4.4 Article

Epidemic spreading on contact networks with adaptive weights

Journal

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY
Volume 317, Issue -, Pages 133-139

Publisher

ACADEMIC PRESS LTD- ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.09.036

Keywords

Weighted network; Adaptivity; Birth-death process; Epidemic dynamics; Stability

Funding

  1. NSFC [10805033, 11072136]
  2. Shanghai University Leading Academic Discipline Project [A.13-0101-12-004]
  3. Hong Kong GRF Grant [CityU 1109/12E]

Ask authors/readers for more resources

The heterogeneous patterns of interactions within a population are often described by contact networks, but the variety and adaptivity of contact strengths are usually ignored. This paper proposes a modified epidemic SIS model with a birth-death process and nonlinear infectivity on an adaptive and weighted contact network. The links' weights, named as 'adaptive weights', which indicate the intimacy or familiarity between two connected individuals, will reduce as the disease develops. Through mathematical and numerical analyses, conditions are established for population extermination, disease extinction and infection persistence. Particularly, it is found that the fixed weights setting can trigger the epidemic incidence, and that the adaptivity of weights cannot change the epidemic threshold but it can accelerate the disease decay and lower the endemic level. Finally, some corresponding control measures are suggested. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Authors

I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.

Reviews

Primary Rating

4.4
Not enough ratings

Secondary Ratings

Novelty
-
Significance
-
Scientific rigor
-
Rate this paper

Recommended

Article Automation & Control Systems

A Geometric Criterion for the Existence of Chaos Based on Periodic Orbits in Continuous-Time Autonomous Systems

Xu Zhang, Guanrong Chen

Summary: A new geometric criterion is developed to determine the existence of chaos in continuous-time autonomous systems in three-dimensional Euclidean spaces. This criterion differs from traditional methods as it does not rely on equilibrium points or the condition of transversal homoclinic or heteroclinic orbit of a Poincare map.

JOURNAL OF DYNAMICAL AND CONTROL SYSTEMS (2023)

Article Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence

Design and Analysis of Multiscroll Memristive Hopfield Neural Network With Adjustable Memductance and Application to Image Encryption

Qiang Lai, Zhiqiang Wan, Hui Zhang, Guanrong Chen

Summary: This article presents a design of a new Hopfield neural network that can generate multiscroll attractors by utilizing a new memristor as a synapse in the network. The memristor is constructed with hyperbolic tangent functions and its parameters can effectively control the number of double scrolls in an attractor. Numerical analysis reveals amplitude control effects and quantitatively controllable multistability. Furthermore, a novel image encryption scheme based on the proposed memristive neural network is designed and evaluated, demonstrating good encryption performances.

IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON NEURAL NETWORKS AND LEARNING SYSTEMS (2023)

Article Computer Science, Hardware & Architecture

Resistance Distances In Simplicial Networks

Mingzhe Zhu, Wanyue Xu, Zhongzhi Zhang, Haibin Kan, Guanrong Chen

Summary: In this paper, the resistance distances in networks with higher order interactions are studied, and exact formulas for various quantities related to resistance distances are derived. The results show that the average resistance distance tends to a q-dependent constant.

COMPUTER JOURNAL (2023)

Article Automation & Control Systems

Secure consensus of multi-agent systems under denial-of-service attacks

Guanghui Wen, Peijun Wang, Yuezu Lv, Guanrong Chen, Jialing Zhou

Summary: This paper studies the problem of secure consensus for multiple-input-multiple-output (MIMO) linear multi-agent systems (MASs) under denial-of-service (DoS) attacks and proposes corresponding control schemes and conditions. By designing an unknown input observer and using multiple Lyapunov functions, it is shown that secure consensus can be achieved under certain threshold conditions.

ASIAN JOURNAL OF CONTROL (2023)

Article Automation & Control Systems

Discernibility of Topological Variations for Networked LTI Systems

Yuqing Hao, Qingyun Wang, Zhisheng Duan, Guanrong Chen

Summary: In this article, the discernibility of topological variations for networked linear time-invariant (LTI) systems is investigated. A necessary and sufficient condition is derived, revealing the impact of topological variations, node-system dynamics, and inner interactions on network discernibility. The condition presented is more general than existing conditions. Furthermore, the discernibility of topological variations for multiagent systems is revisited, and a new necessary and sufficient condition is established with broader applicability.

IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON AUTOMATIC CONTROL (2023)

Article Automation & Control Systems

Approximating the Controllability Robustness of Directed Random-graph Networks Against Random Edge-removal Attacks

Yang Lou, Lin Wang, Shengli Xie, Guanrong Chen

Summary: This paper proposes a hybrid approximation method to estimate the controllability robustness performance of large-scale directed random-graph networks under random edge-removal attacks. Two threshold values are set to classify general random-graph networks as 'dense', 'sparse', or 'median', according to the average degree. Simulation results verify that the proposed method can accurately approximate the controllability curves and is more time-efficient compared to conventional attack simulations.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CONTROL AUTOMATION AND SYSTEMS (2023)

Article Biology

Adaptive behaviors and vaccination on curbing COVID-19 transmission: Modeling simulations in eight countries

Zhaowan Li, Jianguo Zhao, Yuhao Zhou, Lina Tian, Qihuai Liu, Huaiping Zhu, Guanghu Zhu

Summary: The study developed a transmission model to analyze the impact of adaptive behaviors and vaccination on the spread of COVID-19. By validating the model with surveillance data in multiple countries, the researchers quantified the protection effect of adaptive behaviors and found that they can significantly reduce human infections. The study also highlighted the importance of high vaccination coverage for complete prevention. These findings provide insights for understanding and controlling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2023)

Article Physics, Multidisciplinary

A new effective metric for dynamical robustness of directed networks

Jiashuo Sun, Linying Xiang, Guanrong Chen

Summary: In this article, the dynamical robustness of a directed complex network with additive noise is studied. The failure of a node in the network is modeled by injecting noise into the node. A new robustness metric is formulated to characterize the synchronization of the network to the additive noise under the framework of mean-square stochastic stability. It is found that the node dynamics plays a crucial role in the dynamical robustness of the directed network. Numerical simulations are provided for illustration and verification.

FRONTIERS IN PHYSICS (2023)

Article Biology

Identifying Tumor-Associated Genes from Bilayer Networks of DNA Methylation Sites and RNAs

Xin-Jian Xu, Hong-Xiang Gao, Liu-Cun Zhu, Rui Zhu

Summary: Network theory has been of great interest in the biological community for its effectiveness in identifying tumor-associated genes. However, most studies have focused on single networks of single omics, which have limited predictive power. This study constructs a bilayer network of DNA methylation sites and RNAs and applies it to five types of tumor data to identify key genes associated with tumors. Compared to single networks, the proposed bilayer network yields more tumor-associated DNA methylation sites and genes, which are validated through prognostic and KEGG enrichment analyses.

LIFE-BASEL (2023)

Article Automation & Control Systems

Innovation-based stealthy attack against distributed state estimation over sensor networks

Mengfei Niu, Guanghui Wen, Yuezu Lv, Guanrong Chen

Summary: This paper presents a new design of an innovation-based stealthy attack strategy against distributed state estimation over a sensor network. The optimal distributed MMSE estimator is developed by fusing interaction measurements from neighboring nodes in the absence of network attack. The tradeoff between attack stealthiness and attack effects is determined by proposing a stealthy attack framework embedded with an adjustable parameter.

AUTOMATICA (2023)

Article Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications

A new criterion for optimizing synchrony of coupled oscillators

Yong Lei, Xin-Jian Xu, Xiaofan Wang, Yong Zou, Juergen Kurths

Summary: The synchronization of oscillators is crucial for understanding the collective dynamics of various natural and artificial systems. In this study, we introduce a Lyapunov function that can be optimized to enhance synchrony of heterogeneous oscillators on sparse networks. We consider two optimization problems: frequency allocation and network design. Numerical experiments demonstrate that our proposed criterion outperforms existing methods, which can be explained by the correlation between node degree and frequency magnitude.

CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS (2023)

Review Pharmacology & Pharmacy

An update on Alectinib: a first line treatment for ALK-positive advanced lung cancer

Yourong Zhou, Yiming Yin, Jiangxin Xu, Zhifei Xu, Bo Yang, Qiaojun He, Peihua Luo, Hao Yan, Xiaochun Yang

Summary: Alectinib is a second-generation ALK tyrosine kinase inhibitor used to treat ALK+ NSCLC, but its long-term use can cause serious and life-threatening adverse events. There are currently no effective interventions for these adverse events, which leads to delays in patient treatment and limits its long-term clinical use.

EXPERT OPINION ON PHARMACOTHERAPY (2023)

Article Automation & Control Systems

Cu-Doped TiO2-x Nanoscale Memristive Applications in Chaotic Circuit and True Random Number Generator

Fang Yuan, Shaoyan Li, Yue Deng, Yuxia Li, Guanrong Chen

Summary: In this article, a Cu-doped TiO2-x nanoscale memristor is built and its accurate mathematical model is established. The reliable performance of the memristor and the correctness of its mathematical model are demonstrated through numerical simulations and hardware experiments, revealing its chaotic system dynamics.

IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INDUSTRIAL ELECTRONICS (2023)

Article Computer Science, Information Systems

Modeling the spread dynamics of multiple-variant coronavirus disease under public health interventions: A general framework

Choujun Zhan, Yufan Zheng, Lujiao Shao, Guanrong Chen, Haijun Zhang

Summary: The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by SARS-CoV-2, a high mutation rate virus, is still ongoing due to the emergence of new variants with immune-evading properties. This study presents an epidemiological framework to simulate the mutation process and spread of COVID-19 considering multiple variants. The results suggest that several combined intervention strategies are effective in controlling the pandemic, even with a reduced mutation rate of SARS-CoV-2.

INFORMATION SCIENCES (2023)

Article Mathematics

Low-Rank Matrix Completion via QR-Based Retraction on Manifolds

Ke Wang, Zhuo Chen, Shihui Ying, Xinjian Xu

Summary: This paper tackles low-rank matrix completion problem by optimizing the matrix manifold using QR factorization for retraction. Two fast algorithms based on steepest gradient descent and conjugate gradient descent are proposed, showing a superiority of at least 24% over the promising baseline.

MATHEMATICS (2023)

Article Biology

A framework for relating natural movement to length and quality of life in human and non-human animals

Iain Hunter, Raz Leib

Summary: Natural movement is related to health, but it is difficult to measure. Existing methods cannot capture the full range of natural movement. Comparing movement across different species helps identify common biomechanical and computational principles. Developing a system to quantify movement in freely moving animals in natural environments and relating it to life quality is crucial. This study proposes a theoretical framework based on movement ability and validates it in Drosophila.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2024)

Article Biology

A geometric approach to the evolution of altruism

Andy Gardner

Summary: Fisher's geometric model is a useful tool for predicting key properties of Darwinian adaptation, and here it is applied to predict differences between the evolution of altruistic versus nonsocial phenotypes. The results suggest that the effect size maximizing probability of fixation is smaller in the context of altruism and larger in the context of nonsocial phenotypes, leading to lower overall probability of fixation for altruism and higher overall probability of fixation for nonsocial phenotypes.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2024)

Article Biology

A mathematical framework for the emergence of winners and losers in cell competition

Thomas F. Pak, Joe Pitt-Francis, Ruth E. Baker

Summary: Cell competition is a process where cells interact in multicellular organisms to determine a winner or loser status, with loser cells being eliminated through programmed cell death. The winner cells then populate the tissue. The outcome of cell competition is context-dependent, as the same cell type can win or lose depending on the competing cell type. This paper proposes a mathematical framework to study the emergence of winner or loser status, highlighting the role of active cell death and identifying the factors that drive cell competition in a cell-based modeling context.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2024)

Article Biology

The eco-evolutionary dynamics of Batesian mimicry

Haruto Tomizuka, Yuuya Tachiki

Summary: Batesian mimicry is a strategy in which palatable prey species resemble unpalatable prey species to avoid predation. The evolution of this mimicry plays a crucial role in protecting the unpalatable species from extinction.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2024)

Article Biology

Gene drives for the extinction of wild metapopulations

Jason W. Olejarz, Martin A. Nowak

Summary: Gene drive technology shows potential for population control, but its release may have unpredictable consequences. The study suggests that the failure of suppression is a natural outcome, and there are complex dynamics among wild populations.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2024)

Article Biology

Intelligent phenotype-detection and gene expression profile generation with generative adversarial networks

Hamid Ravaee, Mohammad Hossein Manshaei, Mehran Safayani, Javad Salimi Sartakhti

Summary: Gene expression analysis is valuable for cancer classification and phenotype identification. IP3G, based on Generative Adversarial Networks, enhances gene expression data and discovers phenotypes in an unsupervised manner. By converting gene expression profiles into images and utilizing IP3G, new phenotype profiles can be generated, improving classification accuracy.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2024)

Article Biology

Network-based uncertainty quantification for mathematical models in epidemiology

Beatrix Rahnsch, Leila Taghizadeh

Summary: This study forecasts the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany using a network-based inference method and compares it with other approaches. The results show that the network-inference based approach outperforms other methods in short-to mid-term predictions, even with limited information about the new disease. Furthermore, predictions based on the estimation of the reproduction number in Germany can yield more reliable results with increasing data availability, but still cannot surpass the network-inference based algorithm.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2024)

Article Biology

Dynamics of cell-type transition mediated by epigenetic modifications

Rongsheng Huang, Qiaojun Situ, Jinzhi Lei

Summary: Maintaining tissue homeostasis requires appropriate regulation of stem cell differentiation. Random inheritance of epigenetic states plays a pivotal role in stem cell differentiation. This computational model provides valuable insights into the intricate mechanism governing stem cell differentiation and cell reprogramming, offering a promising path for enhancing the field of regenerative medicine.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2024)

Article Biology

Comparative analysis of kinetic realizations of insulin signaling

Patrick Vincent N. Lubenia, Eduardo R. Mendoza, Angelyn R. Lao

Summary: This study compares insulin signaling in healthy and type 2 diabetes states using reaction network analysis. The results show similarities and differences between the two conditions, providing insights into the mechanisms of insulin resistance, including the involvement of other complexes, less restrictive interplay between species, and loss of concentration robustness in GLUT4.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2024)

Article Biology

Simulating tumor volume dynamics in response to radiotherapy: Implications of model selection

Nuverah Mohsin, Heiko Enderling, Renee Brady-Nicholls, Mohammad U. Zahid

Summary: Mathematical modeling is crucial in understanding radiobiology and designing treatment approaches in radiotherapy for cancer. This study compares three tumor volume dynamics models and analyzes the implications of model selection. A new metric, the point of maximum reduction of tumor volume (MRV), is introduced to quantify the impact of radiotherapy. The results emphasize the importance of caution in selecting models of response to radiotherapy due to the artifacts imposed by each model.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2024)

Article Biology

Pillars of theoretical biology: Biochemical systems analysis, I, II and III

Armindo Salvador

Summary: Michael Savageau's Biochemical Systems Analysis papers have had a significant impact on Systems Biology, generating core concepts and tools. This article provides a brief summary of these papers and discusses the most relevant developments in Biochemical Systems Theory since their publication.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2024)