4.5 Article

Can conservation agriculture save tropical forests? The case of minimum tillage in Zambia

Journal

FOREST POLICY AND ECONOMICS
Volume 97, Issue -, Pages 153-162

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2018.10.001

Keywords

Cropland expansion; Deforestation; Minimum tillage; Double hurdle; Zambia

Funding

  1. Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation (Norad) through the Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) [GLO-3945 QZA 13/0545]

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Minimum tillage (MT) is a key component in the promotion of conservation agriculture (CA). This paper asks whether MT reduces cropland expansion and thus deforestation. We develop a theoretical household model of land expansion, and test hypotheses by estimating a double hurdle model using household survey data from 368 smallholders in rural Zambia. About 19% of the farmers expanded cropland into forests, clearing an average of 0.14 ha over one year. Overall, we do not find significant associations between MT adoption and reduced deforestation among households in our sample, while higher labor availability and crop yield stimulate expansion. Yield augmenting agricultural technologies (such as MT) may not reduce expansion unless combined with other forest conservation measures.

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