Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Ruoyun Ma, Jianhua Sun, Xinlin Yang
Summary: This study established a 7-year climatology of severe convective storms in North China from 2011 to 2018, identifying 371 storms that primarily initiated around noon and decayed at night. Various storm morphologies were categorized, with linear systems producing the most short-duration heavy rainfall and thunderstorm high wind reports. Bow echoes were found to be most efficient in producing these hazardous weather events.
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Yanlei Feng, Robinson I. I. Negron-Juarez, John C. H. Chiang, Jeffrey Q. Q. Chambers
Summary: This study examines 38 cases of windthrows in the Amazonia and investigates the relationship between windthrows and the characteristics of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) that caused them, including storm passing time, cloud top temperature, and maximum precipitation. The results show that windthrows mostly occur in August and September. The size of windthrows is positively correlated with the storm passing time. MCSs with colder cloud top temperatures (with a mean of 206K) result in larger windthrows, while those with warmer cloud tops (with a mean above 230K) result in relatively smaller windthrows, except in the western Amazonia. There is no significant relationship between maximum precipitation intensity and the area of windthrows.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
I-Han Chen, Yi-Jui Su, Hsiao-Wei Lai, Jing-Shan Hong, Chih-Hsin Li, Pao-Liang Chang, Ying-Jhang Wu
Summary: This study evaluates a convective-scale ensemble prediction system (CEPS) for probability forecasts of convective precipitation in Taiwan. The study reveals that initial and boundary perturbations are crucial for ensuring consistent spread-skill over 18-hour forecasts. It also suggests that model perturbations have insignificant impacts on upper-air and precipitation forecasts. In terms of deterministic forecasts, those launched at 1100 LST outperform those launched at 0500 and 0800 LST due to the enhanced practical predictability from the most-recent data assimilation analyses.
WEATHER AND FORECASTING
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Linxue Long, Lihua He, Jiangbo Li, Wenlong Zhang, Yingxin Zhang
Summary: In this study, 339 mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) in North China during the warm season from 2010 to 2018 were analyzed. The study found that the number of meso-alpha-scale convective systems (M alpha CSs) is higher than that of meso-beta-scale convective systems (M beta CSs), and there are more mesoscale elongated convective systems (MECSs) than mesoscale circular convective systems (MCCSs). Most MCSs occur in July and August and have a wide influence range, long duration, and strong convection. The movement of MCSs is mainly eastward, with some MECSs moving southwestward and northwestward.
METEOROLOGY AND ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Ruoyun Ma, Shuanglei Feng, Shuanglong Jin, Jianhua Sun, Shenming Fu, Shijun Sun, Hong Han
Summary: Based on analysis of severe convective events over North China during the warm seasons of 2011-2018, this study compared the statistical characteristics and environmental conditions of events in mountains and plains, with different severities and in various months. Results showed that hail and thunderstorm high winds were more common in mountains, while short-duration heavy rainfall was more frequent in plains. The study also highlighted the distinct monthly and diurnal variations in the occurrence frequency of severe convective events.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Christopher Purr, Erwan Brisson, K. Heinke Schluenzen, Bodo Ahrens
Summary: This study investigates the relationship between atmospheric variables and properties of convective rain cells, and finds that convective precipitation exceeds the Clausius-Clapeyron rate under current climate conditions. The study also reveals that different cell properties scale with dew point temperature at varying rates, and that wind shear increases precipitation by increasing the spatial cell extent.
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
George P. Pacey, David M. Schultz, Luis Garcia-Carreras
Summary: The study found that the frequency of severe convective windstorms in Europe is increasing each year, with Poland being the most frequently reported region. Severe convective windstorms are most common in summer, and convective organizational modes can be classified into two types of environments: low-shear-high-CAPE and high-shear-low-CAPE.
WEATHER AND FORECASTING
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Yuanjing Guo, Qiang Fu, L. Ruby Leung, Ying Na, Riyu Lu
Summary: We used high-resolution satellite data and a tracking method to investigate the occurrence frequency and precipitation trends of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) in Asia from 2001 to 2020. Different scales of MCSs showed positive trends in East Asia and Northeast Asia, and negative trends in Southeast Asia. The precipitation trends of these MCSs significantly contributed to the total precipitation trend, with the meso-alpha scale MCSs contributing the most. The spatial distribution of water vapor flux convergence trend was similar to the MCS frequency and precipitation trend.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Alessio C. C. Spassiani, Matthew S. S. Mason, Vincent Y. S. Cheng
Summary: A spatially complete climatology of severe convective wind gusts in Australia was developed by using observational and global reanalysis data. Different weather indices were found to explain gust frequencies for different seasons, with minimal events in winter and maximum events in summer. The models were also applied to a longer time period, showing similar trends.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Fu Dong, Xiefei Zhi, Shoupeng Zhu, Ling Zhang, Fei Ge, Yi Fan, Yang Lyu, Jingyu Wang, Klaus Fraedrich
Summary: Using 23-year satellite observations and reanalysis data, the principal modes of the diurnal cycle of rainfall (DCR) over South China during the presummer rainy season were examined. Three distinctly different modes were identified: the early-afternoon precipitation (EAP) mode, the late-afternoon precipitation (LAP) mode, and the morning precipitation (MP) mode. These modes exhibit different characteristics in both time and space.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Chanil Park, Seok-Woo Son, Joowan Kim, Eun-Chul Chang, Jung-Hoon Kim, Enoch Jo, Dong-Hyun Cha, Sujong Jeong
Summary: This study identifies diverse synoptic weather patterns of warm-season heavy rainfall events in South Korea, with two main causes: those not directly connected to tropical cyclones and those resulting from tropical cyclones. These different weather patterns exhibit distinct spatiotemporal distributions, providing important guidance for HRE prediction.
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Joshua Mccurry, Jonathan Poterjoy, Kent Knopfmeier, Louis Wicker
Summary: To address the uncertainty of moist convection, a novel Bayesian data assimilation method based on particle filtering is evaluated. Assimilating with particle filtering produces posterior variables that are more consistent with model climatology compared to ensemble Kalman filtering, reducing data assimilation bias. These differences have significant impacts on the dynamic evolution of convective systems and forecast verification scores, with implications for the selection of physical parameterization schemes and parameter estimation in data assimilation frameworks.
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Jing Tao, Qing Zhu, William J. Riley, Rebecca B. Neumann
Summary: Arctic warming has led to increased vegetation growth and soil respiration, with the most severe impacts during the cold season. An improved Earth system model is able to better capture the CO2 emissions over Arctic tundra. The rate of warm-season net CO2 uptake is increasing faster than that of cold-season emissions, potentially turning the Alaskan Arctic tundra into a net CO2 sink by 2100.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Huancui Hu, L. Ruby Leung, Zhe Feng
Summary: The study reveals that early warm-season MCS rainfall has a significant impact on summer rainfall dominated by non-MCS events in July, while soil moisture sourced from MCS rainfall contributes to the upscale growth of MCSs at night. Early warm-season MCS rainfall plays a dominant role in the soil moisture-precipitation feedback.
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Xiyu Mu, Anning Huang, Yang Wu, Qi Xu, Yuanyuan Zheng, Huijuan Lin, Dexian Fang, Xindan Zhang, Yong Tang, Shuxin Cai
Summary: This study revealed the characteristics of precipitation diurnal variation and underlying mechanisms over Jiangsu Province in eastern China during the warm season. Precipitation amount, frequency, and intensity are zonally distributed in Jiangsu, with distinct diurnal cycles and differences between daytime and nighttime precipitation. The total rainfall is largely contributed by long-duration rainfall, with distinct sub-seasonal variations and contributions from different rainfall periods.
FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE
(2021)