Identification of invasive and radionuclide imaging markers of coronary plaque vulnerability using radiomic analysis of coronary computed tomography angiography

Aims Identification of invasive and radionuclide imaging markers of coronary plaque vulnerability by a single, widely available non-invasive technique may provide the opportunity to identify vulnerable plaques and vulnerable patients in broad populations. Our aim was to assess whether radiomic analysis outperforms conventional assessment of coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) images to identify invasive and radionuclide imaging markers of plaque vulnerability. Methods and results We prospectively included patients who underwent coronary CTA, sodium-fluoride positron emission tomography (NaF18-PET), intravascular ultrasound (IVUS), and optical coherence tomography (OCT). We assessed seven conventional plaque features and calculated 935 radiomic parameters from CTA images. In total, 44 plaques of 25 patients were analysed. The best radiomic parameters significantly outperformed the best conventional CT parameters to identify attenuated plaque by IVUS [fractal box counting dimension of high attenuation voxels vs. non-calcified plaque volume, area under the curve (AUC): 0.72, confidence interval (CI): 0.65-0.78 vs. 0.59, CI: 0.57-0.62; P < 0.001], thin-cap fibroatheroma by OCT (fractal box counting dimension of high attenuation voxels vs. presence of low attenuation voxels, AUC: 0.80, CI: 0.72-0.88 vs. 0.66, CI: 0.58-0.73; P < 0.001), and NaF18-positivity (surface of high attenuation voxels vs. presence of two high-risk features, AUC: 0.87, CI: 0.82-0.91 vs. 0.65, CI: 0.64-0.66; P < 0.001). Conclusion Coronary CTA radiomics identified invasive and radionuclide imaging markers of plaque vulnerability with good to excellent diagnostic accuracy, significantly outperforming conventional quantitative and qualitative high-risk plaque features. Coronary CTA radiomics may provide a more accurate tool to identify vulnerable plaques compared with conventional methods. Further larger population studies are warranted.