Communicating probabilistic information from climate model ensembles-lessons from numerical weather prediction

Communicating Data About the Benefits and Harms of Treatment

(2013) Steven Woloshin et al.   ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE

Can end-users' flood management decision making be improved by information about forecast uncertainty?

(2011) J. Frick et al.   ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH

Multivariate probabilistic projections using imperfect climate models part I: outline of methodology

(2011) David M. H. Sexton et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Multivariate probabilistic projections using imperfect climate models. Part II: robustness of methodological choices and consequences for climate sensitivity

(2011) David M. H. Sexton et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Certainty, uncertainty, and climate change

(2011) M. Granger Morgan et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Applying the science of communication to the communication of science

(2011) Baruch Fischhoff   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Treatment of uncertainties in IPCC Assessment Reports: past approaches and considerations for the Fifth Assessment Report

(2011) Michael D. Mastrandrea et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Reasoning about climate uncertainty

(2011) Judith Curry   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Communicating climate change risks in a skeptical world

(2011) John D. Sterman   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Quality control, validation and user feedback of the European Flood Alert System (EFAS)

(2011) Ad De Roo et al.   International Journal of Digital Earth

Visualizing Uncertainty About the Future

(2011) D. Spiegelhalter et al.   SCIENCE

Multiscale error analysis, correction, and predictive uncertainty estimation in a flood forecasting system

(2011) K. Bogner et al.   WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH

The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks

(2011) Nick Pidgeon et al.   Nature Climate Change

Visualizing flood forecasting uncertainty: some current European EPS platforms-COST731 working group 3

(2010) M. Bruen et al.   Atmospheric Science Letters

Communicating uncertainty in hydro-meteorological forecasts: mission impossible?

(2010) Maria-Helena Ramos et al.   METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Challenges in communicating and using ensembles in operational flood forecasting

(2010) David Demeritt et al.   METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability

(2010) Wendy S. Parker   STUDIES IN HISTORY AND PHILOSOPHY OF MODERN PHYSICS

Skill and uncertainty in climate models

(2010) Julia C. Hargreaves   Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change

Storm Surge and “Certain Death”: Interviews with Texas Coastal Residents following Hurricane Ike

(2010) Rebecca E. Morss et al.   Weather Climate and Society

300 Billion Served

(2009) Jeffrey K. Lazo et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions

(2009) Ed Hawkins et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Ensemble flood forecasting: A review

(2009) H.L. Cloke et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Probability or frequency? Expressing forecast uncertainty in public weather forecasts

(2009) Susan L. Joslyn et al.   METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Informing operational flood management with ensemble predictions: lessons from Sweden

(2009) S. Nobert et al.   Journal of Flood Risk Management

The extreme dependency score: a non-vanishing measure for forecasts of rare events

(2008) D. B. Stephenson et al.   METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

A laboratory-based study of understanding of uncertainty in 5-day site-specific temperature forecasts

(2008) Mark S. Roulston et al.   METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Communicating Uncertainty in Weather Forecasts: A Survey of the U.S. Public

(2008) Rebecca E. Morss et al.   WEATHER AND FORECASTING