Prediction, precaution, and policy under global change

Complexity is costly: a meta-analysis of parametric and non-parametric methods for short-term population forecasting

(2014) Eric J. Ward et al.   OIKOS

Integrating the invisible fabric of nature into fisheries management

(2013) J. Travis et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Model-free forecasting outperforms the correct mechanistic model for simulated and experimental data

(2013) C. T. Perretti et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Modeling plant species distributions under future climates: how fine scale do climate projections need to be?

(2012) Janet Franklin et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The Hydrological Cycle in Three State-of-the-Art Reanalyses: Intercomparison and Performance Analysis

(2012) Christof Lorenz et al.   JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY

Optimal portfolio design to reduce climate-related conservation uncertainty in the Prairie Pothole Region

(2012) A. W. Ando et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Anticipating Critical Transitions

(2012) M. Scheffer et al.   SCIENCE

Population diversity and the portfolio effect in an exploited species

(2010) Daniel E. Schindler et al.   NATURE

Resource management in a changing and uncertain climate

(2008) Joshua J Lawler et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Stationarity Is Dead: Whither Water Management?

(2008) P. C. D. Milly et al.   SCIENCE