Choosing the future of Antarctica

Observed trends of soil fauna in the Antarctic Dry Valleys: early signs of shifts predicted under climate change

(2018) W. S. Andriuzzi et al.   ECOLOGY

Temperature and Snowfall in Western Queen Maud Land Increasing Faster Than Climate Model Projections

(2018) B. Medley et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Response of Pacific-sector Antarctic ice shelves to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation

(2018) F. S. Paolo et al.   Nature Geoscience

Continued retreat of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, controlled by bed topography and ocean circulation

(2017) H. Seroussi et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Constraining the mass balance of East Antarctica

(2017) Alba Martin-Español et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Widespread movement of meltwater onto and across Antarctic ice shelves

(2017) Jonathan Kingslake et al.   NATURE

Climate change drives expansion of Antarctic ice-free habitat

(2017) Jasmine R. Lee et al.   NATURE

Effect of extreme sea surface temperature events on the demography of an age-structured albatross population

(2017) Deborah Pardo et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

A roadmap for rapid decarbonization

(2017) Johan Rockström et al.   SCIENCE

Thinning sea ice weakens buttressing force of iceberg mélange and promotes calving

(2017) Alexander A. Robel   Nature Communications

Committed warming inferred from observations

(2017) Thorsten Mauritsen et al.   Nature Climate Change

Antarctica and the strategic plan for biodiversity

(2017) Steven L. Chown et al.   PLOS BIOLOGY

Direct observation of increasing recovery length before collapse of a marine benthic ecosystem

(2017) Luca Rindi et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

The veiled ecological danger of rising sea levels

(2017) Steven L. Chown et al.   Nature Ecology & Evolution

Evaluation of non-native species policy development and implementation within the Antarctic Treaty area

(2016) Kevin A. Hughes et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

DNA barcoding reveals substitution of Sablefish (Anoplopoma fimbria) with Patagonian and Antarctic Toothfish (Dissostichus eleginoides and Dissostichus mawsoni) in online market in China: How mislabeling opens door to IUU fishing

(2016) Xiong Xiong et al.   FOOD CONTROL

Extinction of experience: the loss of human-nature interactions

(2016) Masashi Soga et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Sea-ice transport driving Southern Ocean salinity and its recent trends

(2016) F. Alexander Haumann et al.   NATURE

Contribution of Antarctica to past and future sea-level rise

(2016) Robert M. DeConto et al.   NATURE

Southern Ocean warming delayed by circumpolar upwelling and equatorward transport

(2016) Kyle C. Armour et al.   Nature Geoscience

Sealing, whaling and krill fishing in the Southern Ocean: past and possible future effects on catch regulations

(2016) Robert J. Hofman   POLAR RECORD

Antarctic last interglacial isotope peak in response to sea ice retreat not ice-sheet collapse

(2016) Max D. Holloway et al.   Nature Communications

Meltwater produced by wind–albedo interaction stored in an East Antarctic ice shelf

(2016) J. T. M. Lenaerts et al.   Nature Climate Change

Consequences of twenty-first-century policy for multi-millennial climate and sea-level change

(2016) Peter U. Clark et al.   Nature Climate Change

Ocean heat drives rapid basal melt of the Totten Ice Shelf

(2016) S. R. Rintoul et al.   Science Advances

Glacial melting: an overlooked threat to Antarctic krill

(2016) Verónica Fuentes et al.   Scientific Reports

Generic Indicators of Ecological Resilience: Inferring the Chance of a Critical Transition

(2015) Marten Scheffer et al.   Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics

Biological invasions in terrestrial Antarctica: what is the current status and can we respond?

(2015) Kevin A. Hughes et al.   BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION

Vascular plant changes in extreme environments: effects of multiple drivers

(2015) Nicoletta Cannone et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

The Southern Ocean ecosystem under multiple climate change stresses - an integrated circumpolar assessment

(2015) Julian Gutt et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Dominance of the Southern Ocean in Anthropogenic Carbon and Heat Uptake in CMIP5 Models

(2015) Thomas L. Frölicher et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Ocean acidification does not impact shell growth or repair of the Antarctic brachiopod Liothyrella uva (Broderip, 1833)

(2015) Emma L. Cross et al.   JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL MARINE BIOLOGY AND ECOLOGY

The multi-millennial Antarctic commitment to future sea-level rise

(2015) N. R. Golledge et al.   NATURE

The changing form of Antarctic biodiversity

(2015) Steven L. Chown et al.   NATURE

Divergent trajectories of Antarctic surface melt under two twenty-first-century climate scenarios

(2015) Luke D. Trusel et al.   Nature Geoscience

Microbial ecology of Antarctic aquatic systems

(2015) Ricardo Cavicchioli   NATURE REVIEWS MICROBIOLOGY

No barrier to emergence of bathyal king crabs on the Antarctic shelf

(2015) Richard B. Aronson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet after local destabilization of the Amundsen Basin

(2015) Johannes Feldmann et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models

(2015) Sybren Drijfhout et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Ocean-driven thinning enhances iceberg calving and retreat of Antarctic ice shelves

(2015) Yan Liu et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Volume loss from Antarctic ice shelves is accelerating

(2015) F. S. Paolo et al.   SCIENCE

Sea-level rise due to polar ice-sheet mass loss during past warm periods

(2015) A. Dutton et al.   SCIENCE

Abrupt onset and prolongation of aragonite undersaturation events in the Southern Ocean

(2015) Claudine Hauri et al.   Nature Climate Change

Combustion of available fossil fuel resources sufficient to eliminate the Antarctic Ice Sheet

(2015) R. Winkelmann et al.   Science Advances

Pollution, habitat loss, fishing, and climate change as critical threats to penguins

(2014) Phil N. Trathan et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Explaining the presence of perennial liquid water bodies in the firn of the Greenland Ice Sheet

(2014) P. Kuipers Munneke et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Freshening drives contraction of Antarctic Bottom Water in the Australian Antarctic Basin

(2014) Esmee M. van Wijk et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Widespread, rapid grounding line retreat of Pine Island, Thwaites, Smith, and Kohler glaciers, West Antarctica, from 1992 to 2011

(2014) E. Rignot et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate variability features of the last interglacial in the East Antarctic EPICA Dome C ice core

(2014) K. Pol et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate change and Southern Ocean ecosystems I: how changes in physical habitats directly affect marine biota

(2014) Andrew J. Constable et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Global, regional, and national prevalence of overweight and obesity in children and adults during 1980–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

(2014) Marie Ng et al.   LANCET

Multidecadal warming of Antarctic waters

(2014) Sunke Schmidtko et al.   SCIENCE

World population stabilization unlikely this century

(2014) P. Gerland et al.   SCIENCE

Retreat of Pine Island Glacier controlled by marine ice-sheet instability

(2014) L. Favier et al.   Nature Climate Change

Seasonal changes in the diet and feeding behaviour of a top predator indicate a flexible response to deteriorating oceanographic conditions

(2013) J. C. Xavier et al.   MARINE BIOLOGY

Risk maps for Antarctic krill under projected Southern Ocean acidification

(2013) S. Kawaguchi et al.   Nature Climate Change

Future flood losses in major coastal cities

(2013) Stephane Hallegatte et al.   Nature Climate Change

Long-term ozone changes and associated climate impacts in CMIP5 simulations

(2013) V. Eyring et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Assessment of Southern Ocean water mass circulation and characteristics in CMIP5 models: Historical bias and forcing response

(2013) J.-B. Sallée et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS

Occurrence of the Non-Native Annual Bluegrass on the Antarctic Mainland and Its Negative Effects on Native Plants

(2012) MARCO A. MOLINA-MONTENEGRO et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Conservation biogeography of the Antarctic

(2012) Aleks Terauds et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Spatially integrated assessment reveals widespread changes in penguin populations on the Antarctic Peninsula

(2012) Heather J. Lynch et al.   ECOLOGY

Global marine yield halved as fishing intensity redoubles

(2012) Reg A Watson et al.   FISH AND FISHERIES

Observed and simulated changes in the Southern Hemisphere surface westerly wind-stress

(2012) N. C. Swart et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Twenty-first-century warming of a large Antarctic ice-shelf cavity by a redirected coastal current

(2012) Hartmut H. Hellmer et al.   NATURE

Extensive dissolution of live pteropods in the Southern Ocean

(2012) N. Bednaršek et al.   Nature Geoscience

Steep reverse bed slope at the grounding line of the Weddell Sea sector in West Antarctica

(2012) Neil Ross et al.   Nature Geoscience

Continent-wide risk assessment for the establishment of nonindigenous species in Antarctica

(2012) S. L. Chown et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Antarctic Treaty System Ready for a Challenge

(2012) M. Haward et al.   SCIENCE

Challenges to the Future Conservation of the Antarctic

(2012) S. L. Chown et al.   SCIENCE

Changes in Wind Pattern Alter Albatross Distribution and Life-History Traits

(2012) H. Weimerskirch et al.   SCIENCE

Ocean Salinities Reveal Strong Global Water Cycle Intensification During 1950 to 2000

(2012) P. J. Durack et al.   SCIENCE

Response of phytoplankton dynamics to 19-year (1991–2009) climate trends in Potter Cove (Antarctica)

(2011) Irene R. Schloss et al.   JOURNAL OF MARINE SYSTEMS

Signatures of the Antarctic ozone hole in Southern Hemisphere surface climate change

(2011) David W. J. Thompson et al.   Nature Geoscience

Variability in krill biomass links harvesting and climate warming to penguin population changes in Antarctica

(2011) W. Z. Trivelpiece et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Upper and lower limits on the stability of calving glaciers from the yield strength envelope of ice

(2011) J. N. Bassis et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Understanding the SAM influence on the South Pacific ENSO teleconnection

(2010) Ryan L. Fogt et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Sensitivity of 21st century stratospheric ozone to greenhouse gas scenarios

(2010) V. Eyring et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Warming of Global Abyssal and Deep Southern Ocean Waters between the 1990s and 2000s: Contributions to Global Heat and Sea Level Rise Budgets*

(2010) Sarah G. Purkey et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Climate of West Antarctica and Influence of Marine Air Intrusions*

(2010) Julien P. Nicolas et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Recent Changes in Phytoplankton Communities Associated with Rapid Regional Climate Change Along the Western Antarctic Peninsula

(2009) M. Montes-Hugo et al.   SCIENCE