Journal
WATER RESOURCES
Volume 45, Issue -, Pages S1-S7Publisher
MAIK NAUKA/INTERPERIODICA/SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1134/S0097807818060180
Keywords
hydrologic modeling; runoff; ungauged basins; reanalysis; Arctic
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Funding
- Geo.X, the Research Network for Geosciences in Berlin and Potsdam
- Russian Science Foundation [16-17-10039]
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Due to global warming, the problem of assessing water resources and their vulnerability to climate drivers in the Arctic region has become a focus in the recent years. This study is aimed at investigating three lumped hydrological models to predict daily runoff of large-scale Arctic basins in the case of substantial data scarcity. All models were driven only by meteorological forcing reanalysis dataset without any additional information about landscape, soil, or vegetation cover properties of the studied basins. Model parameter regionalization based on transferring the whole parameter set showed good efficiency for predictions in ungauged basins. We run a blind test of the proposed methodology for ensemble runoff predictions on five sub-basins, for which only monthly observations were available, and obtained promising results for current water resources assessment for a broad domain of ungauged basins in the Russian Arctic.
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