Extreme heterogeneity of population response to climatic variation and the limits of prediction

European butterfly populations vary in sensitivity to weather across their geographical ranges

(2017) Simon C. Mills et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Climates Past, Present, and Yet-to-Come Shape Climate Change Vulnerabilities

(2017) Christopher P. Nadeau et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Synchronous population dynamics in California butterflies explained by climatic forcing

(2017) Nicholas A. Pardikes et al.   Royal Society Open Science

Increasing neonicotinoid use and the declining butterfly fauna of lowland California

(2016) Matthew L. Forister et al.   Biology Letters

Understanding a migratory species in a changing world: climatic effects and demographic declines in the western monarch revealed by four decades of intensive monitoring

(2016) Anne E. Espeset et al.   OECOLOGIA

Climatic warming destabilizes forest ant communities

(2016) S. E. Diamond et al.   Science Advances

Species with more volatile population dynamics are differentially impacted by weather

(2015) J. G. Harrison et al.   Biology Letters

Global weather and local butterflies: variable responses to a large-scale climate pattern along an elevational gradient

(2015) Nicholas A. Pardikes et al.   ECOLOGY

Contribution of Urban Expansion and a Changing Climate to Decline of a Butterfly Fauna

(2014) KAYCE L. CASNER et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Latitudinal gradients in butterfly population variability are influenced by landscape heterogeneity

(2014) Tom H. Oliver et al.   ECOGRAPHY

A hierarchical perspective on the diversity of butterfly species' responses to weather in the Sierra Nevada Mountains

(2014) Chris C. Nice et al.   ECOLOGY

Topographical variation reduces phenological mismatch between a butterfly and its nectar source

(2014) B. J. Hindle et al.   JOURNAL OF INSECT CONSERVATION

No pause in the increase of hot temperature extremes

(2014) Sonia I. Seneviratne et al.   Nature Climate Change

Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming

(2014) Wenju Cai et al.   Nature Climate Change

The utility of repeated presence data as a surrogate for counts: a case study using butterflies

(2013) Kayce L. Casner et al.   JOURNAL OF INSECT CONSERVATION

Community-level phenological response to climate change

(2013) O. Ovaskainen et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

The Future of Species Under Climate Change: Resilience or Decline?

(2013) C. Moritz et al.   SCIENCE

The race is not to the swift: Long-term data reveal pervasive declines in California's low-elevation butterfly fauna

(2011) Matthew L. Forister et al.   ECOLOGY

El Niño/Southern Oscillation behaviour since 1871 as diagnosed in an extended multivariate ENSO index (MEI.ext)

(2011) Klaus Wolter et al.   INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY

Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate Warming

(2011) I.-C. Chen et al.   SCIENCE

Heterogeneous landscapes promote population stability

(2010) Tom Oliver et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Predicting species distribution and abundance responses to climate change: why it is essential to include biotic interactions across trophic levels

(2010) W. H. Van der Putten et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Pacific decadal oscillation hindcasts relevant to near-term climate prediction

(2010) T. Mochizuki et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Compounded effects of climate change and habitat alteration shift patterns of butterfly diversity

(2010) M. L. Forister et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Global change and species interactions in terrestrial ecosystems

(2008) Jason M. Tylianakis et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Rapid shifts in plant distribution with recent climate change

(2008) A. E. Kelly et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA