4.6 Article

Forcings and feedbacks in the GeoMIP ensemble for a reduction in solar irradiance and increase in CO2

Journal

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
Volume 119, Issue 9, Pages 5226-5239

Publisher

AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1002/2013JD021110

Keywords

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Funding

  1. European Commission under the EU Seventh Research Framework Programme (MACC II) [283576]
  2. French Ministere de l'Ecologie, du Developpement Durable, des Transports et du Logement (MEDDE) under the GMES-MDD program
  3. GENCI-TGCC [2013-t2013012201]
  4. Fund for Innovative Climate and Energy Research (FICER)
  5. U.S. Department of Energy [DE-AC05-76RL01830]
  6. NSF [AGS-1157525, CBET-1240507]
  7. Joint UK DECC/Defra Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme [GA01101]
  8. European Commission's Seventh Framework Programme through the IMPLICC project [FP7-ENV-2008-1-226567]
  9. European Union's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7) [226567-IMPLICC]
  10. European Commission under the EU Seventh Research Framework Programme (EuTRACE) [306395]
  11. National Science Foundation
  12. Office of Science (BER) of the U.S. Department of Energy
  13. Directorate For Geosciences [1240507] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
  14. Directorate For Geosciences
  15. Div Atmospheric & Geospace Sciences [1157525] Funding Source: National Science Foundation

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The effective radiative forcings (including rapid adjustments) and feedbacks associated with an instantaneous quadrupling of the preindustrial CO2 concentration and a counterbalancing reduction of the solar constant are investigated in the context of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP). The forcing and feedback parameters of the net energy flux, as well as its different components at the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) and surface, were examined in 10 Earth System Models to better understand the impact of solar radiation management on the energy budget. In spite of their very different nature, the feedback parameter and its components at the TOA and surface are almost identical for the two forcing mechanisms, not only in the global mean but also in their geographical distributions. This conclusion holds for each of the individual models despite intermodel differences in how feedbacks affect the energy budget. This indicates that the climate sensitivity parameter is independent of the forcing (when measured as an effective radiative forcing). We also show the existence of a large contribution of the cloudy-sky component to the shortwave effective radiative forcing at the TOA suggesting rapid cloud adjustments to a change in solar irradiance. In addition, the models present significant diversity in the spatial distribution of the shortwave feedback parameter in cloudy regions, indicating persistent uncertainties in cloud feedback mechanisms.

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