Testing for ontological errors in probabilistic forecasting models of natural systems
Published 2014 View Full Article
- Home
- Publications
- Publication Search
- Publication Details
Title
Testing for ontological errors in probabilistic forecasting models of natural systems
Authors
Keywords
-
Journal
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
Volume 111, Issue 33, Pages 11973-11978
Publisher
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Online
2014-08-06
DOI
10.1073/pnas.1410183111
References
Ask authors/readers for more resources
Related references
Note: Only part of the references are listed.- An Interactive Tool for the Elicitation of Subjective Probabilities in Probabilistic Seismic-Hazard Analysis
- (2013) A. K. Runge et al. BULLETIN OF THE SEISMOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA
- Comment on “Why earthquake hazard maps often fail and what to do about it” by S. Stein, R. Geller, and M. Liu
- (2013) Arthur Frankel TECTONOPHYSICS
- The humble Bayesian: Model checking from a fully Bayesian perspective
- (2012) Richard D. Morey et al. BRITISH JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL & STATISTICAL PSYCHOLOGY
- Philosophy and the practice of Bayesian statistics
- (2012) Andrew Gelman et al. BRITISH JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL & STATISTICAL PSYCHOLOGY
- Bayesian Forecast Evaluation and Ensemble Earthquake Forecasting
- (2012) W. Marzocchi et al. BULLETIN OF THE SEISMOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA
- On the Nature of Logic Trees in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment
- (2012) Roger Musson EARTHQUAKE SPECTRA
- Errors in expected human losses due to incorrect seismic hazard estimates
- (2012) Max Wyss et al. NATURAL HAZARDS
- Confronting Deep Uncertainties in Risk Analysis
- (2012) Louis Anthony Tony Cox RISK ANALYSIS
- Earthquake Hazard Maps and Objective Testing: The Hazard Mapper's Point of View
- (2012) M. W. Stirling SEISMOLOGICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- Have Recent Earthquakes Exposed Flaws in or Misunderstandings of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis?
- (2012) T. C. Hanks et al. SEISMOLOGICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- Logic Tree Branch Weights and Probabilities: Summing Up to One Is Not Enough
- (2011) Frank Scherbaum et al. EARTHQUAKE SPECTRA
- Shake-up time for Japanese seismology
- (2011) Robert J. Geller NATURE
- PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS FOR NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS - CURRENT PRACTICE FROM A EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVE
- (2011) Jens-Uwe Klugel Nuclear Engineering and Technology
- Bad Assumptions or Bad Luck: Why Earthquake Hazard Maps Need Objective Testing
- (2011) S. Stein et al. SEISMOLOGICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
- Ground Motion-Based Testing of Seismic Hazard Models in New Zealand
- (2010) M. Stirling et al. BULLETIN OF THE SEISMOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA
- Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2)
- (2009) E. H. Field et al. BULLETIN OF THE SEISMOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA
- Exchangeability, Correlation, and Bayes' Effect
- (2009) Ben O'Neill INTERNATIONAL STATISTICAL REVIEW
- The Use and Misuse of Logic Trees in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis
- (2008) Julian J. Bommer et al. EARTHQUAKE SPECTRA
- Testing probabilistic seismic hazard estimates by comparison with observations: an example in Italy
- (2008) Dario Albarello et al. GEOPHYSICAL JOURNAL INTERNATIONAL
- When Is Uncertainty About Uncertainty Worth Characterizing?
- (2008) Louis Anthony Cox et al. INTERFACES
- Uncertainty propagation in probabilistic seismic loss estimation
- (2007) Jack W. Baker et al. STRUCTURAL SAFETY
Find the ideal target journal for your manuscript
Explore over 38,000 international journals covering a vast array of academic fields.
SearchAdd your recorded webinar
Do you already have a recorded webinar? Grow your audience and get more views by easily listing your recording on Peeref.
Upload Now