Article
Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary
Ting-Ting Sun, Chi-Wei Su, Ran Tao, Meng Qin
Summary: The research reveals that agricultural commodity prices have a positive impact on inflation, but under external uncertainty shocks, the rise in agricultural commodity prices is not always the primary driver of inflation. Inflation levels have both positive and negative impacts on agricultural commodity prices, suggesting that inflation can influence the supply and demand in agricultural commodity markets. These findings support the derived hypothesis that the interaction mechanism plays a role in the relationship between agricultural commodity prices and inflation.
Article
Energy & Fuels
Szczepan Figiel, Zbigniew Florianczyk, Marek Wigier
Summary: The aim of this paper is to examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on world energy commodity prices and their interactions with world food commodity prices. Based on data series analysis, it is evident that the pandemic caused a severe energy price shock which clearly had a negative impact on global economic growth, but the scale of this impact differs depending on the type of economic sector and countries' net export positions in energy and food trade.
Article
Environmental Studies
Yanpeng Sun, Nawazish Mirza, Abdul Qadeer, Hsin-Pei Hsueh
Summary: The increasing financialization of energy and commodity markets presents tradeoffs for investors and consumers, with the long-term study showing bidirectional causality between oil and agricultural commodity prices. Surprisingly, both agricultural commodity prices and oil prices remained immune to shocks during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Article
Agronomy
Gailiu Qu, Yuqing Lou, Siyu Wu, Xin Deng, Jie Feng
Summary: Ensuring the stability of supply and prices of agricultural products is crucial for people's wellbeing and social development. However, the outbreak of COVID-19 has led to significant contradictions between supply and demand in the agricultural market, resulting in sharp fluctuations in prices. The study finds that the COVID-19 pandemic has caused an average increase of 105.02% in retail prices of agricultural products in Chengdu, with the most significant impact on livestock and poultry, fruits and vegetables, and aquatic products. The supply side is more affected than the demand side, especially in areas with a relatively small primary industry and fast industrialization. In the short term, government policies to suppress prices do not restrain all agricultural prices.
Article
Business, Finance
Dragan Miljkovic, Puneet Vatsa
Summary: We use dynamic time warping, a non-parametric pattern recognition method, to study the interlinkages between major energy and agricultural commodity prices. Cluster analysis is conducted to group commodity prices based on their behavioral likeness, resulting in two clusters: one containing crude oil and six major agricultural commodities, and the other containing coal and natural gas prices. The lead-lag associations between oil and crop prices change frequently, with oil prices generally lagging crop prices, but occasionally leading them.
INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
(2023)
Article
Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence
Manas Kumar Mohanty, Parag Kumar Guha Thakurta, Samarjit Kar
Summary: An efficient machine learning-based framework is proposed for crop price prediction to assist farmers in estimating profit and loss in advance. The framework consists of four functional blocks: crop yield prediction, determination of supply, demand prediction, and crop price prediction. Various time series-based algorithms are utilized to forecast crop yield, while the supply is determined using predicted yield, residue, and import values. The demand is predicted solely based on the year, and crop price is predicted using different approaches including time series, statistical methods, and machine learning techniques. The decision tree regressor is identified as the best model for predicting crop price in this work, showing the superiority of the proposed framework over existing approaches.
NEURAL COMPUTING & APPLICATIONS
(2023)
Review
Agriculture, Multidisciplinary
Imane El Bakali, Youssef Brouziyne, Abdelkader Ait El Mekki, Nassreddine Maatala, Rachid Harbouze
Summary: This paper conducts a systematic review of the primary methodological approaches used to assess the influence of policies on the dissemination of agricultural innovations. The evaluation is divided into two clusters, focusing on the effects of policies on innovation adoption and yields/profitability. The majority of studies do not incorporate the evaluation of economic, social, and environmental aspects together, suggesting a need for increased interest in sustainability impact.
OUTLOOK ON AGRICULTURE
(2023)
Article
Physics, Multidisciplinary
Leticia Perez-Sienes, Mar Grande, Juan Carlos Losada, Javier Borondo
Summary: In this study, we contribute to the understanding of the agri-food market by exploring its efficiency and the role of the local Hurst exponent in predicting its trend. The analysis of the time series data for different agri-commodities reveals that mean reversion is more probable and occurs faster during anti-persistent periods. Therefore, we conclude that the Hurst exponent can help anticipate the future trend and range of expected prices in this market.
Article
Economics
Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Jaroslava Hlouskova, Michael Obersteiner
Summary: The study presents a comprehensive modelling framework to quantify the response of agricultural commodity prices to potential determinants, utilizing various types of autoregressive models. Results indicate that market fundamentals and macroeconomic developments have predictive power for commodity prices, which also react strongly to changes in international competitiveness, as measured by real exchange rate fluctuations.
JOURNAL OF FORECASTING
(2021)
Review
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Qi Zhang, Yi Hu, Jianbin Jiao, Shouyang Wang
Summary: Commodity price fluctuations have significant impacts on macroeconomics, industrial chain competition, and industry sustainable development. By using bibliometrics, this study traced the development of research on commodity prices and identified four main research hotspots: factors influencing commodity prices, impact on the macroeconomy, commodity price forecasting, and the financialization of commodities.
Review
Environmental Sciences
Gour Gopal Satpati, Pritam Kumar Dikshit, Navonil Mal, Ruma Pal, Knawang Chhunji Sherpa, Rajiv Chandra Rajak, Sami-ullah Rather, Sathya Raghunathan, MubarakAli Davoodbasha
Summary: Microalgae have great potential as fourth generation biofuel feedstock, but the cost of production and biomass harvest are major obstacles. Using filamentous fungi to culture targeted algae can mitigate environmental impacts. Co-cultivation of microalgae with fungi using wastewater has shown feasibility for biofuel production. This article aims to discuss synergistic approaches, culture protocols, harvesting procedures, and potential biotechnological applications. Algal-fungal consortia can digest cellulosic biomass, potentially reducing operating costs and making biofuel production economically feasible.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2023)
Review
Substance Abuse
Sarah C. Weinsztok, Derek D. Reed, Michael Amlung
Summary: In this systematic review, cross-commodity purchase task studies with human participants were examined. The findings revealed that tobacco and nicotine products were the most frequently assessed drug category. The most consistent economic relationships observed were the substitution of traditional cigarettes by e-cigarettes and e-liquid, and both legal and illegal cannabis for other drugs. The implications of these results in terms of treatment and harm reduction were discussed, and recommendations for future research were provided.
PSYCHOLOGY OF ADDICTIVE BEHAVIORS
(2023)
Article
Business, Finance
Axel Grossmann, Jintae Kim
Summary: This study finds that movements of an undervalued U.S. dollar have a statistically significant negative impact on commodity prices, while movements of an overvalued U.S. dollar do not show an effect on commodity prices. This finding may be attributed to the expectation that an undervalued strengthening U.S. dollar continues to appreciate.
RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE
(2022)
Review
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Masoumeh Ravanipour, Ali Hamidi, Amir Hossein Mahvi
Summary: The study summarized the latest developments in Iran in the production of biodiesel from microalgae and fish waste, and evaluated the biodiesel potential from these two sources in Bushehr province. The results showed an increase in research on biodiesel production in Iran in the past decade, and estimated a total revenue of approximately $118.8 million from aquatic microalgae and fish waste in Bushehr province.
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
(2021)
Article
Economics
Gert Bijnens, Jozef Konings, Stijn Vanormelingen
Summary: Increased investment in clean electricity and rising carbon costs are likely to lead to higher electricity prices, with a negative impact on employment in the most electricity-intensive sectors. This impact will be unevenly distributed based on the uneven distribution of these sectors across countries and regions.