Feasibility of reducing the duration of placebo-controlled trials in schizophrenia research

Use of placebo-controlled trials in medical and psychiatric research has been controversial, although a consensus is emerging about conditions under which placebo-controlled trials are ethical. In schizophrenia research, the paradigm of slow onset of antipsychotic effects has led to a model in which placebo-controlled trials of 6-8 weeks duration have been used to demonstrate efficacy. Recent evidence that the largest symptom reductions are typically seen in the first weeks of treatment suggests that shorter placebo-controlled studies to demonstrate antipsychotic efficacy are possible. In a pilot study of the feasibility of shortening placebo-controlled studies, we reanalyzed data from placebo-controlled registry trials of olanzapine and risperidone and found that trials as short as 4 weeks could have similar power to longer term 6-8 week studies, given the estimated time course of treatment effects. Although fuller evaluation is required, the results suggest future antipsychotic trials could be shortened from 6-8 weeks to 3-4 weeks with a relatively low increase in sample size requirements. Shortening placebo-controlled trials would reduce patient burden and ethical objections to prolonged administration of placebo and reduce potential bias due to high dropout rates in longer clinical trials.