Modeling Extreme Risks in Ecology

Simulating the fate of Florida Snowy Plovers with sea-level rise: Exploring research and management priorities with a global uncertainty and sensitivity analysis perspective

(2011) M.L. Chu-Agor et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Protecting islands from pest invasion: optimal allocation of biosecurity resources between quarantine and surveillance

(2010) Joslin L. Moore et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Active adaptive conservation of threatened species in the face of uncertainty

(2010) Eve McDonald-Madden et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Fire, vital rates, and population viability: a hierarchical Bayesian analysis of the endangered Florida scrub mint

(2010) Margaret E. K. Evans et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

(2009) Jane Elith et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Prediction vs. reality: Can a PVA model predict population persistence 13 years later?

(2009) Iva Schödelbauerová et al.   BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION

Efficiently locating conservation boundaries: Searching for the Tasmanian devil facial tumour disease front

(2009) Michael Bode et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Evaluating extreme risks in invasion ecology: learning from banking compliance

(2009) James Franklin et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Accounting for uncertainty in ecological analysis: the strengths and limitations of hierarchical statistical modeling

(2009) Noel Cressie et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Structured decision making as a conceptual framework to identify thresholds for conservation and management

(2009) Julien Martin et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Likelihood ridges and multimodality in population growth rate models

(2009) Leo Polansky et al.   ECOLOGY

Smaller projected increases in 20-year temperature returns over Australia in skill-selected climate models

(2009) S. E. Perkins et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

A Framework for Assessing and Managing Risks Posed by Emerging Diseases

(2009) Terry Walshe et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

Reducing Overconfidence in the Interval Judgments of Experts

(2009) Andrew Speirs-Bridge et al.   RISK ANALYSIS

PLANNING FOR PERSISTENCE IN MARINE RESERVES: A QUESTION OF CATASTROPHIC IMPORTANCE

(2008) Edward T. Game et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

On the tails of extreme event distributions in hydrology

(2008) S. El Adlouni et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

Impact of an extreme climatic event on community assembly

(2008) K. M. Thibault et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA