Detecting early-warning signals in periodically forced systems with noise

Effects of combined harmonic and random excitations on a Brusselator model

(2017) Yong Xu et al.   EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL B

The Estimates of the Mean First Exit Time of a Bistable System Excited by Poisson White Noise

(2017) Yong Xu et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED MECHANICS-TRANSACTIONS OF THE ASME

Stochastic resonance in a genetic toggle model with harmonic excitation and Lévy noise

(2016) Yong Xu et al.   CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS

Tipping elements of the Indian monsoon: Prediction of onset and withdrawal

(2016) Veronika Stolbova et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Lévy noise induced stochastic resonance in an FHN model

(2016) ZhanQing Wang et al.   Science China-Technological Sciences

The Switch in a Genetic Toggle System with Lévy Noise

(2016) Yong Xu et al.   Scientific Reports

Predictability of critical transitions

(2015) Xiaozhu Zhang et al.   PHYSICAL REVIEW E

Identifying early-warning signals of critical transitions with strong noise by dynamical network markers

(2015) Rui Liu et al.   Scientific Reports

Conditional Heteroskedasticity Forecasts Regime Shift in a Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

(2012) David A. Seekell et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Flickering gives early warning signals of a critical transition to a eutrophic lake state

(2012) Rong Wang et al.   NATURE

Approaching a state shift in Earth’s biosphere

(2012) Anthony D. Barnosky et al.   NATURE

Methods for Detecting Early Warnings of Critical Transitions in Time Series Illustrated Using Simulated Ecological Data

(2012) Vasilis Dakos et al.   PLoS One

Anticipating Critical Transitions

(2012) M. Scheffer et al.   SCIENCE

Early Warnings of Regime Shifts: A Whole-Ecosystem Experiment

(2011) S. R. Carpenter et al.   SCIENCE

Tipping points: Early warning and wishful thinking

(2010) Peter D. Ditlevsen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environments

(2010) John M. Drake et al.   NATURE

Foreseeing tipping points

(2010) Marten Scheffer   NATURE

Moment-closure approximations for mass-action models

(2009) C.S. Gillespie   IET Systems Biology

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Turning back from the brink: Detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it

(2009) Reinette Biggs et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Ecology for bankers

(2008) Robert M. May et al.   NATURE