4.6 Article

Improving the SWAT forest module for enhancing water resource projections: A case study in the St. Croix River basin

Journal

HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES
Volume 33, Issue 5, Pages 864-875

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.13370

Keywords

climate change; forest; nutrients; sediment; streamflow; SWAT; uncertainties; water resource projection

Funding

  1. Metropolitan Council
  2. Minnesota Pollution Control Agency
  3. U.S. Department of Agriculture [2017-67003-26485, 2017-67003-26484]
  4. National Park Service [J659005002C]
  5. National Science Foundation [1639327]
  6. U.S. Department of Energy (Office of Science, Office of Basic Energy Sciences and Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Solar Energy Technology Program) [DE-FC02-07ER64494, DOE EERE OBP 20469-19145, KP1601050]
  7. National Aeronautics and Space Administration [NNH13ZDA001N, NNX17AE66G]

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Insufficiently calibrated forest parameters of the Soil & Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) may introduce uncertainties to water resource projections in forested watersheds. In this study, we improved SWAT forest parameterization and phosphorus cycling representations to better simulate forest ecosystems in the St. Croix River basin, and we further examined how those improvements affected model projections of streamflow, sediment, and nitrogen export under future climate conditions. Simulations with improved forest parameters substantially reduced model estimates of water, sediment, and nitrogen fluxes relative to those based on default parameters. Differences between improved and default projections can be attributed to the enhanced representation of forest water consumption, nutrient uptake, and protection of soil from erosion. Better representation of forest ecosystems in SWAT contributes to constraining uncertainties in water resource projections. Results of this study highlight the importance of improving SWAT forest ecosystem representations in projecting delivery of water, sediment, and nutrients from land to rivers in response to climate change, particularly for watersheds with large areas of forests. Improved forest parameters and the phosphorus weathering algorithms developed in this study are expected to help enhance future applications of SWAT to investigate hydrological and biogeochemical consequences of climate change.

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