Article
Environmental Sciences
Arkajyoti Mukherjee, Sudin Pal, Papita Das, Subhra Kumar Mukhopadhyay
Summary: This study evaluated the exposure risk of Northern Pintail waterfowl wintering in two wetland habitats in the Purulia district of West Bengal. The study found that exposure through food plants ingestion and food-associated sediment consumption were the main sources of heavy metal exposure for the waterfowl. At one of the sites, the total exposure dose of all four metals exceeded the tolerable daily intake, posing a threat to the wintering herbivorous waterfowl populations.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2022)
Article
Ecology
Philip Lavretsky, Benjamin Sedinger
Summary: The distributions of Mallard populations in North America have changed due to habitat alteration and the introduction of captive-bred game-farm Mallards. Interbreeding between wild and game-farm Mallards has resulted in varying genetic integrity and hybrid populations. The behavioral implications of these genetic changes are still unknown.
JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT
(2023)
Article
Genetics & Heredity
Yu-Rong Wei, Xiao-Yun Mi, Jian-Yong Wu
Summary: The genome sequence of a Sobemovirus was identified in the feces of northern pintail in Xinjiang, China, through metagenomic sequencing. This virus has a linear RNA molecule and is closely related to SoMV-WA and ATCC PV-109 with a nucleotide identity of 86.7%. Phylogenetic analysis suggests that the virus belongs to the species Sowbane Mosaic Virus. This is the first report of SoMV in the feces of wild birds and in China, indicating a potential role of northern pintail in the transmission of SoMV.
Article
Agronomy
Steve Culman, Priscila Pinto, Jennie Pugliese, Timothy Crews, Lee DeHaan, Jake Jungers, Jamie Larsen, Matthew Ryan, Meagan Schipanski, Mark Sulc, Sandra Wayman, Mary Wiedenhoeft, David Stoltenberg, Valentin Picasso
Summary: Harvesting forage can increase grain yield and forage nutritive values of intermediate wheatgrass. This dual-use strategy has the potential to enhance productivity and profitability for farmers growing this perennial grain.
Review
Forestry
Christine M. Mott, Richard W. Hofstetter, Anita J. Antoninka
Summary: Pile burning is favored for debris removal in coniferous forests, but its effects on soil, vegetation, and animals suggest a need for further research on ecosystem impacts and management strategies.
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Raed Hamed, Sem Vijverberg, Anne F. Van Loon, Jeroen Aerts, Dim Coumou
Summary: Around 80% of global soybean supply is produced in southeast South America (SESA), central Brazil (CB) and the United States (US) alone. Weather variability, especially hot and dry conditions during the reproductive growth stage in summer, can greatly affect soybean yields in these regions. The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections, which influence summer weather conditions, present potential risks for spatially compounding harvest failures. Causal structural models show that ENSO can impact soybean yields through mediating variables like local weather conditions and extratropical sea surface temperatures (SSTs). Soil moisture conditions in summer drive soybean yields, and are in turn influenced by spring soil moisture and ENSO.
EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS
(2023)
Article
Forestry
Arun K. Bose, Martin Alcala-Pajares, Christel C. Kern, Miguel Montoro-Girona, Nelson Thiffault
Summary: Ecosystem-based forest management with partial harvesting aims to balance ecological and economic values, but delayed growth and increased mortality of advanced regeneration are barriers to widespread implementation. We studied the response of eight tree species to partial harvests in Maine, United States over 15 years, finding varied growth and mortality responses. Paper birch and red maple showed immediate responses, while other species had lag periods. Overall, our results suggest that broad application of partial harvesting leads to species-specific responses within mixed-species stands.
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, Eduardo Antonio Rossello, Maria Julia Orgeira, Lucas Arioni, Willie Soon, Graciela Velasco, Laura Rosique-de La Cruz, Emmanuel Zuniga, Carlos Vera
Summary: The study reveals the patterns of strong earthquakes in different seismic zones and proposes a probabilistic long-term earthquake prediction model using wavelet transform. The research indicates that the occurrence of earthquakes follows certain cycles, and the predictions can help in minimizing the risks and vulnerabilities in highly active seismic areas.
FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Forestry
Juliana Vantellingen, Adam S. Gorgolewski, Sean C. Thomas
Summary: Skid trails and landings in managed forests can lead to soil disturbance and reduced methane (CH4) oxidation or emissions. During active harvesting, CH4 oxidation steadily declined, with small emissions by the end. A chronosequence of soil recovery found high CH4 emissions in the first year after harvest, followed by a decrease. By the end of a 15-year period, the soils had returned to acting as CH4 sinks, but with lower oxidation rates compared to undisturbed forests. Remediation measures should be implemented immediately after harvest to avoid high emissions and prioritize wood fragment removal or prevention.
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT
(2022)
Article
Agronomy
Emmanuel Byamukama, Oscar Perez-Hernandez, Dalitso Nobble Yabwalo
Summary: Plant disease epidemics cause significant yield loss in crops annually. To ensure stable production of food, feed, fiber, and fuel from plants, stakeholders need to work together to develop resistant varieties, promote integrated disease management, and improve early detection capabilities of new pathogens.
Article
Microbiology
Diann J. Prosser, Jiani Chen, Christina A. Ahlstrom, Andrew B. Reeves, Rebecca L. Poulson, Jeffery D. Sullivan, Daniel McAuley, Carl R. Callahan, Peter C. McGowan, Justin Bahl, David E. Stallknecht, Andrew M. Ramey
Summary: Wild waterbirds play an important role in the persistence and spread of avian influenza viruses (IAVs) within the Atlantic Flyway (AF). This study investigated the spatio-temporal trends of IAVs in waterfowl from breeding and wintering areas along the east coast of North America. The results revealed stable genome constellations in the northern site across years and the presence of virus gene flow between different study locations. These findings contribute to the understanding of IAV ecology in waterfowl within the AF.
Article
Environmental Studies
Tianyu Pan, Fang Shu, Miranda Kitterlin-Lynch, Eric Beckman
Summary: The study found that travel constraints and negativity bias negatively impact consumer behavioral intention in the cruise industry, while perceived crisis management and attitude-trust have positive effects on behavioral intention.
TOURISM MANAGEMENT
(2021)
Article
Forestry
Kevin C. Hannah, Julia E. Put, Julia Shonfield
Summary: Wildfire is a significant factor in shaping the boreal forests of North America, and the Northern Hawk Owl is one of the least studied species in relation to it. Through a survey of 18 recent fires in Alberta, Canada, it was found that the owl is strongly associated with older deciduous-dominated forest areas. The owl responded differently based on the time since the fire, showing an immediate response to low severity fires and a delayed response to high severity fires.
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT
(2023)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Kwangkyu Park, Rujian Wang, Wenshen Xiao, Leonid Polyak, Hyen Goo Cho, Boo-Keun Khim
Summary: The Mid-Brunhes Event (MBE), occurring approximately 420,000 years ago, is considered the most significant climatic shift in the last 800,000 years. However, it is unclear if this event was global. A study using a sediment sample from the western Arctic Ocean showed that terrigenous input was generally higher during interglacial periods and primarily came from North America.
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
(2022)
Article
Forestry
Rebecca L. Stern, Paul G. Schaberg, Shelly A. Rayback, Christopher F. Hansen, Paula F. Murakami, Gary J. Hawley
Summary: The future health and productivity of tree species in the northern hardwood forest of eastern North America are uncertain due to changes in climate and pollution. The growth of four species, including sugar maple, American beech, yellow birch, and red maple, was studied to understand the trajectory of the forest. Factors such as summer moisture, temperature, winter moisture, and snowpack were found to be associated with tree growth. Pollution deposition also had an impact on growth, except for American beech.
JOURNAL OF FORESTRY RESEARCH
(2023)
Article
Ecology
Dale D. Humburg, Michael G. Anderson, Michael G. Brasher, Michael F. Carter, John M. Eadie, David C. Fulton, Fred A. Johnson, Michael C. Runge, Mark P. Vrtiska
JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT
(2018)
Review
Biodiversity Conservation
Mark W. Schwartz, Carly N. Cook, Robert L. Pressey, Andrew S. Pullin, Michael C. Runge, Nick Salafsky, William J. Sutherland, Matthew A. Williamson
CONSERVATION LETTERS
(2018)
Article
Biodiversity Conservation
Fred A. Johnson, Guthrie S. Zimmerman, Min T. Huang, Paul I. Padding, Gregory D. Balkcom, Michael C. Runge, Patrick K. Devers
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY
(2019)
Article
Biodiversity Conservation
Joslin L. Moore, Abbey E. Camaclang, Alana L. Moore, Cindy E. Hauser, Michael C. Runge, Victor Picheny, Libby Rumpff
Summary: The study aimed to optimize resource allocation to address multiple threats, highlighting the impact of budget changes on optimal management actions, the efficiency benefits of considering multiple candidate actions, and the variability in performance of ranking schemes. Results showed that global sensitivity analysis emphasized the importance of focusing on the expected impact of threats and management effectiveness for better quantification of research and monitoring efforts.
CONSERVATION BIOLOGY
(2021)
Article
Biodiversity Conservation
Shou-Li Li, Joseph Keller, Michael C. Runge, Katriona Shea
Summary: The management of biological invasions is hindered by biological and operational uncertainties. However, simultaneously addressing both sources of uncertainty can help optimize control decisions, leading to a reduction in population growth rate of invasive species.
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY
(2021)
Article
Biochemical Research Methods
Emily Howerton, Matthew J. Ferrari, Ottar N. Bjornstad, Tiffany L. Bogich, Rebecca K. Borchering, Chris P. Jewell, James D. Nichols, William J. M. Probert, Michael C. Runge, Michael J. Tildesley, Cecile Viboud, Katriona Shea
Summary: The study examines how mixed control strategies can achieve improved public health outcomes while reducing reliance on costly preventative interventions. Increasing testing capacity can help in reducing the dependence on preventative measures.
PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY
(2021)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
William J. M. Probert, Sam Nicol, Matthew J. Ferrari, Shou-Li Li, Katriona Shea, Michael J. Tildesley, Michael C. Runge
Summary: This study investigates the methods of comparing control interventions during disease outbreaks using mathematical modelling. Existing methods have limitations, and this study proposes a new approach of combining rankings of interventions instead of model projections. The results suggest that this method provides similar recommendations with fewer assumptions about model comparability.
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES
(2022)
Article
Biodiversity Conservation
Johanna A. Harvey, Jennifer M. Mullinax, Michael C. Runge, Diann J. Prosser
Summary: Highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (HPAIV) H5N1 was introduced in North America in late 2021 through migratory birds. This led to an unprecedented outbreak in animals, particularly affecting poultry and wild birds. The spread of H5N1 in North America highlights the need for effective management and scientific prioritization to address the impacts on wildlife, agriculture, and human health.
BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION
(2023)
Article
Management
Michael C. Runge, Clark S. Rushing, James E. Lyons, Madeleine A. Rubenstein
Summary: The value of information is an important concept in decision analysis, but its quantitative analysis is challenging. A novel measure of the value of information (CVOI) is proposed, which decomposes the expected value of perfect information (EVPI) into contributions representing the relevance and magnitude of uncertainty. CVOI requires less from experts and analysts and can be used to prioritize research in areas like migratory bird management facing climate change.
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Emily Howerton, Michael C. Runge, Tiffany L. Bogich, Rebecca K. Borchering, Hidetoshi Inamine, Justin Lessler, Luke C. Mullany, William J. M. Probert, Claire P. Smith, Shaun Truelove, Cecile Viboud, Katriona Shea
Summary: Probabilistic predictions are crucial for public health planning and decision making during infectious disease emergencies. Aggregating predictions from multiple models can improve the robustness and uncertainty estimation of the outcomes. However, selecting an appropriate aggregation method is challenging when empirical validation is not feasible. This paper summarizes the literature on aggregating probabilistic predictions, provides simulation examples of different methods, and offers a strategy for choosing an aggregation method in the absence of empirical validation. The work focuses on the linear opinion pool (LOP) and Vincent average, which make different assumptions about between-prediction uncertainty and provide an R package for implementation.
JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE
(2023)
Article
Biodiversity Conservation
Abigail J. Lawson, Kevin Kalasz, Michael C. Runge, Amy C. Schwarzer, Michelle L. Stantial, Mark Woodrey, James E. Lyons
Summary: Natural resource management decisions often face uncertainty, and Value of information (VoI) methods are decision analytical tools to evaluate the benefits of resolving uncertainty. This study describes the first application of a qualitative VoI approach in an adaptive management workshop for eastern black rail populations, discussing its benefits in the context of adaptive management and co-production of conservation science.
CONSERVATION SCIENCE AND PRACTICE
(2022)
Article
Biodiversity Conservation
Jonathan D. Cook, Evan H. Campbell Grant, Jeremy T. H. Coleman, Jonathan M. Sleeman, Michael C. Runge
Summary: This article discusses the use of decision analysis in studying and managing wildlife disease outbreaks and the importance of risk assessment. By combining expert judgment and rapid dissemination of scientific information, timely decision support can be provided for wildlife conservation.
WILDLIFE SOCIETY BULLETIN
(2022)
Article
Biodiversity Conservation
Jonathan D. Cook, Evan H. C. Grant, Jeremy T. H. Coleman, Jonathan M. Sleeman, Michael C. Runge
Summary: The COVID-19 virus likely evolved in a mammalian host, possibly Old-World bats, before adapting to humans. Concerns have been raised regarding the possibility of reverse zoonotic transmission to bats. Recent studies have shown that the risk of transmitting SARS-CoV-2 to bats during fieldwork is lower than previously assessed, and can be significantly reduced by wearing high-efficiency filtration masks or obtaining a negative COVID-19 test before surveys.
CONSERVATION SCIENCE AND PRACTICE
(2021)
Article
Biodiversity Conservation
Leslie New, Juniper L. Simonis, Mark C. Otto, Emily Bjerre, Michael C. Runge, Brian Millsap
Summary: The development and installation of renewable energy can have environmental costs such as wildlife deaths. Failure to acknowledge uncertainties around these costs may impact local conservation efforts, while adaptive management plans can help refine the balance between energy consumption and conservation. By improving estimates and implementing them within the government's framework, the impact of renewable energy development on biodiversity can be better managed.
CONSERVATION SCIENCE AND PRACTICE
(2021)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Yun Tao, William J. M. Probert, Katriona Shea, Michael C. Runge, Kevin Lafferty, Michael Tildesley, Matthew Ferrari
Summary: Livestock diseases have significant global impacts economically, socially, and politically. Response delays in stamping out outbreaks may lead to underestimated projections and misinformed decisions. This study demonstrates the importance of considering response dynamics and intervention controllability in managing livestock disease epidemics.
JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE
(2021)