Article
Environmental Sciences
L. Hu, T. Wen, Y. Shao, Q. Wang, W. Fang, J. Yang, M. Liu, X. Wang, H. Zhang, J. Bi, Z. Ma
Summary: This study provides empirical evidence on the compound economic losses of tropical cyclones (TCs) for the first time, highlighting the significant impacts of precipitation. The study also suggests that high-latitude and interior regions of China are more vulnerable to TCs and underscores the need for climate policies to address compound hazard risks.
Article
Ecology
Chao Zhang, Yumei Li, Xiaoyu Hu, Xiaofan Ma, Wei Jia, Kai Liu, Yonggang Nie
Summary: Understanding changes in the behaviour of threatened species in response to human disturbances is crucial for biodiversity conservation. This meta-analysis examines the cumulative effects of various human disturbances on the behaviour of threatened terrestrial mammals globally. The study finds that different types of human disturbances have significant impacts on behavioural changes, with road traffic having the greatest effect on habitat selection and habitat degradation having the largest effect on foraging behaviour. The intensity of human disturbance and species traits play a role in determining the extent of behavioural changes.
GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Civil
Michelle Ho, Conrad Wasko, Declan O'Shea, Rory Nathan, Elisabeth Vogel, Ashish Sharma
Summary: Climate change is expected to impact floods by affecting the severity and frequency. Rainfall-runoff models are commonly used to assess flood risks, but there is little research on how rainfall losses will change under climate change, despite their influence on flood response. This study investigates the projected changes in rainfall losses and finds that they are likely to increase, potentially offsetting the impact of increased rainfall and leading to a greater variance in flood responses.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Jie He, Puyu Feng, Bin Wang, Wei Zhuang, Yongqiang Zhang, De Li Liu, Jamie Cleverly, Alfredo Huete, Qiang Yu
Summary: Global warming and anthropogenic activities have significantly impacted rainfall patterns in northern Australia in recent decades. The study found an increasing trend in annual precipitation across the region with higher variation. The main shifting period of rainfall patterns was observed during 1966-75. While annual rainfall seems to become wetter, the frequency of extreme rainfall events should also be considered in assessing the impacts of climate change.
JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY
(2022)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
E. M. Dougherty, A. F. Prein, E. D. Gutmann, A. J. Newman
Summary: This study identifies different archetypes of flood-producing MCS cases and analyzes the range in future MCS rainfall and structural changes through high-resolution simulations. The results show that future rainfall will increase on average by 98%, with a maximum increase of 31%. The number and size of different components of MCSs contribute differently to the future rainfall changes, with back-building MCSs showing the largest increases.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
E. M. Dougherty, A. F. Prein, E. D. Gutmann, A. J. Newman
Summary: This study analyzes a range in future MCS rainfall and structural changes by identifying eight flood-producing MCS cases and running ensembles of high-resolution simulations. The results show that future area-average rainfall increases by 98% on average, with a range of 89%-111% among ensemble members. The structural changes mainly include an increase in the number of deep convective cores and the area of wide convective cores.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Abeda Tabassum, Kyeongjoo Park, Jihoon Shin, Han-Gyul Jin, Jong-Jin Baik
Summary: Bangladesh has experienced long-term warming and increased static stability, resulting in decreased precipitation intensity, especially during the pre-monsoon season. On the other hand, the post-monsoon season and winter have seen significant increases in precipitation. At the same time, the climate over Bangladesh has become more moist.
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Qigen Lin, Stefan Steger, Massimiliano Pittore, Jiahui Zhang, Leibin Wang, Tong Jiang, Ying Wang
Summary: Climate change can lead to changes in the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall, affecting the hazard posed by rainfall-induced landslides. This study evaluates the changes in landslide susceptibility and occurrence frequency in China, using observed and modelled rainfall data, a statistical model, and rainfall thresholds. The results show that under climate change, the extent of landslide-prone areas and the frequency of landslide-triggering rainfall will increase, with the southeastern Tibetan Plateau and the Tianshan Mountains in Northwestern Basins experiencing the largest increase. Adaptation and mitigation measures should be prioritized for these future landslide hotspots.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
J. Kuttippurath, S. Murasingh, P. A. Stott, B. Balan Sarojini, Madan K. Jha, P. Kumar, P. J. Nair, H. Varikoden, S. Raj, P. A. Francis, P. C. Pandey
Summary: Analysis of 119 years of rainfall measurements at 16 different rain gauge stations across northeast India reveals a significant change in rainfall pattern after 1973, with a decreasing trend. It has been observed that in recent decades, the wettest place in the world has shifted from Cherrapunji to Mawsynram, separated by 15 km.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Review
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Conrad Wasko
Summary: As climate change continues to alter flood risk, it is important to project changes in flooding for water resource management and infrastructure planning. Care must be taken when using observed temperature relationships to assess hydrologic extremes and project changes in flooding.
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
S. L. Gariano, G. Verini Supplizi, F. Ardizzone, P. Salvati, C. Bianchi, R. Morbidelli, C. Saltalippi
Summary: Analyzing historical records of landslides and rainfall data in Umbria, Italy, revealed changing patterns of rainfall-induced landslides in terms of location and timing over the observation period, showing a shift in spatial and temporal distribution of events. Recent rainfall events associated with landslides are characterized by lower rainfall amounts and shorter durations, indicating an increased susceptibility of the region to landslides over time.
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Zizheng Guo, Joaquin Vicente Ferrer, Marcel Huerlimann, Vicente Medina, Carol Puig-Polo, Kunlong Yin, Da Huang
Summary: A study was conducted in Wanzhou County, southwest China to analyze future rainfall-induced shallow landslide susceptibility by considering land use and land cover changes and climate change. The study found that future rainfall conditions in the region will significantly change, and the negative impact of climate change on landslide susceptibility is greater than the stabilizing effect of land use change.
GEOSCIENCE FRONTIERS
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Stacey L. Osbrough, Jorgen S. Frederiksen
Summary: This study investigates interdecadal changes in winter synoptic weather systems in the Southern Hemisphere over the past seventy years. It found that rainfall variability in Southern Australia is closely related to the changing statistics of weather system intensity, particularly in relation to the intensity of fast-growing weather systems. Two new indices, the SAJ and SORD, were introduced and shown to have some skill in characterizing Southern Australian winter rainfall variability on decadal timescales.
Article
Water Resources
A. L. Kay, H. N. Davies, R. A. Lane, A. C. Rudd, V. A. Bell
Summary: The study focused on the potential impacts of climate change on river flows in Northern Ireland and surrounding sub-catchments, using a grid-based hydrological model. Results showed possible future decreases in spring-autumn mean flows, especially in summer, and increases in winter mean flows. Additionally, there were projected reductions in 10-year return period low flows and increases in high flows for some locations.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
(2021)
Article
Water Resources
Mark Maimone, Sebastian Malter, Tsega Anbessie, Julia Rockwell
Summary: This article provides three practical and easily implementable methods to estimate the percent increases in extreme rainfall due to climate change. The methods are designed to bracket the expected range of extreme rainfall intensification for different durations and return intervals, and have been validated through a case study in the Philadelphia area.
JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE
(2023)
Article
Biodiversity Conservation
H. U. Ratnayake, M. R. Kearney, P. Govekar, D. Karoly, J. A. Welbergen
ANIMAL CONSERVATION
(2019)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Elisabeth Vogel, Markus G. Donat, Lisa Alexander, Malte Meinshausen, Deepak K. Ray, David Karoly, Nicolai Meinshausen, Katja Frieler
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2019)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Mandy B. Freund, Benjamin J. Henley, David J. Karoly, Helen V. McGregor, Nerilie J. Abram, Dietmar Dommenget
Article
Environmental Sciences
Benjamin J. Henley, Murray C. Peel, Rory Nathan, Andrew D. King, Anna M. Ukkola, David J. Karoly, Kim S. Tan
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2019)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Annabelle Workman, Grant Blashki, Kathryn J. Bowen, David J. Karoly, John Wiseman
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2020)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Mandy B. Freund, Josephine R. Brown, Benjamin J. Henley, David J. Karoly, Jaclyn N. Brown
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
(2020)
Article
Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications
K. R. Saunders, A. G. Stephenson, D. J. Karoly
Summary: Statistical models that accurately capture extreme rainfall events in a large geographical scale need to consider non-stationary dependence structures, and clustering stations into regions of similar extremal dependence can be an effective approach. By partitioning stations and fitting models to each region, researchers can visualize and evaluate the effectiveness of the approach in addressing the challenges of spatial dependence on a large scale. This work serves as a foundation for future projects dealing with non-stationary spatial dependence in extreme events.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
R. W. Bodman, D. J. Karoly, M. R. Dix, I. N. Harman, J. Srbinovsky, P. B. Dobrohotoff, C. Mackallah
JOURNAL OF SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE EARTH SYSTEMS SCIENCE
(2020)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Michael R. Grose, Mitchell T. Black, Guomin Wang, Andrew D. King, Pandora Hope, David J. Karoly
JOURNAL OF SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE EARTH SYSTEMS SCIENCE
(2019)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Linden Ashcroft, David J. Karoly, Andrew J. Dowdy
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EXTREMES
(2019)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Sopia Lestari, Andrew King, Claire Vincent, David Karoly, Alain Protat
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EXTREMES
(2019)
Article
Environmental Studies
Annabelle Workman, Grant Blashki, Kathryn J. Bowen, David J. Karoly, John Wiseman
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Andrea J. Dittus, David J. Karoly, Markus G. Donat, Sophie C. Lewis, Lisa V. Alexander
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EXTREMES
(2018)
Article
Economics
Anita Talberg, Peter Christoff, Sebastian Thomas, David Karoly
INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS-POLITICS LAW AND ECONOMICS
(2018)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Christoph Datwyler, Raphael Neukom, Nerilie J. Abram, Ailie J. E. Gallant, Martin Grosjean, Martin Jacques-Coper, David J. Karoly, Ricardo Villalba
