4.6 Article

Modelling tail risk with tempered stable distributions: an overview

Journal

ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH
Volume 299, Issue 1-2, Pages 1253-1280

Publisher

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s10479-019-03204-3

Keywords

Lé vy process; Stable distribution; Tail risk; Tempered stable distribution

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This study investigates the performance of different parametric models using stable and tempered stable distributions for capturing the tail behavior of log-returns. It defines and discusses the properties of stable and tempered stable random variables, shows how to estimate parameters and simulate them based on characteristic functions, and conducts an empirical analysis to explore the performance of different models representing the distributions of log-returns for the S&P500 and DAX indexes.
In this study, we investigate the performance of different parametric models with stable and tempered stable distributions for capturing the tail behaviour of log-returns (financial asset returns). First, we define and discuss the properties of stable and tempered stable random variables. We then show how to estimate their parameters and simulate them based on their characteristic functions. Finally, as an illustration, we conduct an empirical analysis to explore the performance of different models representing the distributions of log-returns for the S&P500 and DAX indexes.

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