOURNAL OF NONLINEAR SCIENCE

A Spatiotemporal Stochastic Model for Tropical Precipitation and Water Vapor Dynamics

(2015) Scott Hottovy et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Assessing the Equatorial Long-Wave Approximation: Asymptotics and Observational Data Analysis*

(2015) H. Reed Ogrosky et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

The MJO in a Coarse-Resolution GCM with a Stochastic Multicloud Parameterization

(2015) Qiang Deng et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Identifying the Skeleton of the Madden–Julian Oscillation in Observational Data

(2015) Samuel N. Stechmann et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

The MJO skeleton model with observation-based background state and forcing

(2015) H. Reed Ogrosky et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The Walker circulation, diabatic heating, and outgoing longwave radiation

(2014) Samuel N. Stechmann et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Predicting the cloud patterns of the Madden-Julian Oscillation through a low-order nonlinear stochastic model

(2014) N. Chen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Predictability of the Madden–Julian Oscillation in the Intraseasonal Variability Hindcast Experiment (ISVHE)

(2014) J. M. Neena et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Predictability and Prediction Skill of the MJO in Two Operational Forecasting Systems

(2014) Hye-Mi Kim et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The North American Multimodel Ensemble: Phase-1 Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction; Phase-2 toward Developing Intraseasonal Prediction

(2013) Ben P. Kirtman et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Catastrophic filter divergence in filtering nonlinear dissipative systems

(2013) John Harlim et al.   Communications in Mathematical Sciences

MJO and Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves Simulated by CMIP5 Climate Models

(2013) Meng-Pai Hung et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

A Stochastic Skeleton Model for the MJO

(2013) Sulian Thual et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Link between the double-Intertropical Convergence Zone problem and cloud biases over the Southern Ocean

(2013) Y.-T. Hwang et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Tropical Intraseasonal Variability in Version 3 of the GFDL Atmosphere Model

(2012) James J. Benedict et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Test models for filtering and prediction of moisture-coupled tropical waves

(2012) John Harlim et al.   QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

A Systematic Relationship between Intraseasonal Variability and Mean State Bias in AGCM Simulations

(2011) Daehyun Kim et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Nonlinear Dynamics and Regional Variations in the MJO Skeleton

(2011) Andrew J. Majda et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Collaboration of the Weather and Climate Communities to Advance Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction

(2010) Gilbert Brunet et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

A Framework for Assessing Operational Madden–Julian Oscillation Forecasts

(2010) J. Gottschalck et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The MJO and Convectively Coupled Waves in a Coarse-Resolution GCM with a Simple Multicloud Parameterization

(2010) Boualem Khouider et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

The State of the Art of Seasonal Prediction: Outcomes and Recommendations from the First World Climate Research Program Workshop on Seasonal Prediction

(2009) Ben Kirtman et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Test models for improving filtering with model errors through stochastic parameter estimation

(2009) B. Gershgorin et al.   JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL PHYSICS

Improving filtering and prediction of spatially extended turbulent systems with model errors through stochastic parameter estimation

(2009) B. Gershgorin et al.   JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL PHYSICS

Filtering Turbulent Sparsely Observed Geophysical Flows

(2009) John Harlim et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Calibrating Multimodel Forecast Ensembles with Exchangeable and Missing Members Using Bayesian Model Averaging

(2009) Chris Fraley et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Mathematical test models for superparametrization in anisotropic turbulence

(2009) A. J. Majda et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

The skeleton of tropical intraseasonal oscillations

(2009) A. J. Majda et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Understanding El Niño in Ocean–Atmosphere General Circulation Models: Progress and Challenges

(2008) Eric Guilyardi et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

MJO Simulation Diagnostics

(2008)   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Mathematical test criteria for filtering complex systems: Plentiful observations

(2008) E. Castronovo et al.   JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL PHYSICS

Nonlinear dynamics of hydrostatic internal gravity waves

(2008) Samuel N. Stechmann et al.   THEORETICAL AND COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS