Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Fulya Islek, Yalcin Yuksel, Cihan Sahin
Summary: This study uses a regional climate model to depict future wind patterns in the Black Sea, showing that the eastern region will have lower average wind speeds but stronger 99th percentile winds. Considering climate change, the eastern Black Sea is more likely to be impacted, while the western Black Sea demonstrates stable wind energy potential.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2022)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Chen Zhuo, Guo Junhong, Li Wei, Zhang Fei, Xiao Chan, Pan Zhangrong
Summary: The goal of carbon neutrality opens up a new opportunity for renewable energy development, particularly in wind power. This study evaluates the spatiotemporal characteristics of wind speed and energy potential from different climate models and projects the changes in wind speed and wind power density over China's mainland in the future. The results suggest a decrease in wind speed in most regions of China, but an increase in wind energy potential in the southern parts.
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Stephen Outten, Stefan Sobolowski
Summary: Extreme weather events pose a significant threat to society, with their intensity, duration, or frequency projected to increase as the climate warms. High-resolution simulations show clear advantages over coarser resolution counterparts, capturing the spatial heterogeneity and localized nature of extreme winds. Further improvements in models and observational coverage are needed for more robust assessments in the future.
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EXTREMES
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Jan Wohland
Summary: This study analyzes the limitations of the global-to-regional climate modeling chain and finds that climate change has a significant impact on wind speeds. The study suggests that land use changes and polar amplification are crucial factors affecting wind energy.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Phuong-Loan Nguyen, Margot Bador, Lisa V. V. Alexander, Todd P. P. Lane
Summary: This study focuses on future seasonal changes in daily precipitation using Regional Climate Models (RCMs) from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiments-Southeast Asia ensemble (CORDEX-SEA). Projections using this RCM ensemble show larger inter-model spread in winter than in summer, with higher significance and model agreement in summer over most land areas. The study evaluates the ability of RCMs to simulate climatological precipitation using two skill metrics. It finds that the projected intensification of summer precipitation over northern SEA is robust across RCMs, while the 'worse' ensemble projects a significant decrease in summer rainfall intensity in the southern part of SEA.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
James M. Ciarlo, Erika Coppola, Adriano Fantini, Filippo Giorgi, XueJie Gao, Yao Tong, Russell H. Glazer, Jose Abraham Torres Alavez, Taleena Sines, Emanuela Pichelli, Francesca Raffaele, Sushant Das, Melissa Bukovsky, Moetasim Ashfaq, Eun-Soon Im, Thanh Nguyen-Xuan, Claas Teichmann, Armelle Remedio, Thomas Remke, Katharina Buelow, Torsten Weber, Lars Buntemeyer, Kevin Sieck, Diana Rechid, Daniela Jacob
Summary: This paper proposes a new metric to quantify the added value of regional climate models (RCMs) by comparing the probability density functions of models and observational data. Results show that RCMs exhibit higher added value in areas of complex topography and tropical regions.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Peter Sherman, Shaojie Song, Xinyu Chen, Michael McElroy
Summary: As more countries commit to emissions reductions to curb climate change, decarbonization of the electricity sector becomes crucial. Wind and solar power will play a major role in this transition, despite a slight decrease in available resources, there is enormous potential for expansion.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Miguel Lagos-Zuniga, Rocio Balmaceda-Huarte, Pedro Regoto, Limbert Torrez, Matias Olmo, Andre Lyra, David Pareja-Quispe, Maria Laura Bettolli
Summary: This study analyzed the capability of three regional climate models (RCMs) to reproduce historical extreme climate indices in South America (SA) and predicted future climate change. The results showed that the models exhibited better agreement in spatial variability than in inter-annual variability, and there were differences in precipitation signals between RCMs and their driving global climate models (GCMs).
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Andreina Belusic Vozila, Danijel Belusic, Maja Telisman Prtenjak, Ivan Guttler, Sophie Bastin, Erwan Brisson, Marie-Estelle Demory, Andreas Dobler, Hendrik Feldmann, Oivind Hodnebrog, Stergios Kartsios, Klaus Keuler, Torge Lorenz, Josipa Milovac, Emanuela Pichelli, Mario Raffa, Pedro M. M. Soares, Merja H. Toelle, Heimo Truhetz, Hylke de Vries, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi
Summary: This study evaluates the wind field from kilometer-scale simulations and emphasizes the added value of convection-permitting models (CPMs) in the Adriatic region. The CPMs provide a more detailed depiction of the wind field, especially in coastal areas and over complex terrain. They show stronger wind extremes and more accurate wind direction compared to coarser models. The potential added value is higher in the cold season due to severe wind events. CPMs also reproduce well the typical wind regimes along the Adriatic coast.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Saumya Singh, R. K. Mall, J. Dadich, S. Verma, J. V. Singh, A. Gupta
Summary: The study evaluated the performance of Regional Climate Models in simulating heat waves in India and found that bias correction improved model accuracy and correlation, enhancing the models' ability to capture temperature variability and heat wave frequency.
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Ondrej Lhotka, Jan Kysely
Summary: The study identified positive P-T correlations in winter and negative correlations in summer over Europe, with RCMs showing deficiencies in accurately reproducing these patterns, particularly in northern Europe and during summer months. Simulation differences in shortwave radiation and relative humidity were identified as contributing factors to these errors. This highlights the importance of addressing these deficiencies to enhance the credibility of projected climate change scenarios.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Sanjiv Neupane, Sangam Shrestha, Usha Ghimire, S. Mohanasundaram, Sarawut Ninsawat
Summary: This study evaluates the performance of 21 Regional Climate Models (RCMs) in simulating climate extremes in Asian cities, identifying three best models for Bangkok, Ho Chi Minh City, and Kathmandu valley.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2021)
Article
Engineering, Marine
Fulya Islek, Yalcin Yuksel, Cihan Sahin
Summary: The aim of this study is to evaluate the potential impact of climate change on wave climate in the Black Sea until the end of the 21st century. The results show that there is an increase in wave characteristics in the near future, especially in the eastern basin under the RCP8.5 scenario. The changes in annual mean values are more significant under the RCP8.5 scenario than under the RCP4.5 scenario. The study highlights the importance of considering the effects of climate change on extreme wave heights.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Phuong-Loan Nguyen, Margot Bador, Lisa Alexander, Todd P. Lane, Thanh Ngo-Duc
Summary: This study evaluates the performance of regional climate models in simulating rainfall over Southeast Asia and finds that while these models can reproduce complexities in the spatial distribution of seasonal rainfall, they generally have a larger wet bias compared to global climate models. The study also suggests that the ability of the models to simulate precipitation in the region depends more on the setup of the regional climate models themselves rather than their associated global climate models.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Ui-Yong Byun, Eun-Chul Chang, Joowan Kim, Joong-Bae Ahn, Dong-Hyun Cha, Seung-Ki Min, Young-Hwa Byun
Summary: Studies have shown that regional climate models (RCMs) are more effective than global climate models (GCMs) in simulating local climates, making them valuable tools for assessing the impacts of climate change and informing adaptation strategies. This study compared two regional simulations using the same RCMs but different GCMs to evaluate their ability to simulate storm tracks in East Asia. The results demonstrated the added value of RCMs in improving climate projections in East Asia.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Nikolina Ban, Cecile Caillaud, Erika Coppola, Emanuela Pichelli, Stefan Sobolowski, Marianna Adinolfi, Bodo Ahrens, Antoinette Alias, Ivonne Anders, Sophie Bastin, Danijel Belusic, Segolene Berthou, Erwan Brisson, Rita M. Cardoso, Steven C. Chan, Ole Bossing Christensen, Jesus Fernandez, Lluis Fita, Thomas Frisius, Goran Gasparac, Filippo Giorgi, Klaus Goergen, Jan Erik Haugen, Oivind Hodnebrog, Stergios Kartsios, Eleni Katragkou, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Klaus Keuler, Alvaro Lavin-Gullon, Geert Lenderink, David Leutwyler, Torge Lorenz, Douglas Maraun, Paola Mercogliano, Josipa Milovac, Hans-Juergen Panitz, Mario Raffa, Armelle Reca Remedio, Christoph Schar, Pedro M. M. Soares, Lidija Srnec, Birthe Marie Steensen, Paolo Stocchi, Merja H. Toelle, Heimo Truhetz, Jesus Vergara-Temprado, Hylke de Vries, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, Volker Wulfmeyer, Mar Janne Zander
Summary: The study presents the first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale horizontal grid spacing, showing that kilometer-scale models perform better than coarse resolution models in representing precipitation, especially heavy precipitation and precipitation frequency during the summer season.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Erwan Brisson, Ulrich Blahak, Philippe Lucas-Picher, Christopher Purr, Bodo Ahrens
Summary: Lightning climate change projections are highly uncertain due to limitations in empirical knowledge and strong assumptions in coarse-grid climate modeling. This study successfully implemented the lightning potential index parameterization (LPI) into a fine-grid convection-permitting regional climate model (CPM), outperforming the simpler CAPE x PREC parameterization in all applied diagnostics. The LPI projected a decrease of 4.8% in flash rate by the end of the century in a domain centered over Germany, in contrast to a projected increase of 17.4% using the CAPE x PREC parameterization, mainly attributed to changes in convection occurrence and microphysical mixing.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Qinglong You, Ziyi Cai, Nick Pepin, Deliang Chen, Bodo Ahrens, Zhihong Jiang, Fangying Wu, Shichang Kang, Ruonan Zhang, Tonghua Wu, Pengling Wang, Mingcai Li, Zhiyan Zuo, Yanhong Gao, Panmao Zhai, Yuqing Zhang
Summary: This study compares the trends, mechanisms, and consequences of warming amplification over the Arctic Pole and Third Pole, noting that both regions have experienced significant warming rates exceeding the global average. While Arctic amplification and Tibetan amplification are projected to continue, there is currently no consensus on the dominant mechanisms driving these patterns.
EARTH-SCIENCE REVIEWS
(2021)
Editorial Material
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Arianna Valmassoi, Jan D. Keller, Daryl T. Kleist, Stephen English, Bodo Ahrens, Ivan Bastak Duran, Elisabeth Bauernschubert, Michael G. Bosilovich, Masatomo Fujiwara, Hans Hersbach, Lili Lei, Ulrich Loehnert, Nabir Mamnun, Cory R. Martin, Andrew Moore, Deborah Niermann, Juan Jose Ruiz, Leonhard Scheck
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Christopher Purr, Erwan Brisson, K. Heinke Schluenzen, Bodo Ahrens
Summary: This study investigates the relationship between atmospheric variables and properties of convective rain cells, and finds that convective precipitation exceeds the Clausius-Clapeyron rate under current climate conditions. The study also reveals that different cell properties scale with dew point temperature at varying rates, and that wind shear increases precipitation by increasing the spatial cell extent.
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Boris Mifka, Maja Telisman Prtenjak, Josipa Kuzmic, Milan Cankovic, Sarah Matesa, Irena Ciglenecki
Summary: Atmospheric mineral dust deposition is crucial for providing nutrients to marine ecosystems, especially through wet deposition. The climatology of dust deposition in the Adriatic Sea area was investigated, revealing two maxima during the year: a stronger maxima in March-April and a weaker maxima in November. Hot spots of deposition were identified along the Montenegrin coast and Otrant.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Barbara Malec, Maja Telisman Prtenjak, Kristian Horvath, Damjan Jelic, Petra Mikus Jurkovic, Karol Corko, Natasa Strelec Mahovic
Summary: This study simulated three selected hailstorms in Croatia using the WRF model and evaluated the forecasting ability of HAILCAST and LPI, as well as their sensitivity to microphysics and PBL parameterization schemes. The results showed that the model represented observed hail and lightning activity well, although HAILCAST tended to overestimate the affected area by hail.
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Elena Macdonald, Bruno Merz, Bjoern Guse, Luzie Wietzke, Sophie Ullrich, Matthias Kemter, Bodo Ahrens, Sergiy Vorogushyn
Summary: The study found that in some catchments, the probability of extreme events is higher, and neglecting heavy tail behavior may lead to underestimation of extreme floods. Catchment response characteristics have the most significant impact on heavy tail behavior, followed by event precipitation, flood seasonality, and catchment size.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Danny Risto, Kristina Froehlich, Bodo Ahrens
Summary: Seasonal forecasting systems struggle with predicting temperature over continental regions but perform better in maritime regions. The land surface, particularly snow cover, plays a significant role in (sub-)seasonal predictability. This study aims to identify the causes of biases and lack of skill in snow cover seasonal forecasting, whether it is due to initialization or parameterization errors. By comparing different forecasting systems, it is found that both initialization and parameterization contribute to snow biases, with their dominance depending on the specific system.
Review
Environmental Sciences
Anika Obermann-Hellhund
Summary: This article reviews the recent state of research on mesoscale winds and associated processes in the Mediterranean region. Previous work, including case studies and studies on future climate conditions, is discussed. The simulations show that for small-scale features, grid spacings of 1-3 km are necessary to accurately represent the winds.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Javier Diez-Sierra, Maialen Iturbide, Jose M. Gutierrez, Jesus Fernandez, Josipa Milovac, Antonio S. Cofino, Ezequiel Cimadevilla, Grigory Nikulin, Guillaume Levavasseur, Erik Kjellstrom, Katharina Bulow, Andras Horanyi, Anca Brookshaw, Markel Garcia-Diez, Antonio Perez, Jorge Bano-Medina, Bodo Ahrens, Antoinette Alias, Moetasim Ashfaq, Melissa Bukovsky, Erasmo Buonomo, Steven Caluwaerts, Sin Chan Chou, Ole B. Christensen, James M. Ciarlo, Erika Coppola, Lola Corre, Marie-Estelle Demory, Vladimir Djurdjevic, Jason P. Evans, Rowan Fealy, Hendrik Feldmann, Daniela Jacob, Sanjay Jayanarayanan, Jack Katzfey, Klaus Keuler, Christoph Kittel, Mehmet Levent Kurnaz, Rene Laprise, Piero Lionello, Seth McGinnis, Paola Mercogliano, Pierre Nabat, Tugba Ozturk, Hans-Jurgen Panitz, Dominique Paquin, Ildiko Pieczka, Francesca Raffaele, Armelle Reca Remedio, John Scinocca, Florence Sevault, Samuel Somot, Christian Steger, Fredolin Tangang, Claas Teichmann, Piet Termonia, Marcus Thatcher, Csaba Torma, Erik van Meijgaard, Robert Vautard, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, Katja Winger, George Zittis, Baris Onol
Summary: The collaboration between CORDEX and ESGF allows open access to regional climate model simulations, which have been used as evidence for assessing regional climate projections in IPCC AR6. The C3S CORDEX dataset, available through the Copernicus Climate Data Store, has been used for the assessment and is consistent for precipitation and temperature.
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
(2022)
Article
Biochemistry & Molecular Biology
Isabelle Marie Kramer, Markus Pfenninger, Barbara Feldmeyer, Meghnath Dhimal, Ishan Gautam, Pramod Shreshta, Sunita Baral, Parbati Phuyal, Juliane Hartke, Axel Magdeburg, David A. Groneberg, Bodo Ahrens, Ruth Muller, Ann-Marie Waldvogel
Summary: Driven by globalization, urbanization, and climate change, the distribution range of invasive vector species has expanded to colder ecoregions. This study focuses on the dengue vector Aedes aegypti and uses population genomics to identify putatively adaptive traits and describe the species' genomic footprint of climate adaptation. The results suggest that a highland population of Aedes aegypti in Nepal has distinct genomic differentiation and potential local high-altitude adaptation, increasing the likelihood of its worldwide expansion into other colder ecoregions.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Andreas F. Prein, Nikolina Ban, Tinghai Ou, Jianping Tang, Koichi Sakaguchi, Emily Collier, Sanjay Jayanarayanan, Lu Li, Stefan Sobolowski, Xingchao Chen, Xu Zhou, Hui-Wen Lai, Shiori Sugimoto, Liwei Zou, Shabeh ul Hasson, Marie Ekstrom, Praveen Kumar Pothapakula, Bodo Ahrens, Romilly Stuart, Hans Christian Steen-Larsen, Ruby Leung, Danijel Belusic, Julia Kukulies, Julia Curio, Deliang Chen
Summary: The Tibetan Plateau, also known as the Third Pole, is an important freshwater source for Asia. However, due to challenges in weather and climate modeling, the future of this region remains highly uncertain. The Convection-Permitting Third Pole (CPTP) project aims to revolutionize our understanding of climate change impacts on the Tibetan Plateau through ensemble-based, kilometer-scale climate modeling.
Article
Environmental Sciences
George Zittis, Bodo Ahrens, Anika Obermann-Hellhund, Elias Giannakis, Danny Risto, Miguel Agulles Gamez, Gabriel Jorda, Monica Quesada Pena, Veronica Lora Rodriguez, Jose Luis Guersi Sauret, Piero Lionello, Elodie Briche, Julie Collignan, Matthias Graetz, Damian Arikas, Constantinos Stylianou, Haris Neophytou, Despina Serghides
Summary: Maritime transport is crucial for global trade and the economy, especially for islands that heavily depend on it for connection and transportation. However, climate change poses significant risks to the operations of maritime transport by affecting port infrastructure and ships. This study aims to assess the future risk of maritime transport disruption in European islands and highlights the importance of adopting low-emission pathways to minimize disruptions.
EURO-MEDITERRANEAN JOURNAL FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INTEGRATION
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Ivana Cavlina Tomasevic, Kevin K. W. Cheung, Visnjica Vucetic, Paul Fox-Hughes, Kristian Horvath, Maja Telisman Prtenjak, Paul J. Beggs, Barbara Malecic, Velimir Milic
Summary: This study focuses on the Split wildfire in 2017, providing insights into its meteorological conditions, fire development, and the importance of meteorological guidance in fire forecasting and decision-making.
NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
(2022)
