4.0 Article

Derivatives of the stochastic growth rate

Journal

THEORETICAL POPULATION BIOLOGY
Volume 80, Issue 1, Pages 1-15

Publisher

ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1016/j.tpb.2011.03.004

Keywords

Stochastic matrix models; Stage-structured population; Demographic elasticity; Lyapunov exponent; Stochastic growth rate

Funding

  1. NIA (BSR) [1P01 AG22500]
  2. New Dynamics of Ageing grant
  3. ESRC [ES/G037094/1] Funding Source: UKRI
  4. Economic and Social Research Council [ES/G037094/1] Funding Source: researchfish

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We consider stochastic matrix models for population driven by random environments which form a Markov chain. The top Lyapunov exponent a, which describes the long-term growth rate, depends smoothly on the demographic parameters (represented as matrix entries) and on the parameters that define the stochastic matrix of the driving Markov chain. The derivatives of a - the stochastic elasticities - with respect to changes in the demographic parameters were derived by Tuljapurkar (1990). These results are here extended to a formula for the derivatives with respect to changes in the Markov chain driving the environments. We supplement these formulas with rigorous bounds on computational estimation errors, and with rigorous derivations of both the new and old formulas. (C) 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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