Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Heidi Kreibich, Anne F. Van Loon, Kai Schroeter, Philip J. Ward, Maurizio Mazzoleni, Nivedita Sairam, Guta Wakbulcho Abeshu, Svetlana Agafonova, Amir AghaKouchak, Hafzullah Aksoy, Camila Alvarez-Garreton, Blanca Aznar, Laila Balkhi, Marlies H. Barendrecht, Sylvain Biancamaria, Liduin Bos-Burgering, Chris Bradley, Yus Budiyono, Wouter Buytaert, Lucinda Capewell, Hayley Carlson, Yonca Cavus, Anais Couasnon, Gemma Coxon, Ioannis Daliakopoulos, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Claire Delus, Mathilde Erfurt, Giuseppe Esposito, Didier Francois, Frederic Frappart, Jim Freer, Natalia Frolova, Animesh K. Gain, Manolis Grillakis, Jordi Oriol Grima, Diego A. Guzman, Laurie S. Huning, Monica Ionita, Maxim Kharlamov, Dao Nguyen Khoi, Natalie Kieboom, Maria Kireeva, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Waldo Lavado-Casimiro, Hong-Yi Li, Maria Carmen LLasat, David Macdonald, Johanna Mard, Hannah Mathew-Richards, Andrew McKenzie, Alfonso Mejia, Eduardo Mario Mendiondo, Marjolein Mens, Shifteh Mobini, Guilherme Samprogna Mohor, Viorica Nagavciuc, Thanh Ngo-Duc, Thi Thao Nguyen Huynh, Pham Thi Thao Nhi, Olga Petrucci, Hong Quan Nguyen, Pere Quintana-Segui, Saman Razavi, Elena Ridolfi, Jannik Riegel, Md Shibly Sadik, Elisa Savelli, Alexey Sazonov, Sanjib Sharma, Johanna Sorensen, Felipe Augusto Arguello Souza, Kerstin Stahl, Max Steinhausen, Michael Stoelzle, Wiwiana Szalinska, Qiuhong Tang, Fuqiang Tian, Tamara Tokarczyk, Carolina Tovar, Thi Van Thu Tran, Marjolein H. J. Van Huijgevoort, Michelle T. H. van Vliet, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Thorsten Wagener, Yueling Wang, Doris E. Wendt, Elliot Wickham, Long Yang, Mauricio Zambrano-Bigiarini, Gunter Bloschl, Giuliano Di Baldassarre
Summary: Risk management can reduce the impacts of floods and droughts, but faces difficulties in managing unprecedented events of a greater magnitude. Improved risk management and integrated management can help lower the impacts of more hazardous events.
Article
Engineering, Civil
Donghwan Gu, Maria Dillard, Michael Gerst, Jarrod Loerzel
Summary: This study quantitatively examines indicators commonly used in community resilience measurement and proposes a method for evaluating their validity. Multiple internal consistency tests are conducted to address different aspects of community resilience and estimate similarities in indicator selections. Structural equation modeling is employed to investigate the indicators' validity and overall performance in predicting community resilience outcomes. The importance of conducting validation studies is highlighted to ensure the quality and applicability of indicators in the context of community resilience.
NATURAL HAZARDS REVIEW
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Sea Jin Kim, Sugyeong Park, Soo Jeong Lee, Altynay Shaimerdenova, Jiwon Kim, Eunbeen Park, Wona Lee, Gang Sun Kim, Nahui Kim, Tae Hyung Kim, Chul-Hee Lim, Yuyoung Choi, Woo-Kyun Lee
Summary: Constant environmental degradation and increased frequency of natural disasters worldwide have led to the development of scientific tools to predict and assess risks. Disaster models need to be comprehensive, incorporating climatic, social, economic, and environmental factors. In this study, a model was set using the concept of risk, identifying hazards, exposure, and vulnerability, with emphasis on controllable geo-spatial indicators for effective risk reduction. The study was applied to Kazakhstan and South Korea to develop Agricultural Drought Risk Index (ADRI) and maps, revealing the significance of spatial data availability and quality in assessing disaster risk.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Christopher G. Burton, Miguel Toquica, Khan Mortuza Bin Asad, Michael Musori
Summary: This paper focuses on the assessment of earthquake risk and emphasizes the dynamic relationships between earthquake hazard, physical risk, and social conditions. The current metrics for measuring vulnerability to earthquakes have limitations, and this study aims to improve indicator development by proposing validated indicators for assessing vulnerability and creating composite indices.
Review
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Jasmine Cassy Mah, Jodie Lynn Penwarden, Henrique Pott, Olga Theou, Melissa Kathryn Andrew
Summary: Social vulnerability refers to the extent to which an individual's life and livelihood are at risk from specific events in health, nature, or society due to poor social conditions. This scoping review aims to map the literature on social vulnerability indices, characterizing their composition and utilization. The review includes 292 studies and reveals common variables and domains in these indices.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
L. G. Meijer, L. Reimann, J. C. J. H. Aerts
Summary: This study aims to assess Madagascar's social vulnerability to flooding resulting from tropical storms, and compares three different social vulnerability models. The study finds that the southern regions of Madagascar are the most vulnerable. However, due to data limitations, there is still uncertainty in model selection and validation.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Sakar Nepal, Shankar Tripathi, Hari Adhikari
Summary: The study in Nepal identified drought and soil erosion as the most severe disasters in the area, directly impacting livelihoods. Scholars recommend promoting drought-resistant land, water, and crop management techniques, as well as alternative income-generating activities, to reduce seasonal migration.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2021)
Article
Construction & Building Technology
Tingting Ji, Hsi-Hsien Wei, Timothy Sim, Liang Emlyn Yang, Juergen Scheffran
Summary: This study conducts disaggregated empirical validation of nine disaster-resilience indicators' efficacy at explaining the resistant and recovery capacities of households in Hong Kong, revealing that certain indicators, such as education, income, and place attachment, have varying explanatory power across the two outcome measures. The researchers provide recommendations on indicator selection and index creation for those seeking to create parsimonious and robust sets of indicators that explain the actual resilience capacities of local communities.
SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Tingting Wang, Fubao Sun
Summary: The dynamic interplay between climate change and socioeconomic development has led to significant changes in drought hazard, vulnerability, and risk in the global socioeconomic system. However, there is a lack of understanding about how these changes will manifest in an increasingly globalized economy under global warming. A comprehensive study has utilized various data to map and assess changes in global drought vulnerability and risk in the future, finding that the future population at risk of drought is projected to increase driven by rapid population growth and substantial changes in drought hazard and vulnerability. The study highlights the need for targeted strategies and measures of adaptation and mitigation in the face of global warming.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2023)
Review
Environmental Sciences
Yuting Peng, Natalie Welden, Fabrice G. Renaud
Summary: Due to population growth, urbanization, and climate change, coastal river deltas are facing increased exposure, vulnerability, and risks from natural hazards. Current assessment frameworks often overlook the social-ecological perspective, resulting in incomplete assessments. This study proposes an improved indicator-based framework for coastal deltas, incorporating ecosystem services as a means to characterize the interdependencies between society and the environment, and enabling targeted management and policy development to reduce risks.
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
(2023)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Debora Anelli, Francesco Tajani, Rossana Ranieri
Summary: The increase in natural disasters in the last twenty years has led to the need for a sustainable urban development model. This research aims to define a indicators-based methodology for determining a synthetic natural risk index for vulnerable areas in cities. The validated results of applying this methodology to Rome provide a georeferenced map of natural disaster risk levels.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2022)
Article
Geography
Susan L. Cutter
Summary: This article examines the changing nature of hazard and disaster risk through three thematic areas: redefining extremes, examining the complexity in hazard and disaster risk, and exploring social inequalities. The concepts of the Anthropocene provide a reflexive rubric for understanding how society responds and adapts to changes in life support systems due to human alteration of natural systems.
ANNALS OF THE AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF GEOGRAPHERS
(2021)
Article
Construction & Building Technology
Alexis Perez-Fargallo, Laura Marin-Restrepo, Sergio Contreras-Espinoza, David Bienvenido-Huertas
Summary: Energy poverty is a complex phenomenon, and various indicators have been developed to assess it. However, greater complexity does not necessarily mean greater precision. In the case of Chile, the Energy Poverty Network developed the Three-dimensional and Territorial Indicator of Energy Poverty (EPTTI) to evaluate the energy poverty situation of Chilean families. This study analyzed the consistency between individual responses and the EPTTI evaluation, and identified the variables that have the greatest influence on energy poverty assessments.
ENERGY AND BUILDINGS
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Jing Zhu, Yi Lu, Fumin Ren, John L. McBride, Longbin Ye
Summary: Previous studies on typhoon disaster risk zoning in China have mainly focused on individual provinces or small-scale areas, lacking county-level results. This study conducted typhoon disaster risk zoning for China's coastal area based on county-level data. The results indicated that the areas with the highest vulnerability are mainly located in the northwest of Guangxi and parts of the coastal areas in Fujian.
FRONTIERS OF EARTH SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Management
Douglas Alem, Hector F. Bonilla-Londono, Ana Paula Barbosa-Povoa, Susana Relvas, Deisemara Ferreira, Alfredo Moreno
Summary: This study introduces a novel humanitarian supply chain approach to address disaster preparedness and response capacity in Brazil, where disasters are often linked with unequal opportunities and social inequalities. By developing an optimization model that incorporates the Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI), the study shows the importance of designing more socially-effective humanitarian supply chains, especially in areas with higher vulnerability.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Computer Science, Information Systems
Mahsa Moghadas, Abbas Rajabifard, Alexander Fekete, Theo Koetter
Summary: Resilience in urban context can be divided into absorptive, adaptive, and transformative capacities. Recent urban resilience initiatives have been exploring the concept of transformative resilience as a response to the limitations of conventional and top-down resilience plans. Transformative resilience emphasizes the importance of reflexive governance, inclusive co-creation of knowledge, innovative and collaborative learning, and self-organizing processes.
ISPRS INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEO-INFORMATION
(2022)
Article
Urban Studies
Asad Asadzadeh, Theo Koetter, Alexander Fekete, Mahsa Moghadas, Mohsen Alizadeh, Esfandiar Zebardast, Dominik Weiss, Maysam Basirat, Gerard Hutter
Summary: This paper examines transformative resilience as a common challenge for urban/regional governance and planning systems in contrasting contexts of Germany and Iran. Through a comparative case study method, it reveals the pathways and trade-offs that constrain or open opportunities for transformative resilience and proposes the need for reorganizing governance structures and reorienting planning frameworks to address the challenges posed by urbanization and migration dynamics.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Alexander Fekete
Summary: Kenya is experiencing rapid urban growth, which exposes settlements and the natural environment to natural hazards such as floods. This study compares the urban growth into hazard areas in Nairobi and Nyeri through a change assessment from 1948 to 2020. The findings highlight the need to focus on peri-urban areas and expand the understanding of urban growth and flood risk in Kenya.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Alexander Fekete, Samuel Rufat
Summary: In 2021, several European countries experienced severe floods, while Europe remained the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic. This study aims to identify socio-demographic groups vulnerable to floods and pandemics and compare their overlap. A survey was conducted to gather opinions from experts in disaster risk management, revealing that socially vulnerable groups should be prioritized in rescue and treatment. The findings also indicate the importance of infrastructure and economic losses in assessing vulnerability and highlight differences in vulnerability factors between floods and COVID-19.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Alexander Fekete, Udo Nehren
Summary: In recent years, Germany has experienced an increase in forest fires, particularly in military training areas that are difficult to access. These fires pose a threat to both firefighting personnel and settlements. The impacts of climate change are expected to further increase the occurrence and spread of fires. A lack of comprehensive understanding of the spatial occurrence of forest fires and related risks currently hinders effective emergency management and spatial planning. This study conducted a spatial exposure and social vulnerability assessment of settlements to forest fires in Germany, revealing that social vulnerability plays a significant role in determining which settlements are at risk of fire exposure and providing key indicators for identifying high-risk areas.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Alexander Fekete, Steffen Neuner
Summary: This study conducted a spatial assessment of different types of industrial facilities in Germany and analyzed their vulnerability in terms of population density, foreign population, and housing unit sizes in close proximity to the sites. The results can guide emergency management planners and stakeholders in devising better disaster risk reduction strategies specifically for different social groups.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Alexander Fekete
Summary: Scientific analysis and documentation of climate change and related disaster risks are demanded by international organizations such as the United Nations. However, there is a lack of cross-regional overviews, especially for Western Asia. Through bibliometric literature analysis, it was found that transport accidents, floods, fires, and earthquakes are the predominant accidents and disasters in four countries in the region. However, the analysis of scientific publications revealed that earthquakes, climate change, COVID-19, and terrorism dominate the literature, with governance and management as recurring themes.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Marina Bier, Ramian Fathi, Christiane Stephan, Anke Kahl, Frank Fiedrich, Alexander Fekete
Summary: A large number of spontaneous volunteers (SVs) participated in the flood disaster response in Germany in 2021. They organized coordination services and developed emergent forms of SVs, showing potential to enhance flood management capacities. This article analyzed the findings of an online survey with the aim of discussing the challenges and potentials in developing SVs as social innovations in flood risk management. The results revealed that SVs are highly motivated by values, can experience psychological stress, and are willing to travel long distances, especially when informed through social media. Collaboration between disaster relief organizations and SVs significantly increases satisfaction with authorities. The article proposes preplanning useful concepts to consider safety aspects, utilize ICT, foster mutual respect between SVs and authorities, and support a sense of community as key results for the development of social innovations. It highlights the importance of engaging SVs, particularly in the context of pandemics, social crises like refugee movements, and climate change-related disasters.
JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT
(2023)
Review
Construction & Building Technology
Oscar J. Urbina Leal, Alexander Fekete, Rafael Ramirez Eudave, Jose C. Matos, Helder Sousa, Elisabete R. Teixeira
Summary: There is a growing trend to integrate the assessments of resilience and sustainability in critical infrastructures. This paper provides a state-of-the-art review of integrated assessments, examining concepts, indicators, frameworks, and methodologies. The findings suggest that integrated assessments lead to a more strategic use of resources towards more resilient critical infrastructures.
STRUCTURAL ENGINEERING INTERNATIONAL
(2023)
Article
Chemistry, Multidisciplinary
Oscar Urbina, Helder S. Sousa, Alexander Fekete, Jose Campos Matos, Elisabete Teixeira
APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL
(2023)
Review
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Johannes Duelks, Alexander Fekete, Harald Karutz, Johanne Kaufmann, Corinna Posingies
Summary: Schools and other educational institutions are crucial for the well-being of society, but their continuity is threatened by negative influences such as disasters and violence. To ensure their safety, researchers conducted a scoping review to identify current methodologies for quantifying education system resilience and to explore promising research directions. The review found that existing methodologies differ in scope, level of detail, and complexity, with none performing highly on all dimensions.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2023)
Article
Geography
Alexander Fekete, Saravanan Subramanian
Summary: This study used bibliometric analysis to examine research on East Africa, multiple risks, and Climate Change. The findings indicate a lack of studies for many countries in East Africa, particularly in terms of single risk assessments. Furthermore, there is a scarcity of multi-risk assessments that analyze hazard and impact chains. The limited scientific attention focused on only a few cities. These findings are crucial for scientists and policymakers to identify research gaps and areas for further investigation in East Africa for global assessments or science policy reports.
AFRICAN GEOGRAPHICAL REVIEW
(2023)
Article
Geography
Mahsa Moghadas, Alexander Fekete, Abbas Rajabifard, Theo Koetter
Summary: Transformative disaster resilience in times of climate change requires reflexive governance, socio-technical advancement, co-creation of knowledge, and innovative and bottom-up approaches. Utilizing Web 2.0 knowledge sharing through online social networks can complement existing approaches, understand community dynamics, and incorporate collective intelligence into disaster resilience studies.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Samuel Rufat, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Alexander Fekete, Emeline Comby, Peter J. Robinson, Iuliana Armas, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Christian Kuhlicke
Summary: One of the key challenges in risk, vulnerability, and resilience research is how to address the role of risk perceptions and their influence on behavior. The fragmentation of the field makes it difficult to cross-validate existing case studies, hindering comparability and transferability as well as policy and risk management recommendations. To improve collaboration and cumulative knowledge, researchers should establish common requirements, address context-specific aspects, and select comparable and longitudinally monitored questions. A recent international survey revealed the need to ground research design in theory, formalize methods, and compare theories, constructs, and explanations.
NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Alexander Fekete
Summary: This study conducts a geospatial analysis to investigate the exposure risk around 41 nuclear power plants in and around Germany. The results show that 40 out of 113 major cities are exposed and vulnerability patterns vary among different population groups. This information can be crucial for evacuation and emergency planning.
PROGRESS IN DISASTER SCIENCE
(2022)
