Committed emissions from existing energy infrastructure jeopardize 1.5 °C climate target

Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming

(2019) Christopher J. Smith et al.   Nature Communications

Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies

(2019) Corinne Le Quéré et al.   Nature Climate Change

Reports of coal’s terminal decline may be exaggerated

(2018) Ottmar Edenhofer et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Committed emissions from existing and planned power plants and asset stranding required to meet the Paris Agreement

(2018) Alexander Pfeiffer et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Structural decline in China’s CO2 emissions through transitions in industry and energy systems

(2018) Dabo Guan et al.   Nature Geoscience

Beyond carbon budgets

(2018) Glen P. Peters   Nature Geoscience

Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks

(2018) Edward Comyn-Platt et al.   Nature Geoscience

The impact of Earth system feedbacks on carbon budgets and climate response

(2018) Jason A. Lowe et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Net-zero emissions energy systems

(2018) Steven J. Davis et al.   SCIENCE

The rise of South–South trade and its effect on global CO2 emissions

(2018) Jing Meng et al.   Nature Communications

Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5–2 °C pathways

(2018) Gunnar Luderer et al.   Nature Climate Change

The Paris Agreement zero-emissions goal is not always consistent with the 1.5 °C and 2 °C temperature targets

(2018) Katsumasa Tanaka et al.   Nature Climate Change

1.5 °C carbon budget dependent on carbon cycle uncertainty and future non-CO2 forcing

(2018) Nadine Mengis et al.   Scientific Reports

A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies

(2018) Arnulf Grubler et al.   Nature Energy

Current emissions and future mitigation pathways of coal-fired power plants in China from 2010 to 2030

(2018) Dan Tong et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

Path-dependent reductions in CO2 emission budgets caused by permafrost carbon release

(2018) T. Gasser et al.   Nature Geoscience

Historical carbon dioxide emissions caused by land-use changes are possibly larger than assumed

(2017) A. Arneth et al.   Nature Geoscience

Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals

(2017) Andrew P. Schurer et al.   Nature Climate Change

Carbon Lock-In: Types, Causes, and Policy Implications

(2016) Karen C. Seto et al.   Annual Review of Environment and Resources

The ‘2°C capital stock’ for electricity generation: Committed cumulative carbon emissions from the electricity generation sector and the transition to a green economy

(2016) Alexander Pfeiffer et al.   APPLIED ENERGY

The role of capital costs in decarbonizing the electricity sector

(2016) Lion Hirth et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions

(2016) C D Jones et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Greenhouse gas emissions intensity of global croplands

(2016) Kimberly M. Carlson et al.   Nature Climate Change

Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled

(2016) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Nature Climate Change

Impact of short-lived non-CO2mitigation on carbon budgets for stabilizing global warming

(2015) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO2 forcings

(2015) Andrew H MacDougall et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Assessing carbon lock-in

(2015) Peter Erickson et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection

(2015) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Negative emissions physically needed to keep global warming below 2 °C

(2015) T. Gasser et al.   Nature Communications

Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C

(2015) Joeri Rogelj et al.   Nature Climate Change

Commitment accounting of CO2emissions

(2014) Steven J Davis et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Sharing a quota on cumulative carbon emissions

(2014) Michael R. Raupach et al.   Nature Climate Change

Future capacity growth of energy technologies: are scenarios consistent with historical evidence?

(2012) C. Wilson et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

The Cost of Carbon Capture and Storage for Natural Gas Combined Cycle Power Plants

(2012) Edward S. Rubin et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

Life-Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Shale Gas, Natural Gas, Coal, and Petroleum

(2011) Andrew Burnham et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

Future CO2 Emissions and Climate Change from Existing Energy Infrastructure

(2010) Steven J. Davis et al.   SCIENCE

The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions

(2009) H. Damon Matthews et al.   NATURE

Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C

(2009) Malte Meinshausen et al.   NATURE

Stabilizing climate requires near-zero emissions

(2008) H. Damon Matthews et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS