Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate: detecting, modeling, assisting

Competition and Climate Affects US Hardwood-Forest Tree Mortality

(2013) Daniel A. Yaussy et al.   FOREST SCIENCE

Using niche models with climate projections to inform conservation management decisions

(2012) Mark W. Schwartz   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Managed Relocation: Integrating the Scientific, Regulatory, and Ethical Challenges

(2012) Mark W. Schwartz et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Placing Forestry in the Assisted Migration Debate

(2012) John H. Pedlar et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Ecological niche modeling on the effect of climatic change and conservation of Ternstroemia lineata DC. (Ternstroemiaceae) in Mesoamerica

(2012) Isolda Luna-Vega et al.   Botany

The MIGCLIM R package - seamless integration of dispersal constraints into projections of species distribution models

(2012) Robin Engler et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Cumulative effects of land use, altered fire regime and climate change on persistence ofCeanothus verrucosus, a rare, fire-dependent plant species

(2012) Dawn M . Lawson et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Fine-resolution assessment of potential refugia for a dominant fir species (Abies mariesii) of subalpine coniferous forests after climate change

(2012) Masaya Shimazaki et al.   PLANT ECOLOGY

Uncertainty analysis of vegetation distribution in the northern high latitudes during the 21st century with a dynamic vegetation model

(2012) Yueyang Jiang et al.   Ecology and Evolution

Using Multicriteria Analysis of Simulation Models to Understand Complex Biological Systems

(2011) Maureen C. Kennedy et al.   BIOSCIENCE

Potential effects of climatic change on the distribution of Tetraclinis articulata, an endemic tree from arid Mediterranean ecosystems

(2011) M. A. Esteve-Selma et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Importance of colonization and competition in forest landscape response to global climatic change

(2011) Chonggang Xu et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Simulating climate change impacts on forests and associated vascular epiphytes in a subtropical island of East Asia

(2011) Rebecca C.-C. Hsu et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Spread of North American wind-dispersed trees in future environments

(2011) Ran Nathan et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Lessons Learned While Integrating Habitat, Dispersal, Disturbance, and Life-History Traits into Species Habitat Models Under Climate Change

(2011) Louis R. Iverson et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Risk of severe climate change impact on the terrestrial biosphere

(2011) Ursula Heyder et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Response of northeastern North American forests to climate change: Will soil conditions constrain tree species migration?

(2011) Benoit Lafleur et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEWS

Modifying climate change habitat models using tree species-specific assessments of model uncertainty and life history-factors

(2011) Stephen N. Matthews et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Reframing the debate over assisted colonization

(2011) Joshua J Lawler et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Changes in tree sapling composition within powerline corridors appear to be consistent with climatic changes in New York State

(2011) ARTEM L. TREYGER et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Failure to migrate: lack of tree range expansion in response to climate change

(2011) Kai Zhu et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Revisiting projected shifts in the climate envelopes of North American trees using updated general circulation models

(2011) DANIEL W. McKENNEY et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Predicting species responses to climate change: demography and climate microrefugia in California valley oak (Quercus lobata)

(2011) BLAIR C. Mclaughlin et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Climate, competition and connectivity affect future migration and ranges of European trees

(2011) Eliane S. Meier et al.   GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY

Quantifying Environmental Drivers of Future Tropical Forest Extent

(2011) Peter Good et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Global Climate Change and the Production of Pequi Fruits (Caryocar brasiliense) in the Brazilian Cerrado

(2011) João Carlos Nabout et al.   Natureza & Conservacao

Assisted Colonization: A Question of Focal Units and Recipient Localities

(2011) Juergen Kreyling et al.   RESTORATION ECOLOGY

Beyond Predictions: Biodiversity Conservation in a Changing Climate

(2011) T. P. Dawson et al.   SCIENCE

Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate Warming

(2011) I.-C. Chen et al.   SCIENCE

Mechanistic models of seed dispersal by wind

(2011) Ran Nathan et al.   Theoretical Ecology

Changes in composition, structure and aboveground biomass over seventy-six years (1930-2006) in the Black Rock Forest, Hudson Highlands, southeastern New York State

(2011) W. S. F. Schuster et al.   TREE PHYSIOLOGY

Moving beyond static species distribution models in support of conservation biogeography

(2010) Janet Franklin   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists

(2010) Jane Elith et al.   DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS

Move it or lose it? The ecological ethics of relocating species under climate change

(2010) Ben A. Minteer et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Forest restoration in a mixed-ownership landscape under climate change

(2010) Catherine Ravenscroft et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Structural and climatic determinants of demographic rates of Scots pine forests across the Iberian Peninsula

(2010) Albert Vilà-Cabrera et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Reconciling multiple data sources to improve accuracy of large-scale prediction of forest disease incidence

(2010) Ephraim M. Hanks et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Assisted migration to address climate change: recommendations for aspen reforestation in western Canada

(2010) Laura K. Gray et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Modeling plant ranges over 75 years of climate change in California, USA: temporal transferability and species traits

(2010) Solomon Z. Dobrowski et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

Predicting the future of forests in the Mediterranean under climate change, with niche- and process-based models: CO2 matters!

(2010) TREVOR KEENAN et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Climate change vulnerability of forest biodiversity: climate and competition tracking of demographic rates

(2010) JAMES S. CLARK et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

The projection of species distribution models and the problem of non-analog climate

(2009) Matthew C. Fitzpatrick et al.   BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION

Assisted migration of plants: Changes in latitudes, changes in attitudes

(2009) Pati Vitt et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Topographic controls on spatial patterns of conifer transpiration and net primary productivity under climate warming in mountain ecosystems

(2009) C. Tague et al.   Ecohydrology

Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change

(2009) Xavier Morin et al.   ECOLOGY

The velocity of climate change

(2009) Scott R. Loarie et al.   NATURE

Niches, models, and climate change: Assessing the assumptions and uncertainties

(2009) J. A. Wiens et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Multidimensional evaluation of managed relocation

(2009) D. M. Richardson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Widespread Increase of Tree Mortality Rates in the Western United States

(2009) P. J. van Mantgem et al.   SCIENCE

Assisted colonization is not a viable conservation strategy

(2009) Anthony Ricciardi et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

VEMAP vs VINCERA: A DGVM sensitivity to differences in climate scenarios

(2008) D. Bachelet et al.   GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE

Impacts of climate change on the vegetation of Africa: an adaptive dynamic vegetation modelling approach

(2008) SIMON SCHEITER et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Effects of canopy heterogeneity, seed abscission and inertia on wind-driven dispersal kernels of tree seeds

(2008) Gil Bohrer et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

A rapid upward shift of a forest ecotone during 40 years of warming in the Green Mountains of Vermont

(2008) B. Beckage et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

A Significant Upward Shift in Plant Species Optimum Elevation During the 20th Century

(2008) J. Lenoir et al.   SCIENCE

ECOLOGY: Assisted Colonization and Rapid Climate Change

(2008) O. Hoegh-Guldberg et al.   SCIENCE

Estimating potential habitat for 134 eastern US tree species under six climate scenarios

(2007) Louis R. Iverson et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Predicting global change impacts on plant species’ distributions: Future challenges

(2007) Wilfried Thuiller et al.   PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS