4.6 Article

An integrated emergency response model for toxic gas release accidents based on cellular automata

Journal

ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH
Volume 255, Issue 1-2, Pages 617-638

Publisher

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s10479-016-2125-4

Keywords

Energy and chemical industry; Toxic gas release; Emergency response; Integrated model; Cellular automata

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [71431004, 71171082, 71001039, 71301050]
  2. National Key Technology RD Program [2013BAH11F03]
  3. Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities

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An integrated emergency response model based on cellular automata (CA) is proposed for the toxic gas release accidents that happen in the energy and chemical industry. This integrated emergency response model consists of three sub-models: a toxic gas dispersion model, a dynamic evaluation model for accident consequences, and an evacuation route selection model. When a toxic gas release accident happens, the dispersion model predicts the distribution of toxic gas concentration, the evaluation model estimates the consequences in terms of probability of death, expected fatalities and impact scope caused by the accident, and the route selection model provides the safest evacuation route for evacuees. The three sub-models run simultaneously and present real-time results. The proposed model is applied to an ammonia gas release accident in an energy and chemical enterprise, and the corresponding model results are discussed. The efficiency of emergency response for toxic gas release accidents can be further improved through the proposed integrated emergency response model based on CA.

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