Reproductive losses due to climate change-induced earlier flowering are not the primary threat to plant population viability in a perennial herb

Direct and indirect effects of episodic frost on plant growth and reproduction in subalpine wildflowers

(2017) Gabriella L. Pardee et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

lmerTest Package: Tests in Linear Mixed Effects Models

(2017) Alexandra Kuznetsova et al.   Journal of Statistical Software

Large near-term projected snowpack loss over the western United States

(2017) John C. Fyfe et al.   Nature Communications

The effect of demographic correlations on the stochastic population dynamics of perennial plants

(2016) Aldo Compagnoni et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Predicting when climate-driven phenotypic change affects population dynamics

(2016) Nina McLean et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Advancing environmentally explicit structured population models of plants

(2016) Johan Ehrlén et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels

(2016) Stephen J. Thackeray et al.   NATURE

Practical Bayesian model evaluation using leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC

(2016) Aki Vehtari et al.   STATISTICS AND COMPUTING

A guide to Bayesian model selection for ecologists

(2015) M. B. Hooten et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Demographic compensation among populations: what is it, how does it arise and what are its implications?

(2015) Jesús Villellas et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

The Effect of the Foresummer Drought on Carbon Exchange in Subalpine Meadows

(2015) Lindsey L. Sloat et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Frost sensitivity of leaves and flowers of subalpine plants is related to tissue type and phenology

(2015) Paul J. CaraDonna et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Fitting Linear Mixed-Effects Models Usinglme4

(2015) Douglas Bates et al.   Journal of Statistical Software

Predicted responses of arctic and alpine ecosystems to altered seasonality under climate change

(2014) Jessica G Ernakovich et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Shifts in flowering phenology reshape a subalpine plant community

(2014) Paul J. CaraDonna et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Early onset of spring increases the phenological mismatch between plants and pollinators

(2013) Gaku Kudo et al.   ECOLOGY

Nonlinear flowering responses to climate: are species approaching their limits of phenological change?

(2013) A. M. Iler et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Record-Breaking Early Flowering in the Eastern United States

(2013) Elizabeth R. Ellwood et al.   PLoS One

Population Growth in a Wild Bird Is Buffered Against Phenological Mismatch

(2013) T. E. Reed et al.   SCIENCE

Phenological overlap of interacting species in a changing climate: an assessment of available approaches

(2013) Nicole E. Rafferty et al.   Ecology and Evolution

Phenological tracking enables positive species responses to climate change

(2012) Elsa E. Cleland et al.   ECOLOGY

A single climate driver has direct and indirect effects on insect population dynamics

(2012) Carol L. Boggs et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Phenotypic plasticity and adaptive evolution contribute to advancing flowering phenology in response to climate change

(2012) J. T. Anderson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Response of snow-dependent hydrologic extremes to continued global warming

(2012) Noah S. Diffenbaugh et al.   Nature Climate Change

Shifting phenology and abundance under experimental warming alters trophic relationships and plant reproductive capacity

(2011) Yinzhan Liu et al.   ECOLOGY

Climate influences the demography of three dominant sagebrush steppe plants

(2010) Harmony J. Dalgleish et al.   ECOLOGY

Life table response experiment analysis of the stochastic growth rate

(2010) Hal Caswell   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Coupled dynamics of body mass and population growth in response to environmental change

(2010) Arpat Ozgul et al.   NATURE

Demographic compensation and tipping points in climate-induced range shifts

(2010) Daniel F. Doak et al.   NATURE

The effects of phenological mismatches on demography

(2010) A. J. Miller-Rushing et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Toward a synthetic understanding of the role of phenology in ecology and evolution

(2010) J. Forrest et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Can life-history traits predict the response of forb populations to changes in climate variability?

(2009) Harmony J. Dalgleish et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Biological consequences of earlier snowmelt from desert dust deposition in alpine landscapes

(2009) Heidi Steltzer et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

LONGEVITY CAN BUFFER PLANT AND ANIMAL POPULATIONS AGAINST CHANGING CLIMATIC VARIABILITY

(2008) William F. Morris et al.   ECOLOGY

EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON PHENOLOGY, FROST DAMAGE, AND FLORAL ABUNDANCE OF MONTANE WILDFLOWERS

(2008) David W. Inouye   ECOLOGY

Populations of migratory bird species that did not show a phenological response to climate change are declining

(2008) A. P. Moller et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Phylogenetic patterns of species loss in Thoreau's woods are driven by climate change

(2008) C. G. Willis et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA