New 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association High Blood Pressure Guideline: Healthcare Impact in Mexico and Other Developing Countries

The new American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association 2017 Hypertension Guidelines lower the threshold to define hypertension, thus increasing its prevalence. The impact on populations and health systems is poorly understood. We included data from 990 subjects aged 20 to 64 years from the SALMEX cohort (Salt in Mexico; Mexico City) and determined the prevalence of hypertension and requirement for pharmacological treatment according to both Joint National Committee on the Prevention, Detection, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure 7 and American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association 2017 guidelines. The data obtained were extrapolated to sex- and age-adjusted Mexico City population, and annual costs of medical follow-up were calculated. The new definition increased the prevalence of hypertension among SALMEX cohort from 16.2% to 37.4% (18%-39.3% after adjusting to Mexico City population). The proportion of subjects that require pharmacological and nonpharmacological treatment increased from 17.7% to 19.0% and from 17.7% to 37.4%, respectively (19.4%-21.8% for pharmacological and 19.4%-39.3% for nonpharmacological treatment, after adjusting to Mexico City population). Annual costs of medical follow-up for subjects with hypertension in Mexico City would increase an estimated $59278928. The requirement to initiate pharmacological treatment was similar when assessed by Framingham risk score with lipids or with body mass index compared with the Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease score, with correlation indexes of 0.981 and 0.972, respectively. On the basis of these results, Framingham body mass index represents an attractive and potentially cost-effective alternative to assess cardiovascular risk. In conclusion, the adoption of the new guidelines in Mexican population has implications not only on its prevalence but also on medical follow-up costs. A pharmacoeconomic model is required to assess the actual financial impact.