Review
Environmental Studies
Celia McMichael, Uma Kothari, Karen E. McNamara, Alex Arnall
Summary: This article discusses the different perspectives and connections between scientific knowledge and local experiential knowledge in understanding and responding to the risks of sea level rise. It emphasizes the importance of integrating scientific measurement and modeling with local knowledge, suggesting that the combination of the two can provide more effective ways to address the impacts of sea level rise.
WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Benjamin H. Strauss, Scott A. Kulp, D. J. Rasmussen, Anders Levermann
Summary: Human-caused carbon dioxide emissions will have long-lasting impacts on global temperatures and sea levels. Many major cities, particularly in Asia, will face unprecedented exposure levels from sea level rise. Countries like China, India, Indonesia, and Vietnam have large populations residing in areas vulnerable to high tide lines, while small island nations are at risk of near-total loss. Meeting the goals of the Paris Climate Agreement could significantly reduce the exposure and protect coastal megacities from extensive defense requirements.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Nadia A. Seeteram, Kevin Ash, Brett F. Sanders, Jochen E. Schubert, Katharine J. Mach
Summary: This study demonstrates a framework for estimating the direct and indirect impacts of sea-level rise on mobility using flood exposure modeling and social vulnerability assessment. The research focuses on Miami-Dade County, USA, and shows that as sea-level rise increases, the population faces the risks of displacement or being trapped, leading to stress on residents and the economy.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Andrew Gunn, Roger Dargaville, Christian Jakob, Shayne McGregor
Summary: To meet the demand for electricity from renewable energy, it is important to choose wind farm locations that minimize variability in output, especially during the night when solar photovoltaics are unreliable. The location of wind farms must consider grid proximity, resource potential, and wind correlation between farms.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Elina Efstathiou, Tor Eldevik, Marius arthun, Sigrid Lind
Summary: The study explores the spatial structure of Barents Sea ice change over the past 40 years, finding that the dominant mode of winter sea ice concentration variability is related to areal change. This mode is influenced by the temperate Atlantic inflow and sea ice import, and is also affected by anomalous wind and sea ice area import. Basic predictability is mainly associated with the areal-change mode, influenced by the temperature of the Atlantic inflow and sea ice import from the Arctic.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Qinglin Zhang, Baojuan Huai, Michiel R. van den Broeke, John Cappelen, Minghu Ding, Yetang Wang, Weijun Sun
Summary: From 1958 to 2020, Greenland experienced periods of cooling and warming, with a turning point in the mid-1990s. Overall, there has been no significant warming after around 2005, except in the north and northeast. The magnitude of warming increases gradually from south to north, with the northeastern coast experiencing the most intense warming. Autumn and winter are the seasons with the most intense warming, particularly in the northeast. The correlations of temperature with large-scale circulation indices weaken from southwestern to northeastern Greenland. The shift in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Greenland Blocking Index (GBI) from positive to negative is critical to the sudden warming in Greenland since the mid-1990s.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2022)
Article
Astronomy & Astrophysics
D. Zanchettin, S. Rubinetti, A. Rubino
Summary: Sea-level rise is a significant consequence of global warming, and its impacts on coastal environments and societies are vast. This study focuses on the city of Venice, Italy, and demonstrates that the observed winter sea-level rise in Venice contains significant multidecadal fluctuations. The fluctuations are linked to sea-level and climatic variations in the North Atlantic, particularly the Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV). The study reveals that periods of warm AMV phases are associated with faster sea-level rise in Venice, while periods of cold AMV phases are associated with slower rise. By considering an imminent cooling of the AMV, the study predicts a temporary slowdown in sea-level rise in Venice until 2035. Acknowledging and understanding this multidecadal variability is crucial for the management and protection of Venice.
EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Johannes Pein, Joanna Staneva, Bernhard Mayer, Matthew D. D. Palmer, Corinna Schrum
Summary: In this study, probabilistic estimates of mean sea level rise and regional climate model simulations are used to predict future estuarine hydrodynamics in the southern North Sea. The results show significant increases in water level, tidal range, and extreme water levels in the Elbe estuary under high-emission scenarios. The spread of projected global sea level rise and internal variability both contribute to the variations in estuarine response and water levels.
FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Christopher M. Little
Summary: This study uses tide gauge records to show that decadal-scale coastal sea level variability increased dramatically in the second half of the twentieth century, with spatial coherence across different geographic locations. The increase was driven by changes in the amplitude, spatial pattern, and interbasin coherence of atmospheric pressure, wind, and sea surface temperature variability.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2023)
Review
Environmental Sciences
S. Sadai, R. A. Spector, R. DeConto, N. Gomez
Summary: Anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions are causing unprecedented changes to the climate, leading to irreversible impacts on island and coastal populations. This review article investigates the climate justice implications of temperature targets and sea level rise, highlighting the impact on island states and the role of AOSIS in UN climate negotiations. The study also discusses the dual impacts from Antarctic ice sheet melting and its implications for global temperature rise and sea level rise.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Aaron Bagnell, Tim DeVries
Summary: Global sea level rise is primarily caused by heating of the ocean and the input of freshwater from melting ice. This study shows that trends in sea level rise can also be accurately tracked by observing changes in ocean salinity. The results highlight the importance of measuring ocean salinity for monitoring global sea level changes.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Ying Lu, Yuanlong Li, Jing Duan, Pengfei Lin, Fan Wang
Summary: This study investigates the mechanisms of sea level rise in the southeast Indian Ocean and highlights the importance of ocean salinity. The analysis of observational datasets and model results reveals that both subsurface freshening trend and temperature effect contribute to the sea level rise in the region.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2022)
Article
Engineering, Environmental
Fatemeh Izaditame, Matthew G. Siebecker, Donald L. Sparks
Summary: This study investigated the impact of sea-level rise-induced flooding on the release of arsenic and selected hazardous chemicals in contaminated sediments, finding that the dissolved concentrations of pollutants remain high even after flooding.
JOURNAL OF HAZARDOUS MATERIALS
(2022)
Review
Astronomy & Astrophysics
Jaap H. Nienhuis, Wonsuck Kim, Glenn A. Milne, Melinda Quock, Aimee B. A. Slangen, Torbjorn E. Tornqvist
Summary: Future sea-level rise is a serious threat to river deltas, but understanding the exact impact is challenging. Current knowledge is based on models, experiments, and geologic records, with improvements in detecting and modeling past and future sea-level changes. However, uncertainties remain, especially regarding subsidence rates and validating models.
ANNUAL REVIEW OF EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCES
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
William Llovel, Kevin Balem, Soumaia Tajouri, Antoine Hochet
Summary: Global mean sea level rose by 15 mm over June 2014 - May 2016, with 80% of the rise attributed to a global ocean mass increase. The South American continent, specifically the Amazon basin, contributed significantly to this increase. These changes were influenced by two El Nino events, which affected precipitation patterns worldwide.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Marine & Freshwater Biology
Janine B. Adams, Debora M. de Freitas, Kerrylee Rogers, Colin D. Woodroffe
ESTUARINE COASTAL AND SHELF SCIENCE
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
E. F. Asbridge, D. Low Choy, B. Mackey, S. Serrao-Neumann, P. Taygfeld, K. Rogers
Summary: The peri-urban interface (PUI) represents a complex mix of urban and rural characteristics, leading to lagging risk assessments and planning. This study aims to address this gap by adapting the risk triangle framework to assess flood risk in PUI areas, particularly in Australia. Integrating biophysical and socio-economic factors, the study provides planning strategies to reduce future flood risk and offers a cost-effective tool for decision makers globally.
Correction
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
E. F. Asbridge, D. Low Choy, B. Mackey, S. Serrao-Neumann, P. Taygfeld, K. Rogers
Article
Marine & Freshwater Biology
Christopher J. Owers, Colin D. Woodroffe, Debashish Mazumder, Kerrylee Rogers
Summary: This study demonstrates that the landscape position occupied by wetland vegetation influences carbon storage and sources, and understanding the evolutionary infill of estuaries is crucial for characterizing spatial variation in carbon storage.
ESTUARINE COASTAL AND SHELF SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Ecology
Catherine E. Lovelock, Maria F. Adame, Jennifer Bradley, Sabine Dittmann, Valerie Hagger, Sharyn M. Hickey, Lindsay B. Hutley, Alice Jones, Jeffrey J. Kelleway, Paul S. Lavery, Peter Macreadie, Damien T. Maher, Soraya McGinley, Alice McGlashan, Sarah Perry, Luke Mosley, Kerrylee Rogers, James Z. Sippo
Summary: The restoration of coastal wetlands has the potential to provide climate change mitigation and adaptation benefits, support biodiversity, and offer additional ecosystem services. Developing rigorous methods for quantifying blue carbon sequestration during restoration is crucial.
RESTORATION ECOLOGY
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Kerrylee Rogers, Atun Zawadzki, Laura A. Mogensen, Neil Saintilan
Summary: This study examines the fate of mangroves and saltmarshes in Westernport Bay, Australia under conditions of accelerating sea-level rise. The results show that sedimentation and surface elevation gain vary spatially based on hydrodynamic conditions, sediment supply, and available accommodation space. Sea-level rise will generally deepen substrate positions for mangroves, while saltmarshes may be able to maintain or even advance under certain conditions but will likely retreat under a high sea-level rise scenario.
FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Kristian Kumbier, Kerrylee Rogers, Michael G. Hughes, Kirti K. Lal, Laura A. Mogensen, Colin D. Woodroffe
Summary: Tidal inundation, morphology of estuaries, and friction across intertidal surfaces influence tidal propagation and are affected by sea-level rise. Integrated eco-morphodynamic modelling approaches can help understand the responses of estuarine intertidal vegetation to sea-level rise. The study shows that wetlands can withstand modest sea-level rise rates through sedimentation, but may submerge under fast rates, highlighting the importance of considering eco-geomorphological feedbacks in predicting wetland response to sea-level rise.
FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Neil Saintilan, Katya E. Kovalenko, Glenn Guntenspergen, Kerrylee Rogers, James C. Lynch, Donald R. Cahoon, Catherine E. Lovelock, Daniel A. Friess, Erica Ashe, Ken W. Krauss, Nicole Cormier, Tom Spencer, Janine Adams, Jacqueline Raw, Carles Ibanez, Francesco Scarton, Stijn Temmerman, Patrick Meire, Tom Maris, Karen Thorne, John Brazner, Gail L. Chmura, Tony Bowron, Vishmie P. Gamage, Kimberly Cressman, Charlie Endris, Christina Marconi, Pamela Marcum, Kari St Laurent, William Reay, Kenneth B. Raposa, Jason A. Garwood, Nicole Khan
Summary: This study reveals that although marsh sediment accretion increases in response to sea level rise, nonlinear subsidence of the substrate constrains marsh elevation gain, making marsh ecosystems vulnerable.
Article
Environmental Studies
Silvia Serrao-Neumann, Pazit Taygfeld, Emma F. Asbridge, Brendan Mackey, Kerrylee Rogers, Darryl Low Choy
Summary: Human agency is crucial in addressing environmental change, but there is a need to overcome structural barriers. By harnessing the temporal and projective attributes of human agency, social actors can exert influence over the future and create solutions. However, relying solely on scenario planning and adaptation pathways planning may not be sufficient to overturn structural barriers in the short-term.
ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY AND GOVERNANCE
(2023)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Neil Saintilan, Leo Lymburner, Li Wen, Ivan D. Haigh, Emma Ai, Jeffrey J. Kelleway, Kerrylee Rogers, Tien Dat Pham, Richard Lucas
Summary: Long-term tidal cycles play a significant role in coastal flooding, sedimentation, and the extent of tidal wetlands. This study reveals that the 18.61-year lunar nodal cycle is a dominant factor in the expansion and contraction of mangrove canopy cover in Australia, and it also influences drought impacts in different tidal settings. These long-phase tidal cycles have important implications for mangrove canopy cover and ecosystem services.
Article
Biology
Sarah Hamylton, Jeff Kelleway, Kerrylee Rogers, Roger McLean, Zachary Nagel Tynan, Oxana Repina
Summary: Undocumented mangrove forest expansion has been observed in the Howick Group islands in the northern Great Barrier Reef, possibly in response to changing environmental controls. Our study reveals the globally dynamic response of mangrove distribution and forest structure to environmental change.
PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
(2023)
Editorial Material
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Kerrylee Rogers
Summary: This passage discusses how humans and mangroves adapt to conditions caused by subsidence and relative sea-level rise, emphasizing the importance of quantifying adaptation responses for characterizing spatial variation and informing coastal planning.
NATURE SUSTAINABILITY
(2023)
Article
Fisheries
Kerrylee Rogers, Kirti K. Lal, Emma F. Asbridge, Patrick G. Dwyer
Summary: This study provides a preliminary consideration for tidal restoration of coastal wetlands in New South Wales, Australia. Multiple potential sites were identified using a pixel-based approach. Decision-makers should take into account the opportunity to increase blue carbon and its associated co-benefits when managing in-stream drainage and flood mitigation infrastructure.
MARINE AND FRESHWATER RESEARCH
(2023)
Review
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Peter Macreadie, Alistar Robertson, Bernadette Spinks, Matthew P. Adams, Jennifer M. Atchison, Justine Bell-James, Brett A. Bryan, Long Chu, Karen Filbee-Dexter, Lauren Drake, Carlos M. Duarte, Daniel A. Friess, Felipe Gonzalez, R. Quentin Grafton, Kate J. Helmstedt, Melanie Kaebernick, Jeffrey Kelleway, Gary A. Kendrick, Hilary Kennedy, Catherine E. Lovelock, J. Patrick Megonigal, Damien T. Maher, Emily Pidgeon, Abbie A. Rogers, Rob Sturgiss, Stacey M. Trevathan-Tackett, Melissa Wartman, Kerrie A. Wilson, Kerrylee Rogers
Summary: Blue carbon has high potential for global carbon sequestration and avoided emissions, but is limited by multidisciplinary uncertainties. Enhancing policy and legal arrangements, incorporating indigenous knowledge, improving financial approaches and accounting tools, developing low-cost technological solutions, and addressing knowledge gaps are key actions to improve blue carbon as a natural climate solution.
Article
Fisheries
Neil Saintilan, Emma Asbridge, Richard Lucas, Kerrylee Rogers, Li Wen, Megan Powell, Matthew J. Colloff, Jose F. Rodriguez, Patricia M. Saco, Steven Sandi, Tien Dat Pham, Leo Lymburner
Summary: Climatically driven perturbations can lead to ecosystem collapse, but recent research on Australian ecosystems suggests that dieback and defoliation may not always result in reduced vegetation cover, but could indicate increased tree colonization and range infilling as a response to climate change.
MARINE AND FRESHWATER RESEARCH
(2022)